Washington State
W-L: (13-18) PR = 94.0086Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 8- 4 214 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 1- 8 214 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 1-11 220 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 0- 5 221 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 2- 3 222 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 8- 3 223 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 5- 4 226 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 4- 6 227 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 10- 4 227 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 4- 5 301 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 9- 1 305 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 11-11 306 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 9- 7 306 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 4- 5 308 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 3- 4 317 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 5- 8 325 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 8-19 331 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 10- 0 406 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 0-18 407 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 7- 6 413 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 9- 3 421 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 8-16 504 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 5-10 512 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 11-12 522 H Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 5- 1 523 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 14- 9 524 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 14- 4 524 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 2- 9 529 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 3- 2 530 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0- 4 530 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0- 4 531 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Alabama 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 7.75
214 A Alabama 1- 8 -7 -4 - -3.25
214 A Alabama 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.25
220 H California Baptist 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.20
221 A Cal Poly 2- 3 -1 -2 0.97
222 A Cal Poly 8- 3 5 -2 +++ 6.97
223 A Cal Poly 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.97
226 H BYU 4- 6 -2 0 -1.93
227 A Long Beach State 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.55
227 A BYU 4- 5 -1 -1 0.42
301 H Portland 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.58
305 H BYU 11-11 0 0 0.07
306 H Arkansas 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 4.83
306 H Bethune-Cookman 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.01
308 A Texas State 3- 4 -1 -2 0.68
317 A Utah 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.53
325 A Gonzaga 8-19 -11 -2 --- -8.63
331 A Seattle U 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.40
406 H Oregon State 0-18 -18 -2 --- -12.41
407 H Oregon State 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.59
413 H Portland 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.58
421 H Gonzaga 8-16 -8 -1 --- -6.98
504 A Gonzaga 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.63
512 H Seattle U 11-12 -1 4 -- -4.95
522 H Air Force 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.21
523 A San Diego State 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.60
524 A San Diego State 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.60
524 A San Diego State 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.40
529 A Oregon State 3- 2 1 -3 + 3.94
530 H Oregon 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.56
530 H Oregon 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.56
531 H Oregon State 1-10 -9 -2 --- -7.41
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Alabama 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.25 325 A Gonzaga 8-19 -11 -2 --- -8.63 406 H Oregon State 0-18 -18 -2 --- -12.41 421 H Gonzaga 8-16 -8 -1 --- -6.98 524 A San Diego State 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.40 531 H Oregon State 1-10 -9 -2 --- -7.41 306 H Bethune-Cookman 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.01 512 H Seattle U 11-12 -1 4 -- -4.95 214 A Alabama 1- 8 -7 -4 - -3.25 220 H California Baptist 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.20 504 A Gonzaga 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Alabama 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 7.75 222 A Cal Poly 8- 3 5 -2 +++ 6.97 301 H Portland 9- 1 8 1 +++ 6.58 331 A Seattle U 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.40 524 A San Diego State 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.60 227 A Long Beach State 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.55 306 H Arkansas 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 4.83 413 H Portland 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.58 522 H Air Force 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.21 523 A San Diego State 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.60 223 A Cal Poly 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.97 407 H Oregon State 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.59 529 A Oregon State 3- 2 1 -3 + 3.94 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 8- 4 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.90 29.43
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 1- 8 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.90 -0.97
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 1-11 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.90 -0.97
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 0- 5 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.90 -1.85
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 2- 3 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.90 -1.77
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 8- 3 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.90 26.22
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 5- 4 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.90 26.22
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 4- 6 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.90 -2.63
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 10- 4 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.90 21.84
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 4- 5 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.90 -2.02
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 9- 1 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.90 20.10
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 11-11 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.90 0.00
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 9- 7 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.90 27.78
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 4- 5 -8.23 10.20 -0.68 0.90 -4.02
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 3- 4 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.90 -1.90
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 5- 8 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.90 -2.00
3 A Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 8-19 -4.20 14.23 0.68 0.90 -1.59
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 10- 0 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.90 17.96
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 0-18 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.90 -1.94
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 7- 6 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.90 25.54
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 9- 3 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.90 20.10
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 8-16 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.90 -2.20
3 A Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 5-10 -4.20 14.23 0.68 0.90 -1.59
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 11-12 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.90 -4.45
3 H Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 5- 1 -5.00 13.42 -0.68 0.90 23.04
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 14- 9 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.90 21.93
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 14- 4 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.90 21.93
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 2- 9 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.90 -2.84
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 3- 2 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.90 27.98
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0- 4 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.90 -1.56
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0- 4 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.90 -1.56
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 1-10 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.90 -1.94
------
272.23
|
winning pts = 310.0536 losing points = -37.8187
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------