Belmont
W-L: (26- 6) PR = 96.7472Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 79-63 1108 A Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) 87-79 1115 A Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 83-60 1119 A Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 75-68 1121 A FISK 96-49 1124 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 94-57 1126 A Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 87-72 1130 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 96-73 1203 H Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 76-84 1207 A Middle Tenn CUSA (16-16, 95.4) 83-62 1213 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 87-84 1216 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 83-78 1219 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 84-58 1229 H Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 80-81 101 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 88-78 104 H So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 67-68 107 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 78-65 110 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 78-76 113 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 78-74 117 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 73-68 124 A Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 80-69 128 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 78-77 131 A Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) **-86 203 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) **-90 206 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 68-62 209 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 84-95 212 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 91-86 215 A Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 87-70 221 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 87-70 225 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 98-64 301 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 74-81 306 H Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 81-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Air Force 79-63 16 3 0.00
1108 A Tenn St 87-79 8 1 0.72
1115 A Oral Roberts 83-60 23 3 0.00
1119 A Lipscomb 75-68 7 2 0.47
1124 A St Francis 94-57 37 4 0.00
1126 A Toledo 87-72 15 1 0.96
1130 A Charlotte 96-73 23 1 1.17
1203 H Richmond 76-84 -8 1 - -3.24
1207 A Middle Tenn 83-62 21 1 0.70
1213 A Ill-Chicago 87-84 3 1 0.83
1216 A Evansville 83-78 5 2 0.00
1219 A UC Irvine 84-58 26 1 1.38
1229 H Indiana St 80-81 -1 2 - -3.00
101 A Bradley 88-78 10 1 1.38
104 H So Illinois 67-68 -1 1 - -2.27
107 A No Iowa 78-65 13 0 1.50
110 A Drake 78-76 2 2 0.40
113 A Valparaiso 78-74 4 1 0.90
117 A SIUE 73-68 5 2 0.00
124 A Illinois St 80-69 11 0 1.59
128 A Valparaiso 78-77 1 1 -0.10
131 A Murray St **-86 17 1 1.29
203 A Drake **-90 13 2 0.40
206 A Ill-Chicago 68-62 6 1 0.83
209 H Bradley 84-95 -11 1 - -2.64
212 A No Iowa 91-86 5 0 1.50
215 A Murray St 87-70 17 1 1.29
221 A Indiana St 87-70 17 2 0.00
225 A Evansville 98-64 34 2 0.00
301 H Illinois St 74-81 -7 0 - -2.43
306 H Drake 81-** -19 2 - -3.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 H Richmond 76-84 -8 1 - -3.24 1229 H Indiana St 80-81 -1 2 - -3.00 104 H So Illinois 67-68 -1 1 - -2.27 209 H Bradley 84-95 -11 1 - -2.64 301 H Illinois St 74-81 -7 0 - -2.43 306 H Drake 81-** -19 2 - -3.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 79-63 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.06 3.45
3 A Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) 87-79 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.06 6.49
3 A Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 83-60 -5.70 1.77 0.01 1.06 3.80
3 A Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 75-68 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.06 5.94
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 94-57 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 87-72 -4.20 3.27 0.01 1.06 6.99
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 96-73 -4.00 3.48 0.01 1.06 7.43
3 H Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 76-84 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.06 -2.34
3 A Middle Tenn (16-16, 95.4) 83-62 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.06 6.45
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 87-84 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.06 6.73
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 83-78 -5.39 2.09 0.01 1.06 4.46
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 84-58 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.06 7.89
3 H Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 80-81 -5.18 2.30 -0.01 1.06 -2.76
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 88-78 -3.79 3.69 0.01 1.06 7.88
3 H So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 67-68 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.36
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 78-65 -3.66 3.82 0.01 1.06 8.15
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 78-76 -4.76 2.72 0.01 1.06 5.81
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 78-74 -4.26 3.22 0.01 1.06 6.87
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 73-68 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.06 4.43
3 A Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 80-69 -3.58 3.90 0.01 1.06 8.33
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 78-77 -4.26 3.22 0.01 1.06 6.87
3 A Murray St (21-13, 96.0) **-86 -3.87 3.61 0.01 1.06 7.71
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) **-90 -4.76 2.72 0.01 1.06 5.81
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 68-62 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.06 6.73
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 84-95 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 91-86 -3.66 3.82 0.01 1.06 8.15
3 A Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 87-70 -3.87 3.61 0.01 1.06 7.71
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 87-70 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.91
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 98-64 -5.39 2.09 0.01 1.06 4.46
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 74-81 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 1.06 -1.91
3 H Drake (14-20, 95.1) 81-** -4.76 2.72 -0.01 1.06 -2.54
------
141.66
|
winning pts = 155.5858 losing points = -13.9270
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------