Youngstown State
W-L: ( 2-10) PR = 92.1317Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 1- 2 214 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 1- 2 214 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 2-17 220 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 0- 9 221 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0- 7 222 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 6-15 304 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 12- 5 320 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 3- 2 322 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 3- 6 325 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 7- 8 408 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 2- 7 520 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 2-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Auburn 1- 2 -1 -7 +++ 6.42
214 A Auburn 1- 2 -1 -7 +++ 6.42
214 A Auburn 2-17 -15 -7 --- -6.58
220 H Mississippi State 0- 9 -9 -7 - -2.47
221 A Oregon 0- 7 -7 -6 -1.33
222 A Oregon 6-15 -9 -6 - -3.33
304 H California Baptist 12- 5 7 -4 +++ 10.68
320 A Georgetown 3- 2 1 0 0.66
322 A Georgetown 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.34
325 A Pittsburgh 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.91
408 H Miami 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.36
520 H Oakland 2-10 -8 2 --- -9.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Auburn 2-17 -15 -7 --- -6.58 520 H Oakland 2-10 -8 2 --- -9.67 220 H Mississippi State 0- 9 -9 -7 - -2.47 222 A Oregon 6-15 -9 -6 - -3.33 322 A Georgetown 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Auburn 1- 2 -1 -7 +++ 6.42 214 A Auburn 1- 2 -1 -7 +++ 6.42 304 H California Baptist 12- 5 7 -4 +++ 10.68 325 A Pittsburgh 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.91 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 1- 2 -1.03 17.40 0.68 2.41 -0.42
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 1- 2 -1.03 17.40 0.68 2.41 -0.42
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 2-17 -1.03 17.40 0.68 2.41 -0.42
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 0- 9 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 2.41 -1.49
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0- 7 -2.78 15.65 0.68 2.41 -2.53
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 6-15 -2.78 15.65 0.68 2.41 -2.53
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 12- 5 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 2.41 69.09
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 3- 2 -8.78 9.65 0.68 2.41 49.76
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 3- 6 -8.78 9.65 0.68 2.41 -9.77
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 7- 8 -3.53 14.89 0.68 2.41 -3.44
3 H Miami (22-13, 96.4) 2- 7 -3.46 14.97 -0.68 2.41 -4.98
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 2-10 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 2.41 -11.37
------
81.46
|
winning pts = 118.8452 losing points = -37.3845
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------