Ce Connecticut
W-L: (18-13) PR = 94.3482Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A NOVTJ **-55 1106 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 49-71 1111 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 60-59 1116 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 77-84 1121 A Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 67-54 1124 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) **-** 1130 A JOHNW **-57 1203 H Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 61-77 1207 H Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 56-73 1213 A Binghamton AE ( 8-23, 92.7) 84-67 1218 H Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 70-84 1218 H Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 70-84 102 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 78-84 104 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 72-61 108 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 76-69 110 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 69-59 117 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 98-90 119 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 61-79 123 H FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 66-76 126 H Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 59-61 129 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 62-55 131 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 59-80 205 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 78-67 207 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 84-67 212 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 81-76 214 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 63-57 219 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 78-77 221 H Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 51-70 226 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 80-78 228 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 69-64 304 H Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 60-70
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H Quinnipiac 49-71 -22 -1 -1.20
1111 A Boston Col 60-59 1 -1 + 2.37
1116 H Mass 77-84 -7 -1 -0.87
1121 A Rutgers 67-54 13 -2 ++ 4.00
1124 A Sacred Heart **-** 2 0 + 2.03
1203 H Seton Hall 61-77 -16 -3 0.00
1207 H Northeastern 56-73 -17 0 - -2.25
1213 A Binghamton 84-67 17 2 0.38
1218 H Fairfield 70-84 -14 -1 -1.31
1218 H Fairfield 70-84 -14 -1 -1.31
102 H LIU 78-84 -6 -1 -1.16
104 A New Haven 72-61 11 1 1.48
108 A Stonehill 76-69 7 1 1.06
110 A Le Moyne 69-59 10 0 1.73
117 A St Francis 98-90 8 1 0.60
119 H Mercyhurst 61-79 -18 0 - -2.35
123 H FDU 66-76 -10 1 - -3.02
126 H Stonehill 59-61 -2 1 - -2.96
129 A Wagner 62-55 7 0 1.52
131 H LIU 59-80 -21 -1 -1.16
205 A Chicago St 78-67 11 1 0.89
207 A Wagner 84-67 17 0 1.52
212 A New Haven 81-76 5 1 1.48
214 A FDU 63-57 6 1 1.00
219 A Le Moyne 78-77 1 0 0.73
221 H Chicago St 51-70 -19 1 - -3.13
226 A Mercyhurst 80-78 2 0 1.67
228 A St Francis 69-64 5 1 0.60
304 H Wagner 60-70 -10 0 - -2.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 H Northeastern 56-73 -17 0 - -2.25 119 H Mercyhurst 61-79 -18 0 - -2.35 123 H FDU 66-76 -10 1 - -3.02 126 H Stonehill 59-61 -2 1 - -2.96 221 H Chicago St 51-70 -19 1 - -3.13 304 H Wagner 60-70 -10 0 - -2.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A Rutgers 67-54 13 -2 ++ 4.00 1111 A Boston Col 60-59 1 -1 + 2.37 1124 A Sacred Heart **-** 2 0 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 49-71 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.14 -2.70
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 60-59 -4.19 3.29 0.01 1.14 7.50
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 77-84 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.14 -2.52
3 A Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 67-54 -3.41 4.07 0.01 1.14 9.28
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) **-** -5.54 1.94 0.01 1.14 4.44
3 H Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 61-77 -2.35 5.13 -0.01 1.14 -1.34
3 H Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 56-73 -5.79 1.68 -0.01 1.14 -3.30
3 A Binghamton ( 8-23, 92.7) 84-67 -7.19 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 70-84 -4.85 2.63 -0.01 1.14 -2.76
3 H Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 70-84 -4.85 2.63 -0.01 1.14 -2.76
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 78-84 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.14 -2.68
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 72-61 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.14 3.21
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 76-69 -6.50 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 69-59 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.14 3.77
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 98-90 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 61-79 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.14 -3.36
3 H FDU (11-21, 93.3) 66-76 -6.56 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.74
3 H Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 59-61 -6.50 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.71
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 62-55 -6.04 1.44 0.01 1.14 3.29
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 59-80 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.14 -2.68
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 78-67 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 84-67 -6.04 1.44 0.01 1.14 3.29
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 81-76 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.14 3.21
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 63-57 -6.56 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 78-77 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.14 3.77
3 H Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 51-70 -6.68 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.81
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 80-78 -5.89 1.59 0.01 1.14 3.63
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 69-64 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 60-70 -6.04 1.44 -0.01 1.14 -3.44
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20.38
|
winning pts = 59.1855 losing points = -38.8081
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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