App State
W-L: (19-14) PR = 95.4629Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 66-82 1105 A CARUN 92-46 1109 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 76-54 1111 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 53-75 1116 A Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 85-77 1121 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 65-63 1124 H Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 53-88 1126 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 67-75 1130 H UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 55-67 1203 A VALYN 1211 A Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 67-54 1214 A High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 86-78 1218 A Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 67-49 1218 A Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 67-49 1220 H Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 63-70 1231 A Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 81-73 103 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 81-88 108 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 52-50 110 H Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 62-67 115 A Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 80-65 117 H Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 73-75 122 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 72-58 123 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 59-43 129 A So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 70-63 131 A Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 66-44 204 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 65-57 207 A Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 65-60 211 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 81-65 214 H Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 58-69 219 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 93-94 221 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 89-74 227 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 57-60 307 H So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 73-86
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Ce Michigan 66-82 -16 1 - -2.99
1109 A NC Center 76-54 22 2 0.11
1111 H Ohio St 53-75 -22 -2 0.00
1116 A Dartmouth 85-77 8 1 0.94
1121 A Charlotte 65-63 2 0 + 2.45
1124 H Elon 53-88 -35 1 - -2.59
1126 H Mercer 67-75 -8 0 - -2.27
1130 H UNC-Ash 55-67 -12 1 - -2.72
1211 A Ea Carolina 67-54 13 0 1.61
1214 A High Point 86-78 8 -1 + 2.89
1218 A Coastal Car 67-49 18 0 1.86
1218 A Coastal Car 67-49 18 0 1.86
1220 H Georgia St 63-70 -7 1 - -3.29
1231 A Old Dominion 81-73 8 1 1.22
103 H Marshall 81-88 -7 0 -1.83
108 A Georgia St 52-50 2 1 0.73
110 H Coastal Car 62-67 -5 0 - -2.16
115 A Jam Madison 80-65 15 0 1.81
117 H Old Dominion 73-75 -2 1 - -2.80
122 A Louisiana 72-58 14 1 1.00
123 A LA-Monroe 59-43 16 2 0.00
129 A So Miss 70-63 7 0 1.89
131 A Troy 66-44 22 -1 + 2.56
204 A So Alabama 65-57 8 0 + 2.20
207 A Ea Michigan 65-60 5 1 1.23
211 A Georgia So 81-65 16 0 1.79
214 H Jam Madison 58-69 -11 0 - -2.21
219 H Marshall 93-94 -1 0 -0.83
221 A Georgia So 89-74 15 0 1.79
227 H TX St-SM 57-60 -3 0 - -2.11
307 H So Miss 73-86 -13 0 - -2.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 H Ce Michigan 66-82 -16 1 - -2.99 1124 H Elon 53-88 -35 1 - -2.59 1126 H Mercer 67-75 -8 0 - -2.27 1130 H UNC-Ash 55-67 -12 1 - -2.72 1220 H Georgia St 63-70 -7 1 - -3.29 110 H Coastal Car 62-67 -5 0 - -2.16 117 H Old Dominion 73-75 -2 1 - -2.80 214 H Jam Madison 58-69 -11 0 - -2.21 227 H TX St-SM 57-60 -3 0 - -2.11 307 H So Miss 73-86 -13 0 - -2.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A Charlotte 65-63 2 0 + 2.45 1214 A High Point 86-78 8 -1 + 2.89 131 A Troy 66-44 22 -1 + 2.56 204 A So Alabama 65-57 8 0 + 2.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 66-82 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.89
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 76-54 -6.34 1.14 0.01 1.06 2.44
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 53-75 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.06 -1.13
3 A Dartmouth (11-16, 94.4) 85-77 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.06 4.21
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 65-63 -4.00 3.48 0.01 1.06 7.43
3 H Elon (14-18, 94.9) 53-88 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.06 -2.67
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 67-75 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.06 -2.51
3 H UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 55-67 -5.15 2.33 -0.01 1.06 -2.75
3 A Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 67-54 -4.84 2.63 0.01 1.06 5.63
3 A High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 86-78 -3.56 3.92 0.01 1.06 8.37
3 A Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 67-49 -4.59 2.89 0.01 1.06 6.17
3 A Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 67-49 -4.59 2.89 0.01 1.06 6.17
3 H Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 63-70 -5.71 1.76 -0.01 1.06 -3.05
3 A Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 81-73 -5.22 2.25 0.01 1.06 4.82
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 81-88 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.06 -2.27
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 52-50 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.06 3.78
3 H Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 62-67 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.06 -2.45
3 A Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 80-65 -4.64 2.84 0.01 1.06 6.07
3 H Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 73-75 -5.22 2.25 -0.01 1.06 -2.79
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 72-58 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.06 4.35
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 59-43 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 70-63 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.06 6.24
3 A Troy (23-11, 96.0) 66-44 -3.89 3.59 0.01 1.06 7.66
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 65-57 -4.24 3.23 0.01 1.06 6.91
3 A Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 65-60 -5.21 2.26 0.01 1.06 4.84
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 81-65 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.06 6.02
3 H Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 58-69 -4.64 2.84 -0.01 1.06 -2.48
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 93-94 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.06 -2.27
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 89-74 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.06 6.02
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 57-60 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.06 -2.42
3 H So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 73-86 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.06 -2.43
------
67.16
|
winning pts = 99.2629 losing points = -32.1064
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------