UPDATED: 08-24-26 12:33 PDT

stick Arizona St
  
Arizona St            
W-L: (17-16) PR = 97.3662

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 81-64 1109 A Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 81-66 1114 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 65-77 1117 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 75-62 1121 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 83-76 1124 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 87-86 1125 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) **-94 1126 H USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 75-88 1206 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 86-70 1209 A No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 73-48 1213 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 82-79 1217 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 77-90 1221 H Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 75-78 103 H Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 89-95 107 H BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 76-** 110 A Kansas St B12 (12-20, 96.7) 87-84 114 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 82-89 118 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 73-** 121 H West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 63-75 124 A Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 82-68 127 H UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 76-79 131 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 74-87 204 A Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 71-63 207 H Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 70-78 210 A Oklahoma St B12 (21-15, 97.4) 85-76 217 A Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 72-67 221 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 68-73 224 H TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 78-90 228 A Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 73-60 303 A Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 70-60 307 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 65-86 310 A Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 83-79 311 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 42-91

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1104 A So Utah                81-64      17     3           0.00
  1109 A Utah Tech              81-66      15     2           0.34
  1114 H Gonzaga                65-77     -12    -1          -0.85
  1117 A Georgia St             75-62      13     3           0.00
  1121 A Hawaii                 83-76       7     1           0.99
  1124 A Texas                  87-86       1     0           1.43
  1125 A Wash St                **-94       6     2           0.26
  1126 H USC                    75-88     -13     0    -     -2.08
  1206 A Oklahoma               86-70      16     0    +      2.10
  1209 A No Arizona             73-48      25     3           0.00
  1213 A Santa Clara            82-79       3     0    +      2.14
  1217 H UCLA                   77-90     -13    -1          -1.34
  1221 H Oregon State           75-78      -3     1    -     -3.32
   103 H Colorado               89-95      -6     0    -     -2.28
   107 H BYU                    76-**     -28    -1          -1.21
   110 A Kansas St              87-84       3     1           1.35
   114 H Arizona                82-89      -7    -3           0.00
   118 H Houston                73-**     -30    -1          -0.50
   121 H West Va                63-75     -12     0          -1.72
   124 A Cincinnati             82-68      14     0    +      2.01
   127 H UCF                    76-79      -3     0          -1.58
   131 H Arizona                74-87     -13    -3           0.00
   204 A Utah                   71-63       8     1           0.81
   207 H Colorado               70-78      -8     0    -     -2.28
   210 A Oklahoma St            85-76       9     0    +      2.03
   217 A Texas Tech             72-67       5    -1    +      2.89
   221 H Baylor                 68-73      -5     0    -     -2.21
   224 H TCU                    78-90     -12    -1          -1.37
   228 A Utah                   73-60      13     1           0.81
   303 A Kansas                 70-60      10    -1    +      3.08
   307 H Iowa St                65-86     -21    -1          -0.66
   310 A Baylor                 83-79       4     0           1.81
   311 H Iowa St                42-91     -49    -1          -0.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1126 H USC                    75-88     -13     0    -     -2.08
  1221 H Oregon State           75-78      -3     1    -     -3.32
   103 H Colorado               89-95      -6     0    -     -2.28
   207 H Colorado               70-78      -8     0    -     -2.28
   221 H Baylor                 68-73      -5     0    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1206 A Oklahoma               86-70      16     0    +      2.10
  1213 A Santa Clara            82-79       3     0    +      2.14
   124 A Cincinnati             82-68      14     0    +      2.01
   210 A Oklahoma St            85-76       9     0    +      2.03
   217 A Texas Tech             72-67       5    -1    +      2.89
   303 A Kansas                 70-60      10    -1    +      3.08

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A So Utah         (10-23, 94.6)    81-64       -5.34       2.14       0.01         1.00             4.29
   3 A Utah Tech       (18-15, 95.7)    81-66       -4.20       3.28       0.01         1.00             6.58
   3 H Gonzaga         (31- 4, 98.5)    65-77       -1.37       6.10      -0.01         1.00            -0.69
   3 A Georgia St      (10-23, 94.2)    75-62       -5.71       1.76       0.01         1.00             3.55
   3 A Hawaii          (24- 9, 96.4)    83-76       -3.55       3.93       0.01         1.00             7.88
   3 A Texas           (21-15, 97.8)    87-86       -2.12       5.36       0.01         1.00            10.74
   3 A Wash St         (12-20, 95.6)    **-94       -4.28       3.20       0.01         1.00             6.41
   3 H USC             (18-14, 97.3)    75-88       -2.60       4.88      -0.01         1.00            -1.31
   3 A Oklahoma        (21-16, 97.5)    86-70       -2.44       5.04       0.01         1.00            10.10
   3 A No Arizona      (11-22, 94.3)    73-48       -5.58       1.90       0.01         1.00             3.82
   3 A Santa Clara     (26- 9, 97.5)    82-79       -2.40       5.07       0.01         1.00            10.17
   3 H UCLA            (24-12, 98.0)    77-90       -1.86       5.61      -0.01         1.00            -0.94
   3 H Oregon State    (17-16, 96.1)    75-78       -3.85       3.63      -0.01         1.00            -1.93
   3 H Colorado        (17-16, 97.1)    89-95       -2.81       4.67      -0.01         1.00            -1.41
   3 H BYU             (23-12, 98.2)    76-**       -1.73       5.74      -0.01         1.00            -0.87
   3 A Kansas St       (12-20, 96.7)    87-84       -3.19       4.28       0.01         1.00             8.59
   3 H Arizona         (36- 3, 99.9)    82-89       -0.00       7.48      -0.01         1.00            -0.01
   3 H Houston         (30- 7, 98.9)    73-**       -1.03       6.45      -0.01         1.00            -0.52
   3 H West Va         (22-13, 97.7)    63-75       -2.24       5.24      -0.01         1.00            -1.13
   3 A Cincinnati      (18-15, 97.4)    82-68       -2.53       4.95       0.01         1.00             9.92
   3 H UCF             (21-12, 97.8)    76-79       -2.10       5.37      -0.01         1.00            -1.06
   3 H Arizona         (36- 3, 99.9)    74-87       -0.00       7.48      -0.01         1.00            -0.01
   3 A Utah            (10-22, 96.2)    71-63       -3.73       3.74       0.01         1.00             7.51
   3 H Colorado        (17-16, 97.1)    70-78       -2.81       4.67      -0.01         1.00            -1.41
   3 A Oklahoma St     (21-15, 97.4)    85-76       -2.51       4.96       0.01         1.00             9.95
   3 A Texas Tech      (23-11, 98.2)    72-67       -1.65       5.83       0.01         1.00            11.68
   3 H Baylor          (17-17, 97.2)    68-73       -2.74       4.74      -0.01         1.00            -1.37
   3 H TCU             (24-12, 98.0)    78-90       -1.89       5.58      -0.01         1.00            -0.95
   3 A Utah            (10-22, 96.2)    73-60       -3.73       3.74       0.01         1.00             7.51
   3 A Kansas          (24-11, 98.4)    70-60       -1.47       6.01       0.01         1.00            12.04
   3 H Iowa St         (28- 9, 98.7)    65-86       -1.19       6.29      -0.01         1.00            -0.60
   3 A Baylor          (17-17, 97.2)    83-79       -2.74       4.74       0.01         1.00             9.50
   3 H Iowa St         (28- 9, 98.7)    42-91       -1.19       6.29      -0.01         1.00            -0.60
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       125.45

winning pts = 140.2364 losing points = -14.7894

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------