Arizona St 
W-L: (17-16) PR = 97.3662
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1104 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 81-64
1109 A Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 81-66
1114 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 65-77
1117 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 75-62
1121 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 83-76
1124 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 87-86
1125 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) **-94
1126 H USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 75-88
1206 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 86-70
1209 A No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 73-48
1213 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 82-79
1217 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 77-90
1221 H Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 75-78
103 H Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 89-95
107 H BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 76-**
110 A Kansas St B12 (12-20, 96.7) 87-84
114 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 82-89
118 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 73-**
121 H West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 63-75
124 A Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 82-68
127 H UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 76-79
131 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 74-87
204 A Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 71-63
207 H Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 70-78
210 A Oklahoma St B12 (21-15, 97.4) 85-76
217 A Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 72-67
221 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 68-73
224 H TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 78-90
228 A Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 73-60
303 A Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 70-60
307 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 65-86
310 A Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 83-79
311 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 42-91
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A So Utah 81-64 17 3 0.00
1109 A Utah Tech 81-66 15 2 0.34
1114 H Gonzaga 65-77 -12 -1 -0.85
1117 A Georgia St 75-62 13 3 0.00
1121 A Hawaii 83-76 7 1 0.99
1124 A Texas 87-86 1 0 1.43
1125 A Wash St **-94 6 2 0.26
1126 H USC 75-88 -13 0 - -2.08
1206 A Oklahoma 86-70 16 0 + 2.10
1209 A No Arizona 73-48 25 3 0.00
1213 A Santa Clara 82-79 3 0 + 2.14
1217 H UCLA 77-90 -13 -1 -1.34
1221 H Oregon State 75-78 -3 1 - -3.32
103 H Colorado 89-95 -6 0 - -2.28
107 H BYU 76-** -28 -1 -1.21
110 A Kansas St 87-84 3 1 1.35
114 H Arizona 82-89 -7 -3 0.00
118 H Houston 73-** -30 -1 -0.50
121 H West Va 63-75 -12 0 -1.72
124 A Cincinnati 82-68 14 0 + 2.01
127 H UCF 76-79 -3 0 -1.58
131 H Arizona 74-87 -13 -3 0.00
204 A Utah 71-63 8 1 0.81
207 H Colorado 70-78 -8 0 - -2.28
210 A Oklahoma St 85-76 9 0 + 2.03
217 A Texas Tech 72-67 5 -1 + 2.89
221 H Baylor 68-73 -5 0 - -2.21
224 H TCU 78-90 -12 -1 -1.37
228 A Utah 73-60 13 1 0.81
303 A Kansas 70-60 10 -1 + 3.08
307 H Iowa St 65-86 -21 -1 -0.66
310 A Baylor 83-79 4 0 1.81
311 H Iowa St 42-91 -49 -1 -0.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1126 H USC 75-88 -13 0 - -2.08
1221 H Oregon State 75-78 -3 1 - -3.32
103 H Colorado 89-95 -6 0 - -2.28
207 H Colorado 70-78 -8 0 - -2.28
221 H Baylor 68-73 -5 0 - -2.21
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1206 A Oklahoma 86-70 16 0 + 2.10
1213 A Santa Clara 82-79 3 0 + 2.14
124 A Cincinnati 82-68 14 0 + 2.01
210 A Oklahoma St 85-76 9 0 + 2.03
217 A Texas Tech 72-67 5 -1 + 2.89
303 A Kansas 70-60 10 -1 + 3.08
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 81-64 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.00 4.29
3 A Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 81-66 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.00 6.58
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 65-77 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 1.00 -0.69
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 75-62 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.00 3.55
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 83-76 -3.55 3.93 0.01 1.00 7.88
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) 87-86 -2.12 5.36 0.01 1.00 10.74
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) **-94 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.00 6.41
3 H USC (18-14, 97.3) 75-88 -2.60 4.88 -0.01 1.00 -1.31
3 A Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 86-70 -2.44 5.04 0.01 1.00 10.10
3 A No Arizona (11-22, 94.3) 73-48 -5.58 1.90 0.01 1.00 3.82
3 A Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 82-79 -2.40 5.07 0.01 1.00 10.17
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 77-90 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 1.00 -0.94
3 H Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 75-78 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.00 -1.93
3 H Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 89-95 -2.81 4.67 -0.01 1.00 -1.41
3 H BYU (23-12, 98.2) 76-** -1.73 5.74 -0.01 1.00 -0.87
3 A Kansas St (12-20, 96.7) 87-84 -3.19 4.28 0.01 1.00 8.59
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 82-89 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 1.00 -0.01
3 H Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 73-** -1.03 6.45 -0.01 1.00 -0.52
3 H West Va (22-13, 97.7) 63-75 -2.24 5.24 -0.01 1.00 -1.13
3 A Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 82-68 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.00 9.92
3 H UCF (21-12, 97.8) 76-79 -2.10 5.37 -0.01 1.00 -1.06
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 74-87 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 1.00 -0.01
3 A Utah (10-22, 96.2) 71-63 -3.73 3.74 0.01 1.00 7.51
3 H Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 70-78 -2.81 4.67 -0.01 1.00 -1.41
3 A Oklahoma St (21-15, 97.4) 85-76 -2.51 4.96 0.01 1.00 9.95
3 A Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 72-67 -1.65 5.83 0.01 1.00 11.68
3 H Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 68-73 -2.74 4.74 -0.01 1.00 -1.37
3 H TCU (24-12, 98.0) 78-90 -1.89 5.58 -0.01 1.00 -0.95
3 A Utah (10-22, 96.2) 73-60 -3.73 3.74 0.01 1.00 7.51
3 A Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 70-60 -1.47 6.01 0.01 1.00 12.04
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 65-86 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.00 -0.60
3 A Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 83-79 -2.74 4.74 0.01 1.00 9.50
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 42-91 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.00 -0.60
------
125.45
|
winning pts = 140.2364 losing points = -14.7894
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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