William & Mary
W-L: (20-30) PR = 91.5204Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 2- 9 214 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 2- 8 214 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 7- 8 220 A Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 8- 5 221 H Binghamton AE ( 3- 9, 91.4) 10- 5 221 H Binghamton AE ( 3- 9, 91.4) 5- 4 225 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 4- 7 227 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 10- 3 228 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 12- 6 303 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 2-10 306 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 2- 6 307 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 1- 6 308 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 5- 8 310 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 7- 9 311 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 3-24 313 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 5- 6 314 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 8- 2 315 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 7- 3 317 A Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 6- 8 320 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 9- 5 321 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 6- 9 322 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 11-10 324 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 6- 3 327 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 3- 5 328 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 1-22 329 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 9- 8 331 H VMI SO ( 1- 1, 92.4) 3-10 402 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 2- 5 403 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 2-12 404 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 6- 8 407 A Bradley MV ( 2- 6, 87.9) 3- 6 410 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 9- 7 411 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 13- 1 412 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 4- 9 414 H Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 7- 3 417 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 10-16 418 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 7- 5 419 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 0- 4 424 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 14- 5 426 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 9- 0 501 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 5- 4 502 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 2- 5 503 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 5- 7 505 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 14-15 508 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 3-15 509 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 10-11 510 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 14- 6 512 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 9-14 514 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 2- 2 515 H Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 5- 4 516 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 2-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Virginia Tech 2- 9 -7 -4 - -2.55
214 A Virginia Tech 2- 8 -6 -4 -1.55
214 A Virginia Tech 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.45
220 A Wagner 8- 5 3 2 0.59
221 H Binghamton 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.17
221 H Binghamton 5- 4 1 1 0.17
225 A Jacksonville State 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.24
227 H Lafayette 10- 3 7 3 ++ 4.44
228 H Lafayette 12- 6 6 3 + 3.44
303 H LSU 2-10 -8 -5 - -3.19
306 H South Florida 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.62
307 A Campbell 1- 6 -5 -5 -0.48
308 A Campbell 5- 8 -3 -5 1.52
310 A Virginia 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.26
311 H East Carolina 3-24 -21 -5 --- -9.46
313 A Georgetown 5- 6 -1 0 -0.72
314 A Georgetown 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.28
315 A Georgetown 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.28
317 A Longwood 6- 8 -2 -3 1.11
320 H North Carolina A&T 9- 5 4 2 1.93
321 A UC Riverside 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.24
322 H North Carolina A&T 11-10 1 2 -1.07
324 A Old Dominion 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 5.47
327 A UNC Wilmington 3- 5 -2 -3 1.47
328 A UNC Wilmington 1-22 -21 -3 --- -10.53
329 A UNC Wilmington 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.47
331 H VMI 3-10 -7 0 --- -6.79
402 H Campbell 2- 5 -3 -3 0.17
403 H Campbell 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.83
404 H Campbell 6- 8 -2 -3 1.17
407 A Bradley 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.97
410 H Pepperdine 9- 7 2 1 1.27
411 A Elon 13- 1 12 -1 +++ 13.06
412 A Elon 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.94
414 H Longwood 7- 3 4 -2 ++ 5.76
417 H Charleston 10-16 -6 -1 -- -5.09
418 H Charleston 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.91
419 H Charleston 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.09
424 A North Carolina A&T 14- 5 9 1 +++ 8.29
426 A North Carolina A&T 9- 0 9 1 +++ 8.29
501 H Elon 5- 4 1 0 0.70
502 H Elon 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.30
503 H Elon 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.30
505 H George Mason 14-15 -1 2 - -3.17
508 H Towson 3-15 -12 1 --- -13.02
509 H Towson 10-11 -1 1 - -2.02
510 H Towson 14- 6 8 1 +++ 6.98
512 A Duke 9-14 -5 -4 -1.35
514 H Xavier 2- 2 0 -1 1.40
515 H Pennsylvania 5- 4 1 0 0.73
516 A Charleston 2-12 -10 -2 --- -7.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H East Carolina 3-24 -21 -5 --- -9.46 328 A UNC Wilmington 1-22 -21 -3 --- -10.53 331 H VMI 3-10 -7 0 --- -6.79 403 H Campbell 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.83 508 H Towson 3-15 -12 1 --- -13.02 516 A Charleston 2-12 -10 -2 --- -7.74 321 A UC Riverside 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.24 407 A Bradley 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.97 417 H Charleston 10-16 -6 -1 -- -5.09 213 A Virginia Tech 2- 9 -7 -4 - -2.55 303 H LSU 2-10 -8 -5 - -3.19 412 A Elon 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.94 419 H Charleston 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.09 502 H Elon 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.30 503 H Elon 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.30 505 H George Mason 14-15 -1 2 - -3.17 509 H Towson 10-11 -1 1 - -2.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Georgetown 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.28 411 A Elon 13- 1 12 -1 +++ 13.06 424 A North Carolina A&T 14- 5 9 1 +++ 8.29 426 A North Carolina A&T 9- 0 9 1 +++ 8.29 510 H Towson 14- 6 8 1 +++ 6.98 221 H Binghamton 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.17 227 H Lafayette 10- 3 7 3 ++ 4.44 315 A Georgetown 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.28 324 A Old Dominion 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 5.47 329 A UNC Wilmington 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.47 414 H Longwood 7- 3 4 -2 ++ 5.76 214 A Virginia Tech 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.45 225 A Jacksonville State 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.24 228 H Lafayette 12- 6 6 3 + 3.44 310 A Virginia 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.26 418 H Charleston 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.91 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 2- 9 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.57 -1.11
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 2- 8 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.57 -1.11
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 7- 8 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.57 -1.11
3 A Wagner ( 2-14, 88.4) 8- 5 -11.46 6.96 0.68 0.57 8.66
3 H Binghamton ( 3- 9, 91.4) 10- 5 -8.53 9.89 -0.68 0.57 10.46
3 H Binghamton ( 3- 9, 91.4) 5- 4 -8.53 9.89 -0.68 0.57 10.46
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 4- 7 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.57 -0.61
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 10- 3 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.57 8.49
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 12- 6 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.57 8.49
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 2-10 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.57 -1.01
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 2- 6 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.57 -1.70
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 1- 6 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.57 -1.09
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 5- 8 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.57 -1.09
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 7- 9 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.57 -0.89
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 3-24 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.57 -1.09
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 5- 6 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.57 -2.30
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 8- 2 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.57 11.71
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 7- 3 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.57 11.71
3 A Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 6- 8 -5.94 12.48 0.68 0.57 -1.49
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 9- 5 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 0.57 9.05
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 6- 9 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.57 -2.73
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 11-10 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 0.57 9.05
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 6- 3 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.57 14.19
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 3- 5 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.57 -1.39
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 1-22 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.57 -1.39
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 9- 8 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.57 15.33
3 H VMI ( 1- 1, 92.4) 3-10 -7.49 10.93 -0.68 0.57 -2.32
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 2- 5 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.57 -1.48
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 2-12 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.57 -1.48
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 6- 8 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.57 -1.48
3 A Bradley ( 2- 6, 87.9) 3- 6 -12.03 6.40 0.68 0.57 -3.22
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 9- 7 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.57 10.57
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 13- 1 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.57 12.59
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 4- 9 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.57 -2.08
3 H Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 7- 3 -5.94 12.48 -0.68 0.57 13.39
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 10-16 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.57 -2.12
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 7- 5 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.57 12.43
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 0- 4 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.57 -2.12
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 14- 5 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.57 10.58
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 9- 0 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.57 10.58
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 5- 4 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.57 11.06
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 2- 5 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.57 -2.46
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 5- 7 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.57 -2.46
3 H George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 14-15 -9.88 8.55 -0.68 0.57 -2.99
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 3-15 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.57 -2.66
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 10-11 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.57 -2.66
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 14- 6 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.57 10.24
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 9-14 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.57 -1.34
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 2- 2 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.57 0.00
3 H Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 5- 4 -7.97 10.46 -0.68 0.57 11.09
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 2-12 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.57 -1.73
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167.42
|
winning pts = 220.1388 losing points = -52.7236
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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