Wright State
W-L: (10-12) PR = 94.1271Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1-13 214 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 0- 9 214 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 6- 3 220 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 3- 2 221 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 4- 5 222 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 2- 9 227 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 6- 4 228 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 3- 7 301 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 3- 4 306 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 3- 2 307 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 4- 5 308 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 6- 0 310 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 4-12 324 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 10- 8 331 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 5- 8 407 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 2- 5 421 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 12- 7 512 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 8- 4 521 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 7- 5 522 H Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 1- 4 523 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 11- 5 523 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Georgia 1-13 -12 -5 --- -6.51
214 A Georgia 0- 9 -9 -5 - -3.51
214 A Georgia 6- 3 3 -5 +++ 8.49
220 H Arkansas State 3- 2 1 -1 1.72
221 A Charlotte 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.34
222 A Charlotte 2- 9 -7 -1 --- -6.34
227 A Campbell 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.91
228 A Campbell 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.09
301 H North Carolina A&T 3- 4 -1 5 -- -5.67
306 H Georgia Southern 3- 2 1 3 -1.89
307 A Tennessee 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.24
308 A Tennessee 6- 0 6 -3 +++ 9.24
310 A Indiana 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.39
324 H Ohio State 10- 8 2 0 + 2.23
331 A Cincinnati 5- 8 -3 -3 0.32
407 H New Mexico 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.31
421 H Cincinnati 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.96
512 A Ohio State 8- 4 4 -2 ++ 5.58
521 H Oakland 7- 5 2 4 -1.66
522 H Milwaukee 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.83
523 H Oakland 11- 5 6 4 + 2.34
523 A Milwaukee 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.48
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Georgia 1-13 -12 -5 --- -6.51 222 A Charlotte 2- 9 -7 -1 --- -6.34 310 A Indiana 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.39 301 H North Carolina A&T 3- 4 -1 5 -- -5.67 407 H New Mexico 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.31 214 A Georgia 0- 9 -9 -5 - -3.51 228 A Campbell 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.09 522 H Milwaukee 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Georgia 6- 3 3 -5 +++ 8.49 308 A Tennessee 6- 0 6 -3 +++ 9.24 421 H Cincinnati 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.96 512 A Ohio State 8- 4 4 -2 ++ 5.58 227 A Campbell 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.91 307 A Tennessee 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.24 324 H Ohio State 10- 8 2 0 + 2.23 523 H Oakland 11- 5 6 4 + 2.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1-13 -0.95 17.47 0.68 1.31 -0.18
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 0- 9 -0.95 17.47 0.68 1.31 -0.18
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 6- 3 -0.95 17.47 0.68 1.31 47.71
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 3- 2 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 1.31 35.16
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 4- 5 -5.79 12.64 0.68 1.31 -3.36
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 2- 9 -5.79 12.64 0.68 1.31 -3.36
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 6- 4 -4.54 13.89 0.68 1.31 38.29
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 3- 7 -4.54 13.89 0.68 1.31 -2.54
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 3- 4 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 1.31 -6.87
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 3- 2 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 1.31 25.66
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 4- 5 -3.21 15.22 0.68 1.31 -1.67
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 6- 0 -3.21 15.22 0.68 1.31 41.78
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 4-12 -4.84 13.58 0.68 1.31 -2.74
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 10- 8 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 1.31 33.87
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 5- 8 -3.13 15.29 0.68 1.31 -1.61
3 H New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 2- 5 -6.41 12.02 -0.68 1.31 -4.66
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 12- 7 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 1.31 38.43
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 8- 4 -4.87 13.56 0.68 1.31 37.42
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 7- 5 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 1.31 23.64
3 H Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 1- 4 -5.93 12.50 -0.68 1.31 -4.34
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 11- 5 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 1.31 23.64
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 4- 5 -5.93 12.50 0.68 1.31 -3.45
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310.65
|
winning pts = 345.6100 losing points = -34.9639
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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