UC San Diego
W-L: (23-11) PR = 96.0950Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A LAVER **-73 1108 A Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 78-60 1112 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 78-73 1115 A Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 75-67 1124 A Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 91-76 1125 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 87-77 1126 A Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 87-73 1202 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 70-76 1206 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 80-74 1214 A Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 93-67 1216 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 67-57 1219 H San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 80-82 1228 A STANT 85-62 101 H Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 65-67 103 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 83-73 108 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 71-88 110 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 69-66 116 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 79-84 117 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 83-62 122 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 80-74 124 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 59-61 129 H Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 48-62 131 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 64-81 205 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 77-74 208 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 67-72 212 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 68-51 214 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 72-66 221 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 71-69 226 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 84-72 228 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 80-64 305 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 71-75 307 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 64-63 311 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 72-69 312 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 70-80
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A Houston Chr 78-60 18 2 0.13
1112 A Fresno St 78-73 5 0 1.66
1115 A Idaho 75-67 8 1 1.40
1124 A Temple 91-76 15 0 1.57
1125 A Bradley 87-77 10 0 + 2.03
1126 A Towson 87-73 14 1 1.40
1202 H Nevada 70-76 -6 -1 -1.17
1206 A LB St 80-74 6 1 0.64
1214 A Tulane 93-67 26 0 1.87
1216 A Loyola Marym 67-57 10 1 1.49
1219 H San Diego 80-82 -2 1 - -3.01
101 H Cal Poly 65-67 -2 1 - -2.86
103 A Hawaii 83-73 10 0 + 2.27
108 H CS Fullerton 71-88 -17 1 - -2.51
110 A CA Riverside 69-66 3 1 0.63
116 H Northridge 79-84 -5 0 - -2.32
117 A CS Baker 83-62 21 2 0.12
122 A UC Davis 80-74 6 0 1.81
124 H UC Irvine 59-61 -2 0 -1.99
129 H Santa Barbara 48-62 -14 0 - -2.41
131 H Northridge 64-81 -17 0 - -2.32
205 A LB St 77-74 3 1 0.64
208 H Hawaii 67-72 -5 0 -1.75
212 A UC Davis 68-51 17 0 1.81
214 A CA Riverside 72-66 6 1 0.63
221 A UC Irvine 71-69 2 0 + 2.03
226 A CS Baker 84-72 12 2 0.12
228 A Cal Poly 80-64 16 1 1.16
305 H CS Fullerton 71-75 -4 1 - -2.51
307 A Santa Barbara 64-63 1 0 0.61
311 A Cal Poly 72-69 3 1 1.16
312 H Northridge 70-80 -10 0 - -2.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1219 H San Diego 80-82 -2 1 - -3.01 101 H Cal Poly 65-67 -2 1 - -2.86 108 H CS Fullerton 71-88 -17 1 - -2.51 116 H Northridge 79-84 -5 0 - -2.32 129 H Santa Barbara 48-62 -14 0 - -2.41 131 H Northridge 64-81 -17 0 - -2.32 305 H CS Fullerton 71-75 -4 1 - -2.51 312 H Northridge 70-80 -10 0 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 A Bradley 87-77 10 0 + 2.03 103 A Hawaii 83-73 10 0 + 2.27 221 A UC Irvine 71-69 2 0 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 78-60 -5.68 1.79 0.01 1.03 3.72
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 78-73 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.03 6.86
3 A Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 75-67 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.03 6.33
3 A Temple (17-16, 95.7) 91-76 -4.24 3.24 0.01 1.03 6.70
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 87-77 -3.79 3.69 0.01 1.03 7.64
3 A Towson (19-15, 95.5) 87-73 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.03 6.33
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 70-76 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 80-74 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.77
3 A Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 93-67 -3.94 3.53 0.01 1.03 7.31
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 67-57 -4.32 3.15 0.01 1.03 6.53
3 H San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 80-82 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.03 -2.48
3 H Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 65-67 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.03 -2.41
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 83-73 -3.55 3.93 0.01 1.03 8.12
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 71-88 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.03 -2.22
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 69-66 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.03 4.74
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 79-84 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.03 -2.13
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 83-62 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.03 3.70
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 80-74 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.03 7.18
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 59-61 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.03 -1.96
3 H Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 48-62 -4.21 3.27 -0.01 1.03 -2.18
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 64-81 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.03 -2.13
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 77-74 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.77
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 67-72 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.03 -1.84
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 68-51 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.03 7.18
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 72-66 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.03 4.74
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 71-69 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.03 7.64
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 84-72 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.03 3.70
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 80-64 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 71-75 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.03 -2.22
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 64-63 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.03 6.76
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 72-69 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 70-80 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.03 -2.13
------
103.20
|
winning pts = 126.4267 losing points = -23.2299
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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