Chicago St
W-L: ( 7-25) PR = 93.2238Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 62-92 1106 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 86-** 1111 H Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 66-98 1115 H Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 63-67 1118 H Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 54-66 1120 H Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 54-93 1125 H PFW HL (16-16, 95.2) 77-90 1128 H Youngstown St HL (15-17, 94.8) 64-87 1201 A STXAV 85-62 1206 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 53-95 1214 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 84-75 1216 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 55-76 1220 H Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 58-78 102 H Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 72-79 104 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 55-74 108 H FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 63-70 110 H Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 82-85 117 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 57-72 119 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 56-62 123 H St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 60-81 125 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 59-61 131 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 78-74 205 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 67-78 207 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 63-57 209 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 80-75 212 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 68-55 214 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 63-81 219 H FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 59-60 221 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 70-51 226 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 56-73 228 H Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 61-80 304 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 75-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H DePaul 62-92 -30 -3 0.00
1106 H St Louis 86-** -22 -4 0.00
1111 H Butler 66-98 -32 -4 0.00
1115 H Ill-Chicago 63-67 -4 -2 0.00
1118 H Minnesota 54-66 -12 -4 0.00
1120 H Iowa 54-93 -39 -5 0.00
1125 H PFW 77-90 -13 -2 -0.07
1128 H Youngstown St 64-87 -23 -2 -0.47
1206 H Illinois St 53-95 -42 -3 0.00
1214 A Loyola Chic 84-75 9 -2 + 3.71
1216 H Bowling Grn 55-76 -21 -2 0.00
1220 H Indiana 58-78 -20 -4 0.00
102 H Wagner 72-79 -7 -1 -1.38
104 H LIU 55-74 -19 -2 -0.03
108 H FDU 63-70 -7 0 -1.89
110 H Stonehill 82-85 -3 0 -1.83
117 H Le Moyne 57-72 -15 -1 -1.17
119 H New Haven 56-62 -6 -1 -1.41
123 H St Francis 60-81 -21 0 - -2.30
125 H Mercyhurst 59-61 -2 -1 -1.22
131 A Mercyhurst 78-74 4 -1 + 2.80
205 H Ce Connecticut 67-78 -11 -1 -0.89
207 A New Haven 63-57 6 -1 + 2.61
209 A St Francis 80-75 5 0 1.72
212 A Stonehill 68-55 13 0 + 2.19
214 H Le Moyne 63-81 -18 -1 -1.17
219 H FDU 59-60 -1 0 -0.89
221 A Ce Connecticut 70-51 19 -1 + 3.13
226 H LIU 56-73 -17 -2 -0.03
228 H Wagner 61-80 -19 -1 -1.38
304 H LIU 75-79 -4 -2 -0.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 123 H St Francis 60-81 -21 0 - -2.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1214 A Loyola Chic 84-75 9 -2 + 3.71 131 A Mercyhurst 78-74 4 -1 + 2.80 207 A New Haven 63-57 6 -1 + 2.61 212 A Stonehill 68-55 13 0 + 2.19 221 A Ce Connecticut 70-51 19 -1 + 3.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 62-92 -3.24 4.24 -0.01 1.06 -1.73
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 86-** -2.27 5.21 -0.01 1.06 -1.21
3 H Butler (16-16, 96.9) 66-98 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
3 H Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 63-67 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 1.06 -2.31
3 H Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 54-66 -3.17 4.31 -0.01 1.06 -1.69
3 H Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 54-93 -2.00 5.48 -0.01 1.06 -1.07
3 H PFW (16-16, 95.2) 77-90 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.06 -2.53
3 H Youngstown St (15-17, 94.8) 64-87 -5.13 2.34 -0.01 1.06 -2.74
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 53-95 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 1.06 -1.91
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 84-75 -4.97 2.50 0.01 1.06 5.35
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 55-76 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
3 H Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 58-78 -2.58 4.89 -0.01 1.06 -1.38
3 H Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 72-79 -6.04 1.44 -0.01 1.06 -3.22
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 55-74 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.06 -2.51
3 H FDU (11-21, 93.3) 63-70 -6.56 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.50
3 H Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 82-85 -6.50 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.47
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 57-72 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.06 -3.11
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 56-62 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.06 -3.24
3 H St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 60-81 -6.96 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.71
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 59-61 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.06 -3.14
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 78-74 -5.89 1.59 0.01 1.06 3.40
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 67-78 -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.06 -2.96
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 63-57 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.06 3.00
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 80-75 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 68-55 -6.50 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 63-81 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.06 -3.11
3 H FDU (11-21, 93.3) 59-60 -6.56 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.50
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 70-51 -5.55 1.92 0.01 1.06 4.12
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 56-73 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.06 -2.51
3 H Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 61-80 -6.04 1.44 -0.01 1.06 -3.22
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 75-79 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.06 -2.51
------
-44.05
|
winning pts = 20.1777 losing points = -64.2275
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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