Arkansas
W-L: (28- 9) PR = 98.4979Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) **-77 1108 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 66-69 1111 A Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 93-56 1114 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 79-75 1118 A Winthrop BSO (23-12, 95.6) 84-83 1121 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) **-61 1127 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 71-80 1203 A Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 89-80 1206 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 82-58 1213 A Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 93-86 1216 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) **-80 1220 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 85-94 1229 A Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) **-74 103 A Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 86-75 107 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 94-87 110 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 73-95 114 A So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) **-74 117 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 76-90 120 A Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 93-68 124 A LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 85-81 127 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 83-79 131 H Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 77-85 207 A Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 88-68 210 A LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 91-62 214 A Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 88-75 218 H Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 66-** 221 A Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 94-86 225 A Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 99-84 228 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 77-** 304 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) **-85 307 A Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 88-84 313 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 82-79 314 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 93-90 315 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 86-75 319 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 97-78 321 A High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 94-88 326 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 88-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Southern **-77 32 4 0.00
1108 H Michigan St 66-69 -3 0 -1.80
1111 A Ce Arkansas 93-56 37 3 0.00
1114 A Samford 79-75 4 3 0.00
1118 A Winthrop 84-83 1 3 -1.00
1121 A Jackson St **-61 54 5 0.00
1127 H Duke 71-80 -9 -1 -0.78
1203 A Louisville 89-80 9 0 1.54
1206 A Fresno St 82-58 24 3 0.00
1213 A Texas Tech 93-86 7 0 1.76
1216 A Queens Univ **-80 28 3 0.00
1220 H Houston 85-94 -9 0 -1.63
1229 A Jam Madison **-74 29 3 0.00
103 A Tennessee 86-75 11 0 1.82
107 A Ole Miss 94-87 7 2 0.38
110 H Auburn 73-95 -22 1 - -2.80
114 A So Carolina **-74 34 2 0.00
117 H Georgia 76-90 -14 1 - -2.74
120 A Vanderbilt 93-68 25 0 + 2.04
124 A LSU 85-81 4 2 0.34
127 A Oklahoma 83-79 4 1 0.97
131 H Kentucky 77-85 -8 1 - -2.51
207 A Miss St 88-68 20 2 0.22
210 A LSU 91-62 29 2 0.34
214 A Auburn 88-75 13 1 1.22
218 H Alabama 66-** -51 0 -1.96
221 A Missouri 94-86 8 1 0.93
225 A Texas A&M 99-84 15 1 1.28
228 H Florida 77-** -34 0 -1.68
304 A Texas **-85 20 1 1.30
307 A Missouri 88-84 4 1 0.93
313 A Oklahoma 82-79 3 1 0.97
314 A Ole Miss 93-90 3 2 0.38
315 H Vanderbilt 86-75 11 0 + 2.02
319 A Hawaii 97-78 19 2 0.00
321 A High Point 94-88 6 2 0.00
326 H Arizona 88-** -21 -1 -0.61
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Auburn 73-95 -22 1 - -2.80 117 H Georgia 76-90 -14 1 - -2.74 131 H Kentucky 77-85 -8 1 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 120 A Vanderbilt 93-68 25 0 + 2.04 315 H Vanderbilt 86-75 11 0 + 2.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Southern (16-18, 94.7) **-77 -5.22 2.26 0.01 0.89 4.04
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 66-69 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.89 -0.54
3 A Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 93-56 -4.42 3.06 0.01 0.89 5.47
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 79-75 -4.81 2.67 0.01 0.89 4.77
3 A Winthrop (23-12, 95.6) 84-83 -4.35 3.13 0.01 0.89 5.60
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) **-61 -5.93 1.55 0.01 0.89 2.78
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 71-80 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.89 -0.08
3 A Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 89-80 -1.87 5.61 0.01 0.89 10.02
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 82-58 -4.16 3.32 0.01 0.89 5.94
3 A Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 93-86 -1.65 5.83 0.01 0.89 10.41
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) **-80 -4.48 3.00 0.01 0.89 5.36
3 H Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 85-94 -1.03 6.45 -0.01 0.89 -0.46
3 A Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) **-74 -4.64 2.84 0.01 0.89 5.08
3 A Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 86-75 -1.59 5.88 0.01 0.89 10.52
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 94-87 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.89 7.95
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 73-95 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.89 -0.98
3 A So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) **-74 -3.52 3.95 0.01 0.89 7.07
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 76-90 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 0.89 -0.95
3 A Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 93-68 -1.37 6.11 0.01 0.89 10.91
3 A LSU (15-17, 96.8) 85-81 -3.07 4.41 0.01 0.89 7.88
3 A Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 83-79 -2.44 5.04 0.01 0.89 9.00
3 H Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 77-85 -1.91 5.57 -0.01 0.89 -0.85
3 A Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 88-68 -3.20 4.28 0.01 0.89 7.65
3 A LSU (15-17, 96.8) 91-62 -3.07 4.41 0.01 0.89 7.88
3 A Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 88-75 -2.19 5.29 0.01 0.89 9.46
3 H Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 66-** -1.36 6.12 -0.01 0.89 -0.61
3 A Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 94-86 -2.48 4.99 0.01 0.89 8.93
3 A Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 99-84 -2.13 5.34 0.01 0.89 9.55
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 77-** -1.07 6.40 -0.01 0.89 -0.48
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) **-85 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.89 9.58
3 A Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 88-84 -2.48 4.99 0.01 0.89 8.93
3 A Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 82-79 -2.44 5.04 0.01 0.89 9.00
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 93-90 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.89 7.95
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 86-75 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 0.89 10.88
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 97-78 -3.55 3.93 0.01 0.89 7.03
3 A High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 94-88 -3.56 3.92 0.01 0.89 7.01
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 88-** -0.00 7.48 -0.01 0.89 -0.00
------
211.70
|
winning pts = 216.6619 losing points = -4.9665
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------