Arizona
W-L: (36- 3) PR = 99.9000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 93-87 1107 A Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 93-67 1111 A No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 84-49 1114 A UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 69-65 1119 A Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 71-67 1124 A Denver SM (14-18, 94.9) **-73 1129 A Norfolk St MEAC N (14-19, 93.7) 98-61 1206 A Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 97-68 1213 A Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 96-75 1216 A Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 96-62 1220 A San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 68-45 1222 A Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) **-71 1229 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 99-71 103 A Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 97-78 107 A Kansas St B12 (12-20, 96.7) **-76 110 A TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 86-73 114 A Arizona St B12 (17-16, 97.4) 89-82 117 A UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 84-77 121 A Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 77-51 124 A West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 88-53 126 A BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 86-83 131 A Arizona St B12 (17-16, 97.4) 87-74 207 A Oklahoma St B12 (21-15, 97.4) 84-47 209 H Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 78-82 214 H Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 75-78 218 A BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 75-68 221 A Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 73-66 224 A Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 87-80 228 A Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 84-61 302 A Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 73-57 307 A Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 89-79 312 A UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 81-59 313 A Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 82-80 314 A Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 79-74 320 A LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 92-58 322 A Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 78-66 326 A Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) **-88 328 A Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 79-64 404 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 73-91
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Florida 93-87 6 1 0.94
1107 A Utah Tech 93-67 26 4 0.00
1111 A No Arizona 84-49 35 6 0.00
1114 A UCLA 69-65 4 2 0.15
1119 A Connecticut 71-67 4 1 1.24
1124 A Denver **-73 30 5 0.00
1129 A Norfolk St 98-61 37 6 0.00
1206 A Auburn 97-68 29 2 0.00
1213 A Alabama 96-75 21 1 0.65
1216 A Abilene Chr 96-62 34 5 0.00
1220 A San Diego St 68-45 23 3 0.00
1222 A Beth-Cook **-71 36 5 0.00
1229 A So Dakota St 99-71 28 5 0.00
103 A Utah 97-78 19 4 0.00
107 A Kansas St **-76 25 3 0.00
110 A TCU 86-73 13 2 0.12
114 A Arizona St 89-82 7 3 0.00
117 A UCF 84-77 7 2 0.00
121 A Cincinnati 77-51 26 3 0.00
124 A West Va 88-53 35 2 0.00
126 A BYU 86-83 3 2 0.28
131 A Arizona St 87-74 13 3 0.00
207 A Oklahoma St 84-47 37 3 0.00
209 H Kansas 78-82 -4 1 - -3.48
214 H Texas Tech 75-78 -3 2 - -3.66
218 A BYU 75-68 7 2 0.28
221 A Houston 73-66 7 1 0.98
224 A Baylor 87-80 7 3 0.00
228 A Kansas 84-61 23 1 0.54
302 A Iowa St 73-57 16 1 0.82
307 A Colorado 89-79 10 3 0.00
312 A UCF 81-59 22 2 0.00
313 A Iowa St 82-80 2 1 0.82
314 A Houston 79-74 5 1 0.98
320 A LIU 92-58 34 5 0.00
322 A Utah State 78-66 12 2 0.01
326 A Arkansas **-88 21 1 0.61
328 A Purdue 79-64 15 1 0.87
404 H Michigan 73-91 -18 0 - -2.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Kansas 78-82 -4 1 - -3.48 214 H Texas Tech 75-78 -3 2 - -3.66 404 H Michigan 73-91 -18 0 - -2.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 93-87 -1.07 6.40 0.01 0.85 10.85
3 A Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 93-67 -4.20 3.28 0.01 0.85 5.56
3 A No Arizona (11-22, 94.3) 84-49 -5.58 1.90 0.01 0.85 3.23
3 A UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 69-65 -1.86 5.61 0.01 0.85 9.52
3 A Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 71-67 -0.77 6.71 0.01 0.85 11.37
3 A Denver (14-18, 94.9) **-73 -5.01 2.46 0.01 0.85 4.19
3 A Norfolk St (14-19, 93.7) 98-61 -6.17 1.31 0.01 0.85 2.23
3 A Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 97-68 -2.19 5.29 0.01 0.85 8.97
3 A Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 96-75 -1.36 6.12 0.01 0.85 10.38
3 A Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 96-62 -4.80 2.68 0.01 0.85 4.55
3 A San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 68-45 -2.51 4.96 0.01 0.85 8.42
3 A Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) **-71 -4.90 2.58 0.01 0.85 4.38
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 99-71 -5.17 2.31 0.01 0.85 3.92
3 A Utah (10-22, 96.2) 97-78 -3.73 3.74 0.01 0.85 6.36
3 A Kansas St (12-20, 96.7) **-76 -3.19 4.28 0.01 0.85 7.27
3 A TCU (24-12, 98.0) 86-73 -1.89 5.58 0.01 0.85 9.47
3 A Arizona St (17-16, 97.4) 89-82 -2.53 4.94 0.01 0.85 8.38
3 A UCF (21-12, 97.8) 84-77 -2.10 5.37 0.01 0.85 9.11
3 A Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 77-51 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.85 8.39
3 A West Va (22-13, 97.7) 88-53 -2.24 5.24 0.01 0.85 8.88
3 A BYU (23-12, 98.2) 86-83 -1.73 5.74 0.01 0.85 9.74
3 A Arizona St (17-16, 97.4) 87-74 -2.53 4.94 0.01 0.85 8.38
3 A Oklahoma St (21-15, 97.4) 84-47 -2.51 4.96 0.01 0.85 8.42
3 H Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 78-82 -1.47 6.01 -0.01 0.85 -0.63
3 H Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 75-78 -1.65 5.83 -0.01 0.85 -0.70
3 A BYU (23-12, 98.2) 75-68 -1.73 5.74 0.01 0.85 9.74
3 A Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 73-66 -1.03 6.45 0.01 0.85 10.94
3 A Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 87-80 -2.74 4.74 0.01 0.85 8.04
3 A Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 84-61 -1.47 6.01 0.01 0.85 10.19
3 A Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 73-57 -1.19 6.29 0.01 0.85 10.66
3 A Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 89-79 -2.81 4.67 0.01 0.85 7.92
3 A UCF (21-12, 97.8) 81-59 -2.10 5.37 0.01 0.85 9.11
3 A Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 82-80 -1.19 6.29 0.01 0.85 10.66
3 A Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 79-74 -1.03 6.45 0.01 0.85 10.94
3 A LIU (24-11, 95.2) 92-58 -4.70 2.78 0.01 0.85 4.72
3 A Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 78-66 -2.00 5.47 0.01 0.85 9.28
3 A Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) **-88 -1.40 6.07 0.01 0.85 10.30
3 A Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 79-64 -1.14 6.34 0.01 0.85 10.75
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 73-91 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.85 -0.06
------
293.84
|
winning pts = 295.2329 losing points = -1.3910
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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