Auburn
W-L: (22-16) PR = 97.7127Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 95-90 1106 A Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 95-57 1111 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 93-62 1116 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 72-73 1119 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) **-66 1124 A Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 84-73 1125 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 72-** 1126 A St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 85-74 1203 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 83-73 1206 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 68-97 1213 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 92-78 1220 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 60-88 1229 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) **-65 103 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) **-** 106 H Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 88-90 110 A Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 95-73 114 H Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 74-84 117 A So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 71-67 120 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 78-66 124 A Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 76-67 128 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 88-82 131 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 69-77 207 H Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 92-96 210 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 76-84 214 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 75-88 218 H Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 85-91 221 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 75-74 224 H Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 79-91 228 H Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 79-85 303 A LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 88-74 307 H Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 84-96 311 A Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 79-61 312 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 62-72 317 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 78-67 322 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 91-85 325 A Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 75-69 402 A Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 88-66 405 A Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 92-86
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Beth-Cook 95-90 5 3 0.00
1106 A Merrimack 95-57 38 2 0.00
1111 A Wofford 93-62 31 3 0.00
1116 H Houston 72-73 -1 -1 0.15
1119 A Jackson St **-66 46 4 0.00
1124 A Oregon 84-73 11 1 0.87
1125 H Michigan 72-** -30 -2 0.00
1126 A St. John's 85-74 11 -1 + 2.99
1203 A NC State 83-73 10 0 1.89
1206 H Arizona 68-97 -29 -2 0.00
1213 A Chattanooga 92-78 14 4 0.00
1220 H Purdue 60-88 -28 -1 -0.96
1229 A Queens Univ **-65 41 2 0.00
103 H Georgia **-** -4 0 -1.95
106 H Texas A&M 88-90 -2 0 -1.96
110 A Arkansas 95-73 22 -1 + 2.80
114 H Missouri 74-84 -10 0 - -2.31
117 A So Carolina 71-67 4 1 0.67
120 A Ole Miss 78-66 12 1 1.17
124 A Florida 76-67 9 -1 + 3.12
128 A Texas 88-82 6 0 + 2.08
131 H Tennessee 69-77 -8 -1 -1.42
207 H Alabama 92-96 -4 -1 -1.18
210 H Vanderbilt 76-84 -8 -1 -1.19
214 H Arkansas 75-88 -13 -1 -1.22
218 H Miss St 85-91 -6 1 - -3.02
221 A Kentucky 75-74 1 0 1.29
224 H Oklahoma 79-91 -12 0 - -2.26
228 H Ole Miss 79-85 -6 1 - -2.85
303 A LSU 88-74 14 1 1.13
307 H Alabama 84-96 -12 -1 -1.18
311 A Miss St 79-61 18 1 1.00
312 H Tennessee 62-72 -10 -1 -1.42
317 A So Alabama 78-67 11 2 0.00
322 A Seattle 91-85 6 1 0.54
325 A Nevada 75-69 6 1 1.23
402 A Illinois St 88-66 22 1 0.62
405 A Tulsa 92-86 6 1 1.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 114 H Missouri 74-84 -10 0 - -2.31 218 H Miss St 85-91 -6 1 - -3.02 224 H Oklahoma 79-91 -12 0 - -2.26 228 H Ole Miss 79-85 -6 1 - -2.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A St. John's 85-74 11 -1 + 2.99 110 A Arkansas 95-73 22 -1 + 2.80 124 A Florida 76-67 9 -1 + 3.12 128 A Texas 88-82 6 0 + 2.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 95-90 -4.90 2.58 0.01 0.87 4.50
3 A Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 95-57 -4.40 3.07 0.01 0.87 5.36
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 93-62 -4.89 2.59 0.01 0.87 4.52
3 H Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 72-73 -1.03 6.45 -0.01 0.87 -0.45
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) **-66 -5.93 1.55 0.01 0.87 2.70
3 A Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 84-73 -3.33 4.15 0.01 0.87 7.22
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 72-** -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.87 -0.07
3 A St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 85-74 -1.20 6.27 0.01 0.87 10.92
3 A NC State (20-14, 97.6) 83-73 -2.30 5.17 0.01 0.87 9.01
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 68-97 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 0.87 -0.00
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 92-78 -5.71 1.77 0.01 0.87 3.08
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 60-88 -1.14 6.34 -0.01 0.87 -0.50
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) **-65 -4.48 3.00 0.01 0.87 5.22
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) **-** -2.13 5.35 -0.01 0.87 -0.93
3 H Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 88-90 -2.13 5.34 -0.01 0.87 -0.93
3 A Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 95-73 -1.40 6.07 0.01 0.87 10.57
3 H Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 74-84 -2.48 4.99 -0.01 0.87 -1.08
3 A So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 71-67 -3.52 3.95 0.01 0.87 6.88
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 78-66 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.87 7.74
3 A Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 76-67 -1.07 6.40 0.01 0.87 11.14
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) 88-82 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.87 9.33
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 69-77 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 0.87 -0.70
3 H Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 92-96 -1.36 6.12 -0.01 0.87 -0.59
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 76-84 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 0.87 -0.60
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 75-88 -1.40 6.07 -0.01 0.87 -0.61
3 H Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 85-91 -3.20 4.28 -0.01 0.87 -1.39
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 75-74 -1.91 5.57 0.01 0.87 9.70
3 H Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 79-91 -2.44 5.04 -0.01 0.87 -1.06
3 H Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 79-85 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 0.87 -1.32
3 A LSU (15-17, 96.8) 88-74 -3.07 4.41 0.01 0.87 7.67
3 H Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 84-96 -1.36 6.12 -0.01 0.87 -0.59
3 A Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 79-61 -3.20 4.28 0.01 0.87 7.45
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 62-72 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 0.87 -0.70
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 78-67 -4.24 3.23 0.01 0.87 5.64
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 91-85 -3.65 3.82 0.01 0.87 6.66
3 A Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 75-69 -2.96 4.51 0.01 0.87 7.86
3 A Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 88-66 -3.58 3.90 0.01 0.87 6.79
3 A Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 92-86 -2.84 4.63 0.01 0.87 8.07
------
146.50
|
winning pts = 158.0314 losing points = -11.5324
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------