Valparaiso
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 89.4476Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 2-14 307 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 3-17 307 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 2-13 324 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 2- 3 331 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 9-13 402 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 3- 6 403 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 0- 6 404 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4- 2 414 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 1- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Florida Atlantic 2-14 -12 -4 --- -8.37
307 A Jacksonville State 3-17 -14 -8 -- -5.69
307 A Jacksonville State 2-13 -11 -8 - -2.69
324 A Purdue 2- 3 -1 -8 +++ 6.57
331 A Northwestern 9-13 -4 -4 -0.26
402 A Washington 3- 6 -3 -5 + 2.10
403 A Washington 0- 6 -6 -5 -0.90
404 A Washington 4- 2 2 -5 +++ 7.10
414 A Notre Dame 1- 6 -5 -7 + 2.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Florida Atlantic 2-14 -12 -4 --- -8.37 307 A Jacksonville State 3-17 -14 -8 -- -5.69 307 A Jacksonville State 2-13 -11 -8 - -2.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Purdue 2- 3 -1 -8 +++ 6.57 404 A Washington 4- 2 2 -5 +++ 7.10 402 A Washington 3- 6 -3 -5 + 2.10 414 A Notre Dame 1- 6 -5 -7 + 2.12 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 2-14 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 3.21 -10.96
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 3-17 -2.82 15.61 0.68 3.21 -3.44
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 2-13 -2.82 15.61 0.68 3.21 -3.44
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 2- 3 -3.56 14.87 0.68 3.21 -4.63
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 9-13 -7.38 11.04 0.68 3.21 -10.78
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 3- 6 -6.03 12.40 0.68 3.21 -8.59
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 0- 6 -6.03 12.40 0.68 3.21 -8.59
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 4- 2 -6.03 12.40 0.68 3.21 84.04
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 1- 6 -4.01 14.42 0.68 3.21 -5.35
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28.26
|
winning pts = 84.0439 losing points = -55.7883
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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