Winthrop
W-L: ( 6-11) PR = 92.0585Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 13- 2 214 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 13- 3 214 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 3- 8 218 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 3- 7 223 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 11- 7 303 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 5-12 306 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 0- 9 307 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 0- 6 307 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 1- 8 317 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 8- 2 331 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 5-15 414 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 13- 3 421 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 8-10 428 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 3- 9 512 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 5- 2 521 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 6-18 523 H Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Georgetown 13- 2 11 2 +++ 9.39
214 H Georgetown 13- 3 10 2 +++ 8.39
214 H Georgetown 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.61
218 H Old Dominion 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.42
223 H Marshall 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 4.73
303 H South Florida 5-12 -7 -2 -- -5.15
306 H Mississippi State 0- 9 -9 -7 - -2.40
307 A Auburn 0- 6 -6 -7 1.49
307 A Auburn 1- 8 -7 -7 0.49
317 A Pacific 8- 2 6 -1 +++ 7.02
331 H Charleston 5-15 -10 0 --- -9.62
414 A Elon 13- 3 10 -1 +++ 10.52
421 H Elon 8-10 -2 1 - -2.83
428 H North Carolina A&T 3- 9 -6 3 --- -8.60
512 A South Carolina 5- 2 3 -3 +++ 6.17
521 H South Carolina Upstate 6-18 -12 -2 --- -9.76
523 H Longwood 3- 4 -1 -1 0.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Georgetown 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.61 331 H Charleston 5-15 -10 0 --- -9.62 428 H North Carolina A&T 3- 9 -6 3 --- -8.60 521 H South Carolina Upstate 6-18 -12 -2 --- -9.76 303 H South Florida 5-12 -7 -2 -- -5.15 218 H Old Dominion 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.42 306 H Mississippi State 0- 9 -9 -7 - -2.40 421 H Elon 8-10 -2 1 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Georgetown 13- 2 11 2 +++ 9.39 214 H Georgetown 13- 3 10 2 +++ 8.39 317 A Pacific 8- 2 6 -1 +++ 7.02 414 A Elon 13- 3 10 -1 +++ 10.52 512 A South Carolina 5- 2 3 -3 +++ 6.17 223 H Marshall 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 4.73 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 13- 2 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 1.70 30.52
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 13- 3 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 1.70 30.52
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 3- 8 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 1.70 -8.04
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 3- 7 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 1.70 -6.18
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 11- 7 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 1.70 38.50
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 5-12 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 1.70 -5.10
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 0- 9 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 1.70 -1.05
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 0- 6 -1.03 17.40 0.68 1.70 -0.30
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 1- 8 -1.03 17.40 0.68 1.70 -0.30
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 8- 2 -7.50 10.93 0.68 1.70 39.49
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 5-15 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 1.70 -6.35
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 13- 3 -8.00 10.43 0.68 1.70 37.78
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 8-10 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 1.70 -7.38
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 3- 9 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 1.70 -8.89
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 5- 2 -5.35 13.08 0.68 1.70 46.79
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 6-18 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 1.70 -4.77
3 H Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 3- 4 -5.94 12.48 -0.68 1.70 -5.63
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169.62
|
winning pts = 223.6065 losing points = -53.9853
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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