Western Michigan
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 92.5128Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 4-12 214 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 7- 5 215 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 7-17 222 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 5- 2 227 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 11- 1 228 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 4-11 301 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 10- 5 310 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 2- 3 324 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 3-14 506 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 3- 8 520 A Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 0-11 521 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 6 522 A Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 1- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Pittsburgh 4-12 -8 -5 - -3.47
214 A Pittsburgh 7- 5 2 -5 +++ 6.53
215 A Pittsburgh 7-17 -10 -5 -- -5.47
222 A UC San Diego 5- 2 3 -3 ++ 5.58
227 A Cal State Northridge 11- 1 10 -2 +++ 11.80
228 A Cal State Northridge 4-11 -7 -2 -- -5.20
301 A Cal State Northridge 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 6.80
310 A Michigan 2- 3 -1 -4 + 3.00
324 A Notre Dame 3-14 -11 -4 --- -6.94
506 A Michigan State 3- 8 -5 -3 -1.79
520 A Northern Illinois 0-11 -11 -2 --- -9.30
521 H Ball State 8- 6 2 2 0.19
522 A Kent State 1- 6 -5 -3 -1.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Notre Dame 3-14 -11 -4 --- -6.94 520 A Northern Illinois 0-11 -11 -2 --- -9.30 215 A Pittsburgh 7-17 -10 -5 -- -5.47 228 A Cal State Northridge 4-11 -7 -2 -- -5.20 213 A Pittsburgh 4-12 -8 -5 - -3.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Pittsburgh 7- 5 2 -5 +++ 6.53 227 A Cal State Northridge 11- 1 10 -2 +++ 11.80 301 A Cal State Northridge 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 6.80 222 A UC San Diego 5- 2 3 -3 ++ 5.58 310 A Michigan 2- 3 -1 -4 + 3.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 4-12 -3.53 14.89 0.68 2.22 -3.18
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 7- 5 -3.53 14.89 0.68 2.22 69.27
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 7-17 -3.53 14.89 0.68 2.22 -3.18
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 5- 2 -5.48 12.94 0.68 2.22 60.60
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 11- 1 -6.27 12.16 0.68 2.22 57.11
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 4-11 -6.27 12.16 0.68 2.22 -6.22
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 10- 5 -6.27 12.16 0.68 2.22 57.11
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 2- 3 -4.07 14.36 0.68 2.22 -3.77
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 3-14 -4.01 14.42 0.68 2.22 -3.71
3 A Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 3- 8 -4.86 13.57 0.68 2.22 -4.65
3 A Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 0-11 -6.36 12.07 0.68 2.22 -6.32
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 6 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 2.22 41.05
3 A Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 1- 6 -4.77 13.66 0.68 2.22 -4.55
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249.55
|
winning pts = 285.1307 losing points = -35.5785
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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