West Georgia
W-L: (15-39) PR = 91.0779Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 11- 3 213 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 6-18 214 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 6-15 214 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 1- 6 217 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 4- 6 220 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 5- 1 221 A Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 3- 4 222 A Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 1- 6 225 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 4 227 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4- 7 228 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 6-21 301 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 1- 2 306 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 4-10 307 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 7-12 307 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 5- 4 308 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 13-11 310 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 0-14 313 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 8- 7 314 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 4- 1 315 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 5-10 317 A Merrimack MAAC ( 2- 7, 89.7) 2- 4 320 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 3- 4 321 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 7-11 322 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6-10 324 H Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 9-13 327 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 10- 9 328 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 7- 1 329 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 8- 9 331 H Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 1-16 402 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 9- 4 403 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 9- 6 404 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 2- 6 407 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 1-12 410 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 3- 6 411 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 3- 5 412 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 7- 2 414 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 2- 5 417 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 7-13 418 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 7-13 419 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 8- 9 421 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 2- 3 424 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 10-13 425 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 11-17 426 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 11-13 428 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 0-13 501 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 14- 9 502 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 2- 7 503 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 14- 4 508 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 6- 7 509 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 5-10 510 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 2- 5 514 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 5- 2 515 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 1- 0 516 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Central Michigan 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 8.58
213 H Central Michigan 6-18 -12 -1 --- -11.42
214 H Central Michigan 6-15 -9 -1 --- -8.42
214 H Central Michigan 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.42
217 H Elon 4- 6 -2 0 -1.85
220 H UNC Wilmington 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 6.56
221 A Little Rock 3- 4 -1 -4 + 2.53
222 A Little Rock 1- 6 -5 -4 -1.47
225 A Auburn 3- 4 -1 -8 +++ 7.47
227 A South Alabama 4- 7 -3 -5 1.79
228 A South Alabama 6-21 -15 -5 --- -9.21
301 A South Alabama 1- 2 -1 -5 + 3.79
306 H Kentucky 4-10 -6 -4 -1.84
307 A Wichita State 7-12 -5 -4 -0.82
307 A Wichita State 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.18
308 A Wichita State 13-11 2 -4 +++ 6.18
310 A Georgia Tech 0-14 -14 -9 -- -4.50
313 H Jacksonville 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.89
314 H Jacksonville 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.89
315 H Jacksonville 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.11
317 A Merrimack 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.74
320 A Stetson 3- 4 -1 -2 1.36
321 H Miami 7-11 -4 -5 0.69
322 A Stetson 6-10 -4 -2 -1.64
324 H Mercer 9-13 -4 -4 -0.41
327 A Queens University 10- 9 1 1 0.38
328 A Queens University 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.38
329 A Queens University 8- 9 -1 1 -1.62
331 H Samford 1-16 -15 -3 --- -11.01
402 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 7.31
403 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 5.31
404 H Florida Gulf Coast 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.69
407 A Mercer 1-12 -11 -5 --- -6.06
410 A Washington 3- 6 -3 -3 0.47
411 H North Florida 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.29
412 H North Florida 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 6.71
414 A Georgia State 2- 5 -3 -3 0.24
417 A Jacksonville 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.76
418 A Jacksonville 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.76
419 A Jacksonville 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.24
421 H Kennesaw State 2- 3 -1 -3 1.92
424 H Stetson 10-13 -3 -1 -1.99
425 H Stetson 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.99
426 H Stetson 11-13 -2 -1 -0.99
428 A Tennessee 0-13 -13 -6 --- -6.71
501 H Queens University 14- 9 5 2 + 3.02
502 H Queens University 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.98
503 H Queens University 14- 4 10 2 +++ 8.02
508 A Florida Gulf Coast 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.66
509 A Florida Gulf Coast 5-10 -5 -4 -1.34
510 A Florida Gulf Coast 2- 5 -3 -4 0.66
514 H Duke 5- 2 3 -3 ++ 5.74
516 A North Florida 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Central Michigan 6-18 -12 -1 --- -11.42 214 H Central Michigan 6-15 -9 -1 --- -8.42 228 A South Alabama 6-21 -15 -5 --- -9.21 331 H Samford 1-16 -15 -3 --- -11.01 407 A Mercer 1-12 -11 -5 --- -6.06 428 A Tennessee 0-13 -13 -6 --- -6.71 502 H Queens University 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.98 214 H Central Michigan 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.42 310 A Georgia Tech 0-14 -14 -9 -- -4.50 425 H Stetson 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.99 315 H Jacksonville 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.11 317 A Merrimack 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.74 417 A Jacksonville 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.76 418 A Jacksonville 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.76 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Central Michigan 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 8.58 220 H UNC Wilmington 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 6.56 225 A Auburn 3- 4 -1 -8 +++ 7.47 308 A Wichita State 13-11 2 -4 +++ 6.18 402 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 7.31 412 H North Florida 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 6.71 503 H Queens University 14- 4 10 2 +++ 8.02 307 A Wichita State 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.18 314 H Jacksonville 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.89 328 A Queens University 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.38 403 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 5.31 514 H Duke 5- 2 3 -3 ++ 5.74 221 A Little Rock 3- 4 -1 -4 + 2.53 301 A South Alabama 1- 2 -1 -5 + 3.79 313 H Jacksonville 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.89 419 A Jacksonville 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.24 501 H Queens University 14- 9 5 2 + 3.02 508 A Florida Gulf Coast 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 11- 3 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.54 10.91
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 6-18 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.54 -2.21
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 6-15 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.54 -2.21
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 1- 6 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.54 -2.21
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 4- 6 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.54 -2.32
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 5- 1 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.54 13.03
3 A Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 3- 4 -5.97 12.46 0.68 0.54 -1.42
3 A Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 1- 6 -5.97 12.46 0.68 0.54 -1.42
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 3- 4 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.54 -0.09
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4- 7 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.54 -1.08
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 6-21 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.54 -1.08
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 1- 2 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.54 -1.08
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 4-10 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.54 -1.25
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 7-12 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.54 -1.24
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 5- 4 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.54 14.76
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 13-11 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.54 14.76
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 0-14 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.54 -0.18
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 8- 7 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.54 12.31
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 4- 1 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.54 12.31
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 5-10 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.54 -1.86
3 A Merrimack ( 2- 7, 89.7) 2- 4 -10.24 8.19 0.68 0.54 -2.56
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 3- 4 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.54 -1.73
3 H Miami (22-13, 96.4) 7-11 -3.46 14.97 -0.68 0.54 -1.11
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 6-10 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.54 -1.73
3 H Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 9-13 -4.55 13.87 -0.68 0.54 -1.40
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 10- 9 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.54 9.62
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 7- 1 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.54 9.62
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 8- 9 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.54 -2.53
3 H Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 1-16 -5.15 13.27 -0.68 0.54 -1.56
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 9- 4 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.54 12.76
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 9- 6 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.54 12.76
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 2- 6 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.54 -1.74
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 1-12 -4.55 13.87 0.68 0.54 -1.04
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 3- 6 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.54 -1.43
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 3- 5 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 -1.91
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 7- 2 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 12.12
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 2- 5 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 7-13 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 7-13 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 8- 9 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 2- 3 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.54 -1.58
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 10-13 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.54 -2.09
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 11-17 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.54 -2.09
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 11-13 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.54 -2.09
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 0-13 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.54 -0.68
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 14- 9 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.54 8.17
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 2- 7 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.54 -2.89
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 14- 4 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.54 8.17
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 6- 7 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.54 -1.38
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 5-10 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.54 -1.38
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 2- 5 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.54 -1.38
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 5- 2 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.54 13.23
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 1- 0 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.54 10.70
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 1- 5 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.54 -1.54
------
113.76
|
winning pts = 175.2325 losing points = -61.4724
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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