Xavier
W-L: (27-30) PR = 93.5924Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 4- 3 214 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 9- 3 214 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 5-12 217 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 11-23 220 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 2- 9 221 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 6- 7 222 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 0-11 225 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 4-10 227 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 3- 0 228 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 3- 2 301 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 7- 5 304 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 13- 5 306 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 2-10 307 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2- 7 308 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2-17 309 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2- 7 310 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0-10 311 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 3- 6 313 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 7- 5 314 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 4- 6 315 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 1- 5 318 A VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 4- 8 320 H Wofford SO ( 5- 5, 94.5) 8- 1 321 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 2- 0 322 H Wofford SO ( 5- 5, 94.5) 5- 8 324 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 4- 3 327 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 1- 3 328 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 0- 8 329 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 6- 1 331 A Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 13-12 402 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 5- 1 403 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 11- 6 404 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 9-10 407 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 4- 6 410 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 8-12 411 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 9- 7 412 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 9- 6 414 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 5-15 417 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 10- 1 418 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 6- 3 419 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 3- 1 421 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 1-11 424 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 7-12 425 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 6- 8 426 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 16- 6 428 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 10- 7 501 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 8- 4 502 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 5- 7 503 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 6-14 508 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 5- 2 509 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 12-10 510 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 9- 2 514 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 2- 2 515 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 3- 6 516 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 5- 3 521 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 5- 1 523 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 6-17 523 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A East Carolina 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.82
214 A East Carolina 9- 3 6 -4 +++ 9.82
214 A East Carolina 5-12 -7 -4 - -3.18
217 A Louisville 11-23 -12 -3 --- -8.72
220 H Clemson 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.63
221 A Arkansas 6- 7 -1 -5 + 3.60
222 A Arkansas 0-11 -11 -5 --- -6.40
225 H Indiana 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.21
227 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 0 3 -1 + 3.79
228 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 2 1 -1 1.79
301 H UC Davis 7- 5 2 0 1.58
304 H Nebraska 13- 5 8 -3 +++ 10.77
306 H Minnesota 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.93
307 A Oregon State 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.64
308 A Oregon State 2-17 -15 -3 --- -10.64
309 A Oregon State 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.64
310 A Oregon 0-10 -10 -4 -- -5.80
311 A Oregon 3- 6 -3 -4 1.20
313 H Evansville 7- 5 2 3 -0.78
314 H Evansville 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.78
315 H Evansville 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.78
318 A VCU 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.69
320 H Wofford 8- 1 7 0 +++ 7.22
321 A Rice 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.41
322 H Wofford 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.78
324 H Cincinnati 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.50
327 A UConn 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.56
328 A UConn 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.56
329 A UConn 6- 1 5 -1 +++ 6.44
331 A Ball State 13-12 1 2 -0.54
402 A Georgetown 5- 1 4 2 + 2.20
403 A Georgetown 11- 6 5 2 + 3.20
404 A Georgetown 9-10 -1 2 - -2.80
407 A UTSA 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.24
410 A California 8-12 -4 -2 -1.78
411 H Villanova 9- 7 2 4 -1.94
412 H Villanova 9- 6 3 4 -0.94
414 A Cincinnati 5-15 -10 -4 --- -6.15
417 A Seton Hall 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.54
418 A Seton Hall 6- 3 3 2 0.54
419 A Seton Hall 3- 1 2 2 -0.46
421 A Vanderbilt 1-11 -10 -4 -- -5.79
424 H St. John's 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.12
425 H St. John's 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.12
426 H St. John's 16- 6 10 0 +++ 9.88
428 A Miami 10- 7 3 -4 +++ 6.53
501 A Georgia Tech 8- 4 4 -7 +++ 10.98
502 A Georgia Tech 5- 7 -2 -7 ++ 4.98
503 A Georgia Tech 6-14 -8 -7 -1.02
508 A Butler 5- 2 3 1 1.95
509 A Butler 12-10 2 1 0.95
510 A Butler 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.95
514 A William & Mary 2- 2 0 1 -1.40
515 A Texas Tech 3- 6 -3 -3 -0.12
516 H Creighton 5- 3 2 0 + 2.15
521 A UConn 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.44
523 A St. John's 6-17 -11 -1 --- -9.76
523 H Creighton 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.85
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Louisville 11-23 -12 -3 --- -8.72 222 A Arkansas 0-11 -11 -5 --- -6.40 308 A Oregon State 2-17 -15 -3 --- -10.64 315 H Evansville 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.78 328 A UConn 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.56 414 A Cincinnati 5-15 -10 -4 --- -6.15 523 A St. John's 6-17 -11 -1 --- -9.76 220 H Clemson 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.63 225 H Indiana 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.21 306 H Minnesota 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.93 310 A Oregon 0-10 -10 -4 -- -5.80 314 H Evansville 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.78 421 A Vanderbilt 1-11 -10 -4 -- -5.79 424 H St. John's 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.12 214 A East Carolina 5-12 -7 -4 - -3.18 318 A VCU 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.69 322 H Wofford 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.78 404 A Georgetown 9-10 -1 2 - -2.80 425 H St. John's 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.12 523 H Creighton 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A East Carolina 9- 3 6 -4 +++ 9.82 304 H Nebraska 13- 5 8 -3 +++ 10.77 320 H Wofford 8- 1 7 0 +++ 7.22 329 A UConn 6- 1 5 -1 +++ 6.44 417 A Seton Hall 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.54 426 H St. John's 16- 6 10 0 +++ 9.88 428 A Miami 10- 7 3 -4 +++ 6.53 501 A Georgia Tech 8- 4 4 -7 +++ 10.98 213 A East Carolina 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.82 502 A Georgia Tech 5- 7 -2 -7 ++ 4.98 510 A Butler 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.95 521 A UConn 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 5.44 221 A Arkansas 6- 7 -1 -5 + 3.60 227 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 0 3 -1 + 3.79 321 A Rice 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.41 324 H Cincinnati 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.50 402 A Georgetown 5- 1 4 2 + 2.20 403 A Georgetown 11- 6 5 2 + 3.20 407 A UTSA 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.24 516 H Creighton 5- 3 2 0 + 2.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 4- 3 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.50 15.89
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 9- 3 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.50 15.89
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 5-12 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.50 -0.62
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 11-23 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.50 -0.75
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 2- 9 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.50 -1.23
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 6- 7 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.50 -0.43
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 0-11 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.50 -0.43
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 4-10 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.50 -1.38
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 3- 0 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.50 12.87
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 3- 2 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.50 12.87
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 7- 5 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.50 11.67
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 13- 5 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.50 14.85
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 2-10 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.50 -0.81
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2- 7 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.50 -0.73
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2-17 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.50 -0.73
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2- 7 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.50 -0.73
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0-10 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.50 -0.52
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 3- 6 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.50 -0.52
3 H Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 7- 5 -8.41 10.01 -0.68 0.50 9.31
3 H Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 4- 6 -8.41 10.01 -0.68 0.50 -2.27
3 H Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 1- 5 -8.41 10.01 -0.68 0.50 -2.27
3 A VCU (10-10, 94.2) 4- 8 -5.68 12.75 0.68 0.50 -1.25
3 H Wofford ( 5- 5, 94.5) 8- 1 -5.41 13.01 -0.68 0.50 12.30
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 2- 0 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.50 13.50
3 H Wofford ( 5- 5, 94.5) 5- 8 -5.41 13.01 -0.68 0.50 -1.52
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 4- 3 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.50 14.58
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 1- 3 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.50 -1.21
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 0- 8 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.50 -1.21
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 6- 1 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.50 13.52
3 A Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 13-12 -8.52 9.90 0.68 0.50 10.55
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 5- 1 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.50 10.29
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 11- 6 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.50 10.29
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 9-10 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.50 -2.02
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 4- 6 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.50 -0.52
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 8-12 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.50 -1.02
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 9- 7 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 0.50 8.15
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 9- 6 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 0.50 8.15
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 5-15 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.50 -0.61
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 10- 1 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.50 9.64
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 6- 3 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.50 9.64
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 3- 1 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.50 9.64
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 1-11 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.50 -0.52
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 7-12 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.50 -1.60
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 6- 8 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.50 -1.60
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 16- 6 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.50 11.97
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 10- 7 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.50 15.60
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 8- 4 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.50 19.05
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 5- 7 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.50 -0.17
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 6-14 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.50 -0.17
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 5- 2 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.50 11.04
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 12-10 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.50 11.04
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 9- 2 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.50 11.04
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 2- 2 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.50 0.00
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 3- 6 -4.11 14.32 0.68 0.50 -0.86
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 5- 3 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.50 12.23
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 5- 1 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.50 13.52
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 6-17 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.50 -1.26
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 4- 7 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.50 -1.54
------
298.62
|
winning pts = 329.1225 losing points = -30.5055
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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