Alcorn St
W-L: (10-22) PR = 93.8196Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 76-** 1106 H So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 70-76 1108 H Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 50-95 1111 H Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 64-84 1113 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 64-72 1118 H LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 81-** 1123 H Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 53-72 1128 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 81-74 1129 H La Tech CUSA (20-13, 95.5) 58-83 1203 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 1219 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 56-** 1229 H Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 43-79 103 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 86-89 110 A Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 64-62 112 H Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 66-81 117 H TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 71-72 119 A Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 76-75 124 H Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 58-66 126 H Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 73-82 131 A Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 78-73 202 H Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 50-74 207 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) 77-84 209 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 74-66 214 A Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 57-55 216 H Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 78-86 221 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 83-65 226 H TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 87-92 228 H Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 51-72 303 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 67-64 305 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) 48-83 309 A Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 77-65 310 H Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 56-65
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Florida St 76-** -32 -3 0.00
1106 H So Alabama 70-76 -6 -2 -0.17
1108 H Minnesota 50-95 -45 -3 0.00
1111 H Maryland 64-84 -20 -3 0.00
1113 H Howard 64-72 -8 -1 -0.88
1118 H LSU 81-** -26 -3 0.00
1123 H Oklahoma 53-72 -19 -4 0.00
1128 A Indiana St 81-74 7 -1 + 2.91
1129 H La Tech 58-83 -25 -2 -0.30
1219 H Baylor 56-** -57 -3 0.00
1229 H Ole Miss 43-79 -36 -3 0.00
103 H Jackson St 86-89 -3 0 -1.86
110 A Alabama A&M 64-62 2 -1 + 2.73
112 H Alabama St 66-81 -15 0 - -2.06
117 H TX Southern 71-72 -1 0 -0.81
119 A Prairie View 76-75 1 -1 1.78
124 H Florida A&M 58-66 -8 -1 -1.35
126 H Beth-Cook 73-82 -9 -1 -0.83
131 A Southern 78-73 5 -1 + 2.87
202 H Grambling St 50-74 -24 0 -1.68
207 H AK-Pine Bl 77-84 -7 0 -1.63
209 A Miss Val St 74-66 8 1 0.61
214 A Beth-Cook 57-55 2 -1 + 3.19
216 H Florida A&M 78-86 -8 -1 -1.35
221 A Jackson St 83-65 18 0 + 2.16
226 H TX Southern 87-92 -5 0 -1.81
228 H Prairie View 51-72 -21 -1 -1.24
303 A Miss Val St 67-64 3 1 0.61
305 H AK-Pine Bl 48-83 -35 0 -1.63
309 A Alabama St 77-65 12 0 1.96
310 H Prairie View 56-65 -9 -1 -1.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 112 H Alabama St 66-81 -15 0 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 A Indiana St 81-74 7 -1 + 2.91 110 A Alabama A&M 64-62 2 -1 + 2.73 131 A Southern 78-73 5 -1 + 2.87 214 A Beth-Cook 57-55 2 -1 + 3.19 221 A Jackson St 83-65 18 0 + 2.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 76-** -2.68 4.79 -0.01 1.06 -1.43
3 H So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 70-76 -4.24 3.23 -0.01 1.06 -2.26
3 H Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 50-95 -3.17 4.31 -0.01 1.06 -1.69
3 H Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 64-84 -3.32 4.15 -0.01 1.06 -1.78
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 64-72 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.06 -2.64
3 H LSU (15-17, 96.8) 81-** -3.07 4.41 -0.01 1.06 -1.64
3 H Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 53-72 -2.44 5.04 -0.01 1.06 -1.30
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 81-74 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.91
3 H La Tech (20-13, 95.5) 58-83 -4.37 3.11 -0.01 1.06 -2.33
3 H Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 56-** -2.74 4.74 -0.01 1.06 -1.46
3 H Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 43-79 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.06 -1.62
3 H Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 86-89 -5.93 1.55 -0.01 1.06 -3.16
3 A Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 64-62 -5.36 2.11 0.01 1.06 4.52
3 H Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 66-81 -6.13 1.35 -0.01 1.06 -3.27
3 H TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 71-72 -5.88 1.60 -0.01 1.06 -3.13
3 A Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 76-75 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.06 4.64
3 H Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 58-66 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.89
3 H Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 73-82 -4.90 2.58 -0.01 1.06 -2.61
3 A Southern (16-18, 94.7) 78-73 -5.22 2.26 0.01 1.06 4.83
3 H Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 50-74 -5.75 1.72 -0.01 1.06 -3.07
3 H AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) 77-84 -5.70 1.78 -0.01 1.06 -3.04
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 74-66 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 57-55 -4.90 2.58 0.01 1.06 5.51
3 H Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 78-86 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.89
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 83-65 -5.93 1.55 0.01 1.06 3.31
3 H TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 87-92 -5.88 1.60 -0.01 1.06 -3.13
3 H Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 51-72 -5.31 2.17 -0.01 1.06 -2.83
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 67-64 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) 48-83 -5.70 1.78 -0.01 1.06 -3.04
3 A Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 77-65 -6.13 1.35 0.01 1.06 2.89
3 H Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 56-65 -5.31 2.17 -0.01 1.06 -2.83
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-19.16
|
winning pts = 34.9135 losing points = -54.0692
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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