Ball St 
W-L: (12-19) PR = 94.3276
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 75-64
1107 A MANSF 84-54
1111 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 55-86
1115 H Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 62-68
1122 H Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 52-70
1128 H Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 73-80
1129 H Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 37-55
1130 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 96-85
1203 H Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 52-64
1209 H So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 64-68
1214 H Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 64-69
1220 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 77-86
1229 A EARLH 93-30
103 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 72-85
106 H Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 52-74
110 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 71-79
113 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 77-87
116 A Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 76-71
120 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 68-67
124 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 58-53
131 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 55-73
203 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 52-77
207 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 73-68
211 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 53-63
214 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 68-75
217 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 57-69
220 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 65-78
224 A Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 74-73
228 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 79-43
303 A We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 74-71
306 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 85-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Louisiana 75-64 11 0 + 2.14
1111 H Wisconsin 55-86 -31 -4 0.00
1115 H Little Rock 62-68 -6 0 - -2.32
1122 H Indiana St 52-70 -18 0 -1.62
1128 H Monmouth 73-80 -7 -1 -1.02
1129 H Lafayette 37-55 -18 1 - -2.55
1130 A Le Moyne 96-85 11 0 1.75
1203 H Evansville 52-64 -12 0 -1.83
1209 H So Dakota St 64-68 -4 0 -1.61
1214 H Campbell 64-69 -5 -1 -0.99
1220 H Miami (OH) 77-86 -9 -3 0.00
103 H Buffalo 72-85 -13 -1 -0.99
106 H Ea Michigan 52-74 -22 0 -1.65
110 H Mass 71-79 -8 -1 -0.85
113 H Akron 77-87 -10 -3 0.00
116 A Ohio 76-71 5 -1 + 2.93
120 A Ce Michigan 68-67 1 0 1.16
124 A No Illinois 58-53 5 0 1.85
131 H Toledo 55-73 -18 -1 -0.64
203 H Bowling Grn 52-77 -25 -1 -0.88
207 A LA-Monroe 73-68 5 1 0.83
211 H Buffalo 53-63 -10 -1 -0.99
214 H Kent State 68-75 -7 -2 -0.10
217 H Ohio 57-69 -12 -1 -1.09
220 H Akron 65-78 -13 -3 0.00
224 A Mass 74-73 1 -1 + 2.17
228 A No Illinois 79-43 36 0 1.85
303 A We Michigan 74-71 3 0 + 2.29
306 A Ce Michigan 85-69 16 0 + 2.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1115 H Little Rock 62-68 -6 0 - -2.32
1129 H Lafayette 37-55 -18 1 - -2.55
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Louisiana 75-64 11 0 + 2.14
116 A Ohio 76-71 5 -1 + 2.93
224 A Mass 74-73 1 -1 + 2.17
303 A We Michigan 74-71 3 0 + 2.29
306 A Ce Michigan 85-69 16 0 + 2.16
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 75-64 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.14 4.65
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 55-86 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.14 -0.98
3 H Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 62-68 -5.88 1.60 -0.01 1.14 -3.35
3 H Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 52-70 -5.18 2.30 -0.01 1.14 -2.95
3 H Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 73-80 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.14 -2.62
3 H Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 37-55 -6.11 1.36 -0.01 1.14 -3.49
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 96-85 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.14 3.77
3 H Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 52-64 -5.39 2.09 -0.01 1.14 -3.07
3 H So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 64-68 -5.17 2.31 -0.01 1.14 -2.95
3 H Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 64-69 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.14 -2.60
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 77-86 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.14 -1.43
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 72-85 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 1.14 -2.59
3 H Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 52-74 -5.21 2.26 -0.01 1.14 -2.97
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 71-79 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.14 -2.52
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 77-87 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.14 -1.73
3 A Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 76-71 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.14 6.44
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 68-67 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.14 4.71
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 58-53 -5.73 1.75 0.01 1.14 4.00
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 55-73 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 52-77 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.14 -2.53
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 73-68 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 53-63 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 1.14 -2.59
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 68-75 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.14 -2.09
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 57-69 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.14 -2.66
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 65-78 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.14 -1.73
3 A Mass (17-16, 95.5) 74-73 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.14 6.99
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 79-43 -5.73 1.75 0.01 1.14 4.00
3 A We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 74-71 -5.29 2.19 0.01 1.14 5.00
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 85-69 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.14 4.71
------
-0.70
|
winning pts = 46.5607 losing points = -47.2585
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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