California
W-L: (22-12) PR = 97.1441Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 87-60 1106 A Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 77-67 1110 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 93-65 1113 H Kansas St B12 (12-20, 96.7) 96-99 1118 A Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 67-57 1121 A Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) 91-67 1125 A UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 80-72 1202 A Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 79-72 1206 A Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 67-61 1209 A DOMNC 93-71 1213 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 79-70 1219 A Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 97-50 1221 A Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 74-56 1230 H Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 70-90 102 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 72-71 107 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 60-84 110 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 75-78 114 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 56-71 117 A No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 84-78 124 A Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 78-66 128 H Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 61-63 131 A Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 86-85 204 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 90-85 207 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 55-77 211 H Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 53-** 214 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 86-75 221 A Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 72-66 225 A SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 73-69 228 H Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 56-72 304 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 76-65 307 H Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 73-80 311 H Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 89-95 318 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 91-73 322 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 75-76
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A CS Baker 87-60 27 3 0.00
1106 A Wright St 77-67 10 1 0.70
1110 A CS Fullerton 93-65 28 2 0.47
1113 H Kansas St 96-99 -3 0 - -2.45
1118 A Presbyterian 67-57 10 3 0.00
1121 A Sacra St 91-67 24 3 0.00
1125 A UCLA 80-72 8 -1 + 2.90
1202 A Utah 79-72 7 1 1.03
1206 A Pacific 67-61 6 1 0.92
1213 A Nowestern St 79-70 9 3 0.00
1219 A Morgan State 97-50 47 4 0.00
1221 A Columbia 74-56 18 2 0.01
1230 H Louisville 70-90 -20 -1 -1.13
102 A Notre D 72-71 1 1 0.45
107 H Virginia 60-84 -24 -1 -0.52
110 H Va Tech 75-78 -3 0 -1.78
114 H Duke 56-71 -15 -3 0.00
117 A No Carolina 84-78 6 -1 + 3.06
124 A Stanford 78-66 12 0 + 2.05
128 H Florida St 61-63 -2 0 -1.94
131 A Miami (Fl) 86-85 1 -1 1.83
204 A Georgia Tech 90-85 5 1 0.64
207 H Clemson 55-77 -22 -1 -1.32
211 H Syracuse 53-** -54 0 - -2.39
214 A Boston Col 86-75 11 1 0.58
221 A Stanford 72-66 6 0 + 2.05
225 A SMU 73-69 4 0 + 2.24
228 H Pittsburgh 56-72 -16 1 - -2.77
304 A Georgia Tech 76-65 11 1 0.64
307 H Wake Forest 73-80 -7 0 - -2.10
311 H Florida St 89-95 -6 0 -1.94
318 A Ill-Chicago 91-73 18 2 0.44
322 H St Joseph's 75-76 -1 1 -1.66
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1113 H Kansas St 96-99 -3 0 - -2.45 211 H Syracuse 53-** -54 0 - -2.39 228 H Pittsburgh 56-72 -16 1 - -2.77 307 H Wake Forest 73-80 -7 0 - -2.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 A UCLA 80-72 8 -1 + 2.90 117 A No Carolina 84-78 6 -1 + 3.06 124 A Stanford 78-66 12 0 + 2.05 221 A Stanford 72-66 6 0 + 2.05 225 A SMU 73-69 4 0 + 2.24 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 87-60 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.00 3.59
3 A Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 77-67 -4.07 3.41 0.01 1.00 6.84
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 93-65 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.00 6.37
3 H Kansas St (12-20, 96.7) 96-99 -3.19 4.28 -0.01 1.00 -1.60
3 A Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 67-57 -5.53 1.95 0.01 1.00 3.92
3 A Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) 91-67 -5.41 2.06 0.01 1.00 4.15
3 A UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 80-72 -1.86 5.61 0.01 1.00 11.25
3 A Utah (10-22, 96.2) 79-72 -3.73 3.74 0.01 1.00 7.51
3 A Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 67-61 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.00 7.28
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 79-70 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.00 3.29
3 A Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 97-50 -6.32 1.16 0.01 1.00 2.34
3 A Columbia (16-12, 95.1) 74-56 -4.75 2.72 0.01 1.00 5.47
3 H Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 70-90 -1.87 5.61 -0.01 1.00 -0.94
3 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 72-71 -3.32 4.16 0.01 1.00 8.34
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 60-84 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 1.00 -0.64
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 75-78 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.00 -1.27
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 56-71 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 1.00 -0.09
3 A No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 84-78 -1.71 5.77 0.01 1.00 11.56
3 A Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 78-66 -2.71 4.76 0.01 1.00 9.55
3 H Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 61-63 -2.68 4.79 -0.01 1.00 -1.35
3 A Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 86-85 -1.93 5.54 0.01 1.00 11.11
3 A Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 90-85 -4.13 3.35 0.01 1.00 6.71
3 H Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 55-77 -2.07 5.41 -0.01 1.00 -1.04
3 H Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 53-** -3.13 4.34 -0.01 1.00 -1.57
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 86-75 -4.19 3.29 0.01 1.00 6.59
3 A Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 72-66 -2.71 4.76 0.01 1.00 9.55
3 A SMU (20-14, 97.4) 73-69 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.00 9.92
3 H Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 56-72 -3.52 3.96 -0.01 1.00 -1.76
3 A Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 76-65 -4.13 3.35 0.01 1.00 6.71
3 H Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 73-80 -2.85 4.63 -0.01 1.00 -1.43
3 H Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 89-95 -2.68 4.79 -0.01 1.00 -1.35
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 91-73 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.00 6.32
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 75-76 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.00 -1.71
------
133.63
|
winning pts = 148.3823 losing points = -14.7497
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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