AK-Pine Bl
W-L: (12-20) PR = 94.1997Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 50-94 1106 H Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 74-83 1108 H Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 72-94 1111 H Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 69-95 1115 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 75-** 1118 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 60-** 1120 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 70-98 1123 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 84-** 1203 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 63-62 1206 H DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 72-76 1210 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 84-** 1215 A ECCLE **-64 1217 A CHMPB 103 A Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 95-83 105 A Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 90-79 110 A TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 74-66 112 H Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 61-73 117 H Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 67-71 119 H Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 82-87 124 A Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 75-74 131 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 78-70 204 A Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 67-64 207 A Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 84-77 209 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 84-63 214 H Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 61-79 216 H Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 70-82 219 H TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 64-83 221 A Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 84-82 228 H Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 69-70 303 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 78-81 305 A Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 83-48 312 H Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 81-84
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Washington 50-94 -44 -3 0.00
1106 H Portland 74-83 -9 -1 -0.66
1108 H Loyola Marym 72-94 -22 -1 -0.63
1111 H Oklahoma 69-95 -26 -3 0.00
1115 H Vanderbilt 75-** -29 -4 0.00
1118 H SMU 60-** -46 -3 0.00
1120 H Marshall 70-98 -28 -1 -0.57
1123 H Miami (OH) 84-** -27 -3 0.00
1203 A Ill-Chicago 63-62 1 -1 + 2.38
1206 H DePaul 72-76 -4 -2 0.00
1210 H Tulsa 84-** -33 -3 0.00
103 A Alabama A&M 95-83 12 0 + 2.35
105 A Alabama St 90-79 11 0 1.58
110 A TX Southern 74-66 8 0 1.83
112 H Prairie View 61-73 -12 0 -1.62
117 H Florida A&M 67-71 -4 0 -1.73
119 H Beth-Cook 82-87 -5 -1 -1.21
124 A Southern 75-74 1 0 1.49
131 A Miss Val St 78-70 8 2 0.23
204 A Grambling St 67-64 3 0 1.96
207 A Alcorn St 84-77 7 0 1.63
209 A Jackson St 84-63 21 0 1.78
214 H Alabama St 61-79 -18 0 - -2.44
216 H Alabama A&M 70-82 -12 0 -1.67
219 H TX Southern 64-83 -19 0 - -2.19
221 A Prairie View 84-82 2 0 + 2.40
228 H Miss Val St 69-70 -1 2 - -2.79
303 H Jackson St 78-81 -3 0 - -2.24
305 A Alcorn St 83-48 35 0 1.63
312 H Southern 81-84 -3 0 -1.53
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Alabama St 61-79 -18 0 - -2.44 219 H TX Southern 64-83 -19 0 - -2.19 228 H Miss Val St 69-70 -1 2 - -2.79 303 H Jackson St 78-81 -3 0 - -2.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 A Ill-Chicago 63-62 1 -1 + 2.38 103 A Alabama A&M 95-83 12 0 + 2.35 221 A Prairie View 84-82 2 0 + 2.40 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Washington (16-17, 96.9) 50-94 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 1.10 -1.63
3 H Portland (15-19, 95.6) 74-83 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.10 -2.40
3 H Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 72-94 -4.32 3.15 -0.01 1.10 -2.38
3 H Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 69-95 -2.44 5.04 -0.01 1.10 -1.35
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 75-** -1.37 6.11 -0.01 1.10 -0.76
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 60-** -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.10 -1.40
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 70-98 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.10 -2.35
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 84-** -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.10 -1.38
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 63-62 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.10 6.95
3 H DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 72-76 -3.24 4.24 -0.01 1.10 -1.79
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 84-** -2.84 4.63 -0.01 1.10 -1.57
3 A Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 95-83 -5.36 2.11 0.01 1.10 4.67
3 A Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 90-79 -6.13 1.35 0.01 1.10 2.98
3 A TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 74-66 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.10 3.54
3 H Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 61-73 -5.31 2.17 -0.01 1.10 -2.93
3 H Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 67-71 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.99
3 H Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 82-87 -4.90 2.58 -0.01 1.10 -2.70
3 A Southern (16-18, 94.7) 75-74 -5.22 2.26 0.01 1.10 4.99
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 78-70 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 67-64 -5.75 1.72 0.01 1.10 3.82
3 A Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 84-77 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.10 3.09
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 84-63 -5.93 1.55 0.01 1.10 3.42
3 H Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 61-79 -6.13 1.35 -0.01 1.10 -3.38
3 H Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 70-82 -5.36 2.11 -0.01 1.10 -2.96
3 H TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 64-83 -5.88 1.60 -0.01 1.10 -3.24
3 A Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 84-82 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.10 4.79
3 H Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 69-70 -7.48 1.00 -0.01 1.10 -4.12
3 H Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 78-81 -5.93 1.55 -0.01 1.10 -3.27
3 A Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 83-48 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.10 3.09
3 H Southern (16-18, 94.7) 81-84 -5.22 2.26 -0.01 1.10 -2.88
------
-1.88
|
winning pts = 43.5845 losing points = -45.4595
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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