Wagner
W-L: ( 2-14) PR = 88.4375Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 7-13 214 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 10-25 214 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 8-31 220 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 5- 8 221 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 2- 7 222 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 6- 4 225 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 6-19 227 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 9-10 228 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 4-21 301 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 10-15 310 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 5- 8 317 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1- 8 331 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 2-11 521 A Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 3- 9, 88.7) 5- 7 522 H Le Moyne NE ( 1- 7, 87.2) 11- 1 522 A Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 3- 9, 88.7) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Virginia 7-13 -6 -8 + 2.34
214 A Virginia 10-25 -15 -8 -- -5.66
214 A Virginia 8-31 -23 -8 -- -5.66
220 H William & Mary 5- 8 -3 -2 -0.59
221 A UC Riverside 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.16
222 A UC Riverside 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.84
225 A West Virginia 6-19 -13 -10 - -2.61
227 A Maryland 9-10 -1 -7 +++ 6.02
228 A Maryland 4-21 -17 -7 --- -6.98
301 A Maryland 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.02
310 A Rutgers 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.13
317 H Georgia 1- 8 -7 -10 + 2.83
331 A St. John's 2-11 -9 -6 - -2.61
521 A Fairleigh Dickinson 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.02
522 H Le Moyne 11- 1 10 2 +++ 8.12
522 A Fairleigh Dickinson 10-11 -1 -1 -0.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Maryland 4-21 -17 -7 --- -6.98 214 A Virginia 10-25 -15 -8 -- -5.66 214 A Virginia 8-31 -23 -8 -- -5.66 221 A UC Riverside 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.16 225 A West Virginia 6-19 -13 -10 - -2.61 331 A St. John's 2-11 -9 -6 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Maryland 9-10 -1 -7 +++ 6.02 522 H Le Moyne 11- 1 10 2 +++ 8.12 213 A Virginia 7-13 -6 -8 + 2.34 222 A UC Riverside 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.84 301 A Maryland 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.02 310 A Rutgers 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.13 317 H Georgia 1- 8 -7 -10 + 2.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 7-13 -3.80 14.63 0.68 1.81 -2.82
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 10-25 -3.80 14.63 0.68 1.81 -2.82
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 8-31 -3.80 14.63 0.68 1.81 -2.82
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 5- 8 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 1.81 -8.18
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 2- 7 -10.30 8.13 0.68 1.81 -8.70
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 6- 4 -10.30 8.13 0.68 1.81 31.83
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 6-19 -1.75 16.68 0.68 1.81 -0.97
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 9-10 -5.11 13.31 0.68 1.81 -4.01
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 4-21 -5.11 13.31 0.68 1.81 -4.01
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 10-15 -5.11 13.31 0.68 1.81 -4.01
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 5- 8 -6.01 12.42 0.68 1.81 -4.82
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1- 8 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 1.81 -1.47
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 2-11 -5.75 12.68 0.68 1.81 -4.58
3 A Fairleigh Dick ( 3- 9, 88.7) 5- 7 -11.16 7.27 0.68 1.81 -9.47
3 H Le Moyne ( 1- 7, 87.2) 11- 1 -12.67 5.76 -0.68 1.81 18.38
3 A Fairleigh Dick ( 3- 9, 88.7) 10-11 -11.16 7.27 0.68 1.81 -9.47
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-17.97
|
winning pts = 50.2057 losing points = -68.1760
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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