Alabama
W-L: (25-10) PR = 98.5431Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 91-62 1108 A St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) **-96 1113 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 80-87 1119 A Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 90-86 1124 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 85-95 1126 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) **-76 1127 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) **-72 1203 A Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 90-84 1207 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 97-55 1213 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 75-96 1217 A So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) **-93 1221 A Kennesaw St CUSA (20-14, 95.7) 92-81 1229 A Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) **-78 103 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 89-74 107 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 90-96 110 H Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 88-92 113 A Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 97-82 117 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 83-81 124 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 73-79 127 A Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 90-64 201 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 77-** 204 A Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) **-97 207 A Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 96-92 211 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 93-74 214 A So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 89-75 218 A Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) **-66 221 A LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 90-83 225 A Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) **-75 228 A Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 71-69 303 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 88-98 307 A Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 96-84 313 H Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 79-80 320 A Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 90-70 322 A Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 90-65 327 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 77-90
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A No Dakota 91-62 29 4 0.00
1108 A St. John's **-96 7 0 + 2.16
1113 H Purdue 80-87 -7 0 -1.79
1119 A Illinois 90-86 4 0 + 2.14
1124 H Gonzaga 85-95 -10 0 - -2.03
1126 A UNLV **-76 39 2 0.00
1127 A Maryland **-72 33 2 0.04
1203 A Clemson 90-84 6 1 1.30
1207 A Texas-SA 97-55 42 4 0.00
1213 H Arizona 75-96 -21 -1 -0.65
1217 A So Florida **-93 11 1 0.56
1221 A Kennesaw St 92-81 11 3 0.00
1229 A Yale **-78 24 2 0.00
103 A Kentucky 89-74 15 1 1.46
107 H Vanderbilt 90-96 -6 0 - -2.02
110 H Texas 88-92 -4 1 - -2.77
113 A Miss St 97-82 15 2 0.17
117 A Oklahoma 83-81 2 1 0.93
124 H Tennessee 73-79 -6 0 - -2.25
127 A Missouri 90-64 26 1 0.88
201 H Florida 77-** -23 0 -1.73
204 A Texas A&M **-97 3 1 1.23
207 A Auburn 96-92 4 1 1.18
211 A Ole Miss 93-74 19 2 0.34
214 A So Carolina 89-75 14 2 0.00
218 A Arkansas **-66 51 0 1.96
221 A LSU 90-83 7 2 0.30
225 A Miss St **-75 25 2 0.17
228 A Tennessee 71-69 2 0 1.77
303 H Georgia 88-98 -10 1 - -2.78
307 A Auburn 96-84 12 1 1.18
313 H Ole Miss 79-80 -1 2 - -2.68
320 A Hofstra 90-70 20 2 0.00
322 A Texas Tech 90-65 25 0 1.72
327 H Michigan 77-90 -13 -1 -0.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 H Gonzaga 85-95 -10 0 - -2.03 107 H Vanderbilt 90-96 -6 0 - -2.02 110 H Texas 88-92 -4 1 - -2.77 124 H Tennessee 73-79 -6 0 - -2.25 303 H Georgia 88-98 -10 1 - -2.78 313 H Ole Miss 79-80 -1 2 - -2.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 A St. John's **-96 7 0 + 2.16 1119 A Illinois 90-86 4 0 + 2.14 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 91-62 -5.01 2.47 0.01 0.94 4.68
3 A St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) **-96 -1.20 6.27 0.01 0.94 11.85
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 80-87 -1.14 6.34 -0.01 0.94 -0.54
3 A Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 90-86 -1.23 6.25 0.01 0.94 11.80
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 85-95 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 0.94 -0.65
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) **-76 -3.50 3.97 0.01 0.94 7.51
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) **-72 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.94 7.85
3 A Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 90-84 -2.07 5.41 0.01 0.94 10.22
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 97-55 -5.73 1.74 0.01 0.94 3.31
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 75-96 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 0.94 -0.00
3 A So Florida (24-10, 97.1) **-93 -2.80 4.67 0.01 0.94 8.83
3 A Kennesaw St (20-14, 95.7) 92-81 -4.18 3.29 0.01 0.94 6.23
3 A Yale (24- 7, 96.3) **-78 -3.57 3.91 0.01 0.94 7.39
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 89-74 -1.91 5.57 0.01 0.94 10.53
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 90-96 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 0.94 -0.65
3 H Texas (21-15, 97.8) 88-92 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 0.94 -1.00
3 A Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 97-82 -3.20 4.28 0.01 0.94 8.09
3 A Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 83-81 -2.44 5.04 0.01 0.94 9.52
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 73-79 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 0.94 -0.76
3 A Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 90-64 -2.48 4.99 0.01 0.94 9.44
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 77-** -1.07 6.40 -0.01 0.94 -0.51
3 A Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) **-97 -2.13 5.34 0.01 0.94 10.10
3 A Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 96-92 -2.19 5.29 0.01 0.94 10.00
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 93-74 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.94 8.40
3 A So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 89-75 -3.52 3.95 0.01 0.94 7.47
3 A Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) **-66 -1.40 6.07 0.01 0.94 11.48
3 A LSU (15-17, 96.8) 90-83 -3.07 4.41 0.01 0.94 8.33
3 A Miss St (13-19, 96.7) **-75 -3.20 4.28 0.01 0.94 8.09
3 A Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 71-69 -1.59 5.88 0.01 0.94 11.12
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 88-98 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 0.94 -1.01
3 A Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 96-84 -2.19 5.29 0.01 0.94 10.00
3 H Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 79-80 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 0.94 -1.43
3 A Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 90-70 -3.78 3.70 0.01 0.94 6.99
3 A Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 90-65 -1.65 5.83 0.01 0.94 11.01
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 77-90 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.94 -0.07
------
213.60
|
winning pts = 220.2318 losing points = -6.6334
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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