Little Rock
W-L: (13-20) PR = 94.0206Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A ARKBA 92-63 1110 H WI-Milw HL (12-20, 94.6) 72-92 1112 H Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 49-89 1115 A Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 68-62 1118 H Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 68-89 1121 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 56-65 1129 H So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 65-74 1203 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 47-85 1206 H Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 78-90 1209 H West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 58-90 1216 H Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 64-78 1218 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 77-62 1218 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 77-62 1222 A WILBA 98-84 101 A Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) 77-58 103 H Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) 79-84 108 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 73-70 110 A Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 82-74 116 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 74-63 117 A We Illinois OV ( 5-27, 92.7) 86-79 122 H SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 65-70 129 H Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) 63-70 131 H Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) 77-87 203 H UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 52-55 205 H Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 74-79 207 H SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 61-71 212 A We Illinois OV ( 5-27, 92.7) 77-58 214 H Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 72-78 219 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 67-65 221 H SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 65-70 226 H Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 70-76 228 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 89-70 304 H Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 62-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1110 H WI-Milw 72-92 -20 -1 -1.44
1112 H Marquette 49-89 -40 -2 0.00
1115 A Ball St 68-62 6 0 + 2.32
1118 H Murray St 68-89 -21 -2 0.00
1121 H TX St-SM 56-65 -9 -1 -0.66
1129 H So Illinois 65-74 -9 -1 -0.55
1203 H Ce Arkansas 47-85 -38 -1 -0.55
1206 H Arkansas St 78-90 -12 -2 -0.29
1209 H West Va 58-90 -32 -4 0.00
1216 H Morehead St 64-78 -14 -1 -1.26
1218 A So Indiana 77-62 15 1 1.16
1218 A So Indiana 77-62 15 1 1.16
101 A Tenn Tech 77-58 19 0 + 2.08
103 H Tenn St 79-84 -5 -1 -0.57
108 A SIUE 73-70 3 0 + 2.48
110 A Lindenwood 82-74 8 0 + 2.42
116 A Ea Illinois 74-63 11 0 + 2.06
117 A We Illinois 86-79 7 1 0.64
122 H SE MO St 65-70 -5 -1 -1.21
129 H Tenn St 63-70 -7 -1 -0.57
131 H Tenn Tech 77-87 -10 0 -1.94
203 H UT Martin 52-55 -3 -1 -0.97
205 H Lindenwood 74-79 -5 0 -1.60
207 H SIUE 61-71 -10 0 -1.54
212 A We Illinois 77-58 19 1 0.64
214 H Ea Illinois 72-78 -6 0 -1.96
219 A UT Martin 67-65 2 -1 + 3.05
221 H SE MO St 65-70 -5 -1 -1.21
226 H Morehead St 70-76 -6 -1 -1.26
228 A So Indiana 89-70 19 1 1.16
304 H Lindenwood 62-72 -10 0 -1.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1115 A Ball St 68-62 6 0 + 2.32 101 A Tenn Tech 77-58 19 0 + 2.08 108 A SIUE 73-70 3 0 + 2.48 110 A Lindenwood 82-74 8 0 + 2.42 116 A Ea Illinois 74-63 11 0 + 2.06 219 A UT Martin 67-65 2 -1 + 3.05 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H WI-Milw (12-20, 94.6) 72-92 -5.31 2.17 -0.01 1.06 -2.83
3 H Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 49-89 -3.43 4.05 -0.01 1.06 -1.83
3 A Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 68-62 -5.57 1.90 0.01 1.06 4.08
3 H Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 68-89 -3.87 3.61 -0.01 1.06 -2.07
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 56-65 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.06 -2.42
3 H So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 65-74 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.36
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 47-85 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.36
3 H Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 78-90 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.06 -2.22
3 H West Va (22-13, 97.7) 58-90 -2.24 5.24 -0.01 1.06 -1.20
3 H Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 64-78 -5.13 2.35 -0.01 1.06 -2.74
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 77-62 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 77-62 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) 77-58 -5.81 1.66 0.01 1.06 3.57
3 H Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) 79-84 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 73-70 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.06 4.43
3 A Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 82-74 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.06 4.30
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 74-63 -5.82 1.65 0.01 1.06 3.54
3 A We Illinois ( 5-27, 92.7) 86-79 -7.24 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 65-70 -5.08 2.39 -0.01 1.06 -2.71
3 H Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) 63-70 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
3 H Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) 77-87 -5.81 1.66 -0.01 1.06 -3.10
3 H UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 52-55 -4.84 2.64 -0.01 1.06 -2.58
3 H Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 74-79 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.06 -2.92
3 H SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 61-71 -5.41 2.07 -0.01 1.06 -2.88
3 A We Illinois ( 5-27, 92.7) 77-58 -7.24 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 72-78 -5.82 1.65 -0.01 1.06 -3.11
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 67-65 -4.84 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 H SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 65-70 -5.08 2.39 -0.01 1.06 -2.71
3 H Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 70-76 -5.13 2.35 -0.01 1.06 -2.74
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 89-70 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 62-72 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.06 -2.92
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-14.12
|
winning pts = 36.3056 losing points = -50.4209
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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