Arkansas St
W-L: (20-12) PR = 95.7399Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 89-85 1107 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 65-90 1111 A Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 86-85 1115 A CBROT 95-67 1119 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 72-85 1121 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 69-** 1124 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 74-63 1128 A No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 85-80 1202 A UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 83-63 1206 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 90-78 1213 H Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 76-77 1217 A TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 89-70 1220 A So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 93-86 1230 A ARTEC **-63 103 H Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 74-78 107 A Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 86-74 110 A TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 83-82 116 H So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 87-91 117 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 74-99 122 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 85-68 124 H Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 81-82 128 H Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 71-75 131 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 61-70 204 A Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 70-66 207 A Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 91-54 211 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) **-70 214 H So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 88-92 219 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 79-62 221 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) **-94 224 A So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 89-84 227 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 81-58 305 H Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 77-80
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Ohio 89-85 4 0 1.51
1107 H SF Austin 65-90 -25 -1 -1.43
1111 A Missouri St 86-85 1 0 0.56
1119 H Saint Marys 72-85 -13 -2 0.00
1121 H SMU 69-** -31 -2 -0.38
1124 A Jacksonv St 74-63 11 1 1.28
1128 A No Dakota St 85-80 5 0 + 2.35
1202 A UT Arlington 83-63 20 0 1.97
1206 A Little Rock 90-78 12 2 0.29
1213 H Rice 76-77 -1 1 -1.53
1217 A TX St-SM 89-70 19 0 1.64
1220 A So Miss 93-86 7 0 1.61
103 H Jam Madison 74-78 -4 0 - -2.49
107 A Troy 86-74 12 0 + 2.28
110 A TX St-SM 83-82 1 0 0.64
116 H So Alabama 87-91 -4 0 - -2.09
117 H Troy 74-99 -25 0 -1.74
122 A Georgia So 85-68 17 0 1.51
124 H Georgia St 81-82 -1 2 - -2.56
128 H Old Dominion 71-75 -4 1 - -3.07
131 H Marshall 61-70 -9 0 - -2.11
204 A Coastal Car 70-66 4 0 1.58
207 A Bowling Grn 91-54 37 0 1.73
211 A LA-Monroe **-70 33 3 0.00
214 H So Alabama 88-92 -4 0 - -2.09
219 A Louisiana 79-62 17 1 0.73
221 A LA-Monroe **-94 8 3 0.00
224 A So Miss 89-84 5 0 1.61
227 A Louisiana 81-58 23 1 0.73
305 H Georgia So 77-80 -3 1 - -2.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H Jam Madison 74-78 -4 0 - -2.49 116 H So Alabama 87-91 -4 0 - -2.09 124 H Georgia St 81-82 -1 2 - -2.56 128 H Old Dominion 71-75 -4 1 - -3.07 131 H Marshall 61-70 -9 0 - -2.11 214 H So Alabama 88-92 -4 0 - -2.09 305 H Georgia So 77-80 -3 1 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 A No Dakota St 85-80 5 0 + 2.35 107 A Troy 86-74 12 0 + 2.28 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 89-85 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.23
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 65-90 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.10 -1.98
3 A Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 86-85 -4.61 2.87 0.01 1.10 6.34
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 72-85 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.10 -1.18
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 69-** -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.10 -1.40
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 74-63 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.10 5.72
3 A No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 85-80 -3.82 3.65 0.01 1.10 8.06
3 A UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 83-63 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 90-78 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.10 3.54
3 H Rice (13-18, 95.2) 76-77 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.10 -2.58
3 A TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 89-70 -4.53 2.94 0.01 1.10 6.50
3 A So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 93-86 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.10 6.45
3 H Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 74-78 -4.64 2.84 -0.01 1.10 -2.56
3 A Troy (23-11, 96.0) 86-74 -3.89 3.59 0.01 1.10 7.91
3 A TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 83-82 -4.53 2.94 0.01 1.10 6.50
3 H So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 87-91 -4.24 3.23 -0.01 1.10 -2.34
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 74-99 -3.89 3.59 -0.01 1.10 -2.15
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 85-68 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.22
3 H Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 81-82 -5.71 1.76 -0.01 1.10 -3.15
3 H Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 71-75 -5.22 2.25 -0.01 1.10 -2.88
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 61-70 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.10 -2.35
3 A Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 70-66 -4.59 2.89 0.01 1.10 6.37
3 A Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 91-54 -4.44 3.03 0.01 1.10 6.70
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) **-70 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 88-92 -4.24 3.23 -0.01 1.10 -2.34
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 79-62 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.10 4.49
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) **-94 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 89-84 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.10 6.45
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 81-58 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.10 4.49
3 H Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 77-80 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.57
------
76.19
|
winning pts = 103.6462 losing points = -27.4611
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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