Vanderbilt
W-L: (32-22) PR = 97.1231Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 4- 5 214 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 13- 3 215 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 1-11 217 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 13-12 218 A North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 16- 1 220 A Southern Illinois MV ( 6- 8, 90.6) 16- 0 221 H Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 12- 1 222 H Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 8- 1 224 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 15- 3 227 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 4- 9 228 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 1- 5 301 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 4-20 303 A New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 4- 6 304 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 4- 4 306 A St. Bonaventure A10 ( 1- 6, 87.4) 14- 4 307 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 10- 0 308 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 2- 5 310 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 14- 6 313 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 13-12 314 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 11- 3 315 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 9-16 317 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 1- 5 320 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 2- 4 321 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 2- 5 322 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 7-17 324 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 15- 5 327 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 3- 2 328 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 6- 5 329 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 16-15 331 H Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 11- 3 402 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 14- 8 403 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 4- 8 403 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 0-12 407 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 3- 2 409 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 10- 3 410 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 11- 6 411 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 5- 6 414 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 15- 1 417 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 2- 5 418 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 8- 7 419 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 13- 6 421 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 11- 1 424 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 4-11 425 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 6- 0 426 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 3- 4 428 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 9- 1 430 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 4- 5 502 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 5- 8 505 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 12- 6 509 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 11- 8 510 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 1- 4 514 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 9- 4 515 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 9- 9 516 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 5- 3 519 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 8- 5 520 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H TCU 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.87
214 H Texas Tech 13- 3 10 2 +++ 7.99
215 A Oklahoma State 1-11 -10 -1 --- -9.20
217 A Florida International 13-12 1 4 - -2.67
218 A North Dakota State 16- 1 15 5 +++ 9.41
220 A Southern Illinois 16- 0 16 6 +++ 8.11
221 H Marist 12- 1 11 6 ++ 4.88
222 H Marist 8- 1 7 6 0.88
224 H Evansville 15- 3 12 6 ++ 5.69
227 H UC Irvine 4- 9 -5 3 --- -8.47
228 H Arizona 1- 5 -4 4 --- -7.98
301 H TCU 4-20 -16 2 --- -15.87
303 A New Mexico 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.96
304 A Eastern Kentucky 4- 4 0 5 -- -5.23
306 A St. Bonaventure 14- 4 10 9 0.92
307 H North Dakota State 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.06
308 H North Dakota State 2- 5 -3 6 --- -8.94
310 H Indiana State 14- 6 8 5 + 2.51
313 H LSU 13-12 1 1 0.21
314 H LSU 11- 3 8 1 +++ 7.21
315 H LSU 9-16 -7 1 --- -7.79
317 H Indiana 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.74
320 A Mississippi State 2- 4 -2 -3 0.89
321 H Oklahoma State 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.56
322 A Mississippi State 7-17 -10 -3 --- -7.11
324 H Tennessee Tech 15- 5 10 8 + 2.18
327 H Tennessee 3- 2 1 1 -0.11
328 H Tennessee 6- 5 1 1 -0.11
329 H Tennessee 16-15 1 1 -0.11
331 H Belmont 11- 3 8 6 1.95
402 A Texas A&M 14- 8 6 -3 +++ 8.55
403 A Texas A&M 4- 8 -4 -3 -1.45
403 A Texas A&M 0-12 -12 -3 --- -9.45
407 A Missouri State 3- 2 1 0 0.86
409 A BYU 10- 3 7 2 ++ 5.30
410 A Tennessee 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.24
411 H Oklahoma 5- 6 -1 1 -1.74
414 A Lipscomb 15- 1 14 4 +++ 9.80
417 A Kentucky 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.53
418 A Kentucky 8- 7 1 1 0.47
419 A Kentucky 13- 6 7 1 +++ 6.47
421 H Xavier 11- 1 10 4 ++ 5.79
424 H Texas 4-11 -7 -2 -- -5.34
425 H Texas 6- 0 6 -2 +++ 7.66
426 H Texas 3- 4 -1 -2 0.66
428 H Middle Tennessee 9- 1 8 4 + 3.63
430 A Alabama 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.37
502 A Alabama 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.37
505 H Louisville 12- 6 6 2 ++ 4.40
509 A Missouri 11- 8 3 2 1.05
510 A Missouri 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.95
514 A Ole Miss 9- 4 5 -1 +++ 6.22
515 A Ole Miss 9- 9 0 -1 1.22
516 H South Carolina 5- 3 2 3 -1.25
519 H Kentucky 8- 5 3 2 1.12
520 A Florida 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.18
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Oklahoma State 1-11 -10 -1 --- -9.20 227 H UC Irvine 4- 9 -5 3 --- -8.47 228 H Arizona 1- 5 -4 4 --- -7.98 301 H TCU 4-20 -16 2 --- -15.87 308 H North Dakota State 2- 5 -3 6 --- -8.94 315 H LSU 9-16 -7 1 --- -7.79 317 H Indiana 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.74 322 A Mississippi State 7-17 -10 -3 --- -7.11 403 A Texas A&M 0-12 -12 -3 --- -9.45 303 A New Mexico 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.96 304 A Eastern Kentucky 4- 4 0 5 -- -5.23 424 H Texas 4-11 -7 -2 -- -5.34 510 A Missouri 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.95 213 H TCU 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.87 217 A Florida International 13-12 1 4 - -2.67 321 H Oklahoma State 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.56 417 A Kentucky 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.53 502 A Alabama 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.37 520 A Florida 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Texas Tech 13- 3 10 2 +++ 7.99 218 A North Dakota State 16- 1 15 5 +++ 9.41 220 A Southern Illinois 16- 0 16 6 +++ 8.11 314 H LSU 11- 3 8 1 +++ 7.21 402 A Texas A&M 14- 8 6 -3 +++ 8.55 414 A Lipscomb 15- 1 14 4 +++ 9.80 419 A Kentucky 13- 6 7 1 +++ 6.47 425 H Texas 6- 0 6 -2 +++ 7.66 514 A Ole Miss 9- 4 5 -1 +++ 6.22 221 H Marist 12- 1 11 6 ++ 4.88 224 H Evansville 15- 3 12 6 ++ 5.69 307 H North Dakota State 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.06 409 A BYU 10- 3 7 2 ++ 5.30 410 A Tennessee 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.24 421 H Xavier 11- 1 10 4 ++ 5.79 505 H Louisville 12- 6 6 2 ++ 4.40 310 H Indiana State 14- 6 8 5 + 2.51 324 H Tennessee Tech 15- 5 10 8 + 2.18 428 H Middle Tennessee 9- 1 8 4 + 3.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 4- 5 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.52 -1.20
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 13- 3 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.52 14.09
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 1-11 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.52 -0.51
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 13-12 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.52 12.37
3 A North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 16- 1 -8.04 10.38 0.68 0.52 11.42
3 A Southern Illin ( 6- 8, 90.6) 16- 0 -9.34 9.08 0.68 0.52 10.08
3 H Marist ( 3-11, 91.7) 12- 1 -8.22 10.21 -0.68 0.52 9.84
3 H Marist ( 3-11, 91.7) 8- 1 -8.22 10.21 -0.68 0.52 9.84
3 H Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 15- 3 -8.41 10.01 -0.68 0.52 9.64
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 4- 9 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.52 -1.61
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 1- 5 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.52 -1.74
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 4-20 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.52 -1.20
3 A New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 4- 6 -6.41 12.02 0.68 0.52 -1.48
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 4- 4 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.52 0.00
3 A St. Bonaventur ( 1- 6, 87.4) 14- 4 -12.53 5.90 0.68 0.52 6.79
3 H North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 10- 0 -8.04 10.38 -0.68 0.52 10.03
3 H North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 2- 5 -8.04 10.38 -0.68 0.52 -2.25
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 14- 6 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.52 10.50
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 13-12 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.52 15.35
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 11- 3 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.52 15.35
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 9-16 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.52 -0.92
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 1- 5 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.52 -1.43
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 2- 4 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.52 -0.03
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 2- 5 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.52 -0.86
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 7-17 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.52 -0.03
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 15- 5 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.52 8.09
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.52 15.02
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 6- 5 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.52 15.02
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 16-15 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.52 15.02
3 H Belmont ( 4-12, 91.7) 11- 3 -8.16 10.27 -0.68 0.52 9.91
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 14- 8 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.52 18.79
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 4- 8 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.52 -0.06
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 0-12 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.52 -0.06
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 3- 2 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.52 16.02
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 10- 3 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.52 14.41
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 11- 6 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.52 16.41
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 5- 6 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.52 -0.91
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 15- 1 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.52 11.82
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 2- 5 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.52 -0.85
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 8- 7 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.52 15.62
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 13- 6 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.52 15.62
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 11- 1 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.52 11.82
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 4-11 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.52 -0.29
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 6- 0 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.52 17.88
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 3- 4 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.52 -0.29
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 9- 1 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.52 11.65
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 4- 5 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.52 -0.55
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 5- 8 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.52 -0.55
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 12- 6 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.52 14.51
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 11- 8 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.52 14.15
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 1- 4 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.52 -1.22
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 9- 4 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.52 17.43
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 9- 9 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.52 0.00
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 5- 3 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.52 12.81
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 8- 5 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.52 14.22
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 3- 8 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.52 -0.25
------
403.22
|
winning pts = 421.5199 losing points = -18.2973
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------