Colorado St
W-L: (21-13) PR = 96.6871Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 98-64 1109 A Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 97-74 1112 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 93-79 1116 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 80-67 1121 H Denver SM (14-18, 94.9) 81-83 1126 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 64-66 1127 A Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 76-70 1128 A So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 83-68 1206 A Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 91-86 1209 A Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 76-55 1214 A NNMU **-54 1220 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 58-** 1230 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 62-75 103 A Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 70-60 106 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 70-80 109 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 70-62 113 H Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 69-79 116 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 73-79 120 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 81-52 123 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 61-65 128 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 50-73 131 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 57-68 207 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 65-57 210 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 91-74 214 A Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 79-68 218 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 91-86 221 A San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 83-74 224 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 74-70 228 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 85-73 304 A New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 82-74 307 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 67-78 311 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 67-63 312 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 62-71 318 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 64-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Incarn Word 98-64 34 2 0.00
1109 A Omaha 97-74 23 2 0.13
1112 A Cal Poly 93-79 14 1 0.57
1116 A Loyola Chic 80-67 13 2 0.25
1121 H Denver 81-83 -2 2 - -3.81
1126 H Va Tech 64-66 -2 -1 -1.33
1127 A Wichita St 76-70 6 0 1.97
1128 A So Florida 83-68 15 0 + 2.42
1206 A Colorado 91-86 5 0 + 2.41
1209 A Dartmouth 76-55 21 2 0.00
1220 H Utah State 58-** -42 -1 -0.80
1230 H Nevada 62-75 -13 0 -1.76
103 A Grand Canyon 70-60 10 0 + 2.03
106 H New Mexico 70-80 -10 -1 -1.47
109 A UNLV 70-62 8 0 1.72
113 H Fresno St 69-79 -10 1 - -2.96
116 H Boise St 73-79 -6 0 -1.65
120 A Air Force 81-52 29 3 0.00
123 H Utah State 61-65 -4 -1 -0.80
128 H San Diego St 50-73 -23 -1 -1.31
131 H Wyoming 57-68 -11 0 - -2.42
207 A San Jose St 65-57 8 1 0.63
210 A Air Force 91-74 17 3 0.00
214 A Wyoming 79-68 11 0 1.60
218 A UNLV 91-86 5 0 1.72
221 A San Diego St 83-74 9 -1 + 2.71
224 A Fresno St 74-70 4 1 1.06
228 A San Jose St 85-73 12 1 0.63
304 A New Mexico 82-74 8 -1 + 2.55
307 H Boise St 67-78 -11 0 -1.65
311 A Fresno St 67-63 4 1 1.06
312 H San Diego St 62-71 -9 -1 -1.31
318 H St Joseph's 64-69 -5 0 - -2.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 H Denver 81-83 -2 2 - -3.81 113 H Fresno St 69-79 -10 1 - -2.96 131 H Wyoming 57-68 -11 0 - -2.42 318 H St Joseph's 64-69 -5 0 - -2.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 A So Florida 83-68 15 0 + 2.42 1206 A Colorado 91-86 5 0 + 2.41 103 A Grand Canyon 70-60 10 0 + 2.03 221 A San Diego St 83-74 9 -1 + 2.71 304 A New Mexico 82-74 8 -1 + 2.55 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 98-64 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.00 3.95
3 A Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 97-74 -5.09 2.38 0.01 1.00 4.79
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 93-79 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.00 5.66
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 80-67 -4.97 2.50 0.01 1.00 5.03
3 H Denver (14-18, 94.9) 81-83 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.00 -2.51
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 64-66 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.00 -1.27
3 A Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 76-70 -3.25 4.22 0.01 1.00 8.47
3 A So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 83-68 -2.80 4.67 0.01 1.00 9.37
3 A Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 91-86 -2.81 4.67 0.01 1.00 9.36
3 A Dartmouth (11-16, 94.4) 76-55 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.00 3.95
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 58-** -2.00 5.47 -0.01 1.00 -1.01
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 62-75 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.00 -1.49
3 A Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 70-60 -3.19 4.29 0.01 1.00 8.60
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 70-80 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.00 -1.34
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 70-62 -3.50 3.97 0.01 1.00 7.97
3 H Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 69-79 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.00 -2.09
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 73-79 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.00 -1.43
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 81-52 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.00 3.24
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 61-65 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 1.00 -1.01
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 50-73 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.00 -1.26
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 57-68 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 1.00 -1.82
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 65-57 -4.59 2.88 0.01 1.00 5.79
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 91-74 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.00 3.24
3 A Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 79-68 -3.63 3.85 0.01 1.00 7.72
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 91-86 -3.50 3.97 0.01 1.00 7.97
3 A San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 83-74 -2.51 4.96 0.01 1.00 9.95
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 74-70 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.00 6.66
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 85-73 -4.59 2.88 0.01 1.00 5.79
3 A New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 82-74 -2.67 4.81 0.01 1.00 9.64
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 67-78 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.00 -1.43
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 67-63 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.00 6.66
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 62-71 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.00 -1.26
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 64-69 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.00 -1.71
------
114.18
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winning pts = 133.8009 losing points = -19.6233
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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