Ce Arkansas
W-L: (22-12) PR = 95.4810Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 54-94 1108 A CHMPB **-63 1111 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 56-93 1116 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 77-84 1120 H No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 56-74 1123 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 95.0) 92-65 1125 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 81-60 1129 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 57-80 1203 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 85-47 1207 H Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 68-75 1213 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 72-83 1217 A KANCH **-47 1221 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 82-99 101 A Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 85-83 103 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 93-73 108 H Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 78-84 110 H Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 75-79 115 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 62-60 117 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 98-69 122 A We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 86-65 128 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) **-90 131 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 90-81 204 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 81-60 207 A Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 86-78 209 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 72-65 211 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 84-76 214 A We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 79-62 219 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 88-76 221 H Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 71-75 225 A Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 93-88 228 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 84-79 306 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 86-73 307 A Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 73-63 308 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 93-98
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H No Carolina 54-94 -40 -3 0.00
1111 H Arkansas 56-93 -37 -3 0.00
1116 H Samford 77-84 -7 0 - -2.40
1120 H No Texas 56-74 -18 -1 -1.49
1123 A Ea Wash 92-65 27 0 1.53
1125 A Ea Illinois 81-60 21 1 0.60
1129 H Ea Tenn St 57-80 -23 0 - -2.05
1203 A Little Rock 85-47 38 1 0.55
1207 H Ea Texas A&M 68-75 -7 1 - -3.26
1213 H Vanderbilt 72-83 -11 -3 0.00
1221 H SMU 82-99 -17 -2 -0.12
101 A Fl Gulf Co 85-83 2 1 1.26
103 A Stetson 93-73 20 1 0.75
108 H Bellarmine 78-84 -6 1 - -3.06
110 H Ea Kentucky 75-79 -4 1 - -3.30
115 A Jacksonville 62-60 2 1 0.80
117 A No Florida 98-69 29 2 0.07
122 A We Georgia 86-65 21 1 0.94
128 A Queens Univ **-90 10 0 1.95
131 A Ea Kentucky 90-81 9 1 0.72
204 A No Alabama 81-60 21 2 0.37
207 A Lipscomb 86-78 8 0 1.73
209 A No Alabama 72-65 7 2 0.37
211 A Bellarmine 84-76 8 1 0.96
214 A We Georgia 79-62 17 1 0.94
219 A Stetson 88-76 12 1 0.75
221 H Fl Gulf Co 71-75 -4 1 - -2.76
225 A Austin Peay 93-88 5 0 + 2.05
228 A Queens Univ 84-79 5 0 1.95
306 A Bellarmine 86-73 13 1 0.96
307 A Fl Gulf Co 73-63 10 1 1.26
308 H Queens Univ 93-98 -5 0 - -2.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 H Samford 77-84 -7 0 - -2.40 1129 H Ea Tenn St 57-80 -23 0 - -2.05 1207 H Ea Texas A&M 68-75 -7 1 - -3.26 108 H Bellarmine 78-84 -6 1 - -3.06 110 H Ea Kentucky 75-79 -4 1 - -3.30 221 H Fl Gulf Co 71-75 -4 1 - -2.76 308 H Queens Univ 93-98 -5 0 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Austin Peay 93-88 5 0 + 2.05 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 54-94 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.03 -0.89
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 56-93 -1.40 6.07 -0.01 1.03 -0.73
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 77-84 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.03 -2.49
3 H No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 56-74 -3.90 3.57 -0.01 1.03 -2.02
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 95.0) 92-65 -4.90 2.58 0.01 1.03 5.34
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 81-60 -5.82 1.65 0.01 1.03 3.43
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 57-80 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.03 -2.30
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 85-47 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.03 3.32
3 H Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 68-75 -5.67 1.81 -0.01 1.03 -2.93
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 72-83 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 1.03 -0.71
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 82-99 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.03 -1.31
3 A Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 85-83 -5.17 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.77
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 93-73 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.03 3.73
3 H Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 78-84 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.03 -2.82
3 H Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 75-79 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.03 -2.95
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 62-60 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.03 3.83
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 98-69 -6.36 1.12 0.01 1.03 2.33
3 A We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 86-65 -5.49 1.99 0.01 1.03 4.13
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) **-90 -4.48 3.00 0.01 1.03 6.20
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 90-81 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.67
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 81-60 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.03 2.95
3 A Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 86-78 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.03 5.76
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 72-65 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.03 2.95
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 84-76 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.03 4.17
3 A We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 79-62 -5.49 1.99 0.01 1.03 4.13
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 88-76 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.03 3.73
3 H Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 71-75 -5.17 2.30 -0.01 1.03 -2.67
3 A Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 93-88 -4.38 3.09 0.01 1.03 6.40
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 84-79 -4.48 3.00 0.01 1.03 6.20
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 86-73 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.03 4.17
3 A Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 73-63 -5.17 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.77
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 93-98 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.03 -2.32
------
61.83
|
winning pts = 85.9662 losing points = -24.1395
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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