Cal Poly
W-L: (14-19) PR = 95.2445Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 64-94 1105 A PACLU **-79 1108 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 73-71 1112 H Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 79-93 1114 H Montana BS (18-16, 95.5) 82-90 1120 A Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 92-85 1124 H No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 87-93 1125 H SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 68-84 1129 A REDLA 87-81 1204 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 94-91 1206 H CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 84-88 1216 H Montana St BS (18-14, 95.5) 80-83 1219 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 87-** 1221 H Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 80-83 101 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 67-65 103 H LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 66-74 108 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 90-95 110 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 84-78 116 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 66-86 122 H Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 67-** 124 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 78-93 129 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) **-79 131 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 94-87 205 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 96-97 207 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 58-67 212 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 79-73 214 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 89-79 220 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 86-75 226 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) **-92 228 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 64-80 305 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 85-** 307 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) **-76 311 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 69-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H USC 64-94 -30 -2 0.00
1108 A Seattle 73-71 2 -1 + 3.01
1112 H Colorado St 79-93 -14 -1 -0.57
1114 H Montana 82-90 -8 0 -1.79
1120 A Utah 92-85 7 -1 + 2.93
1124 H No Arizona 87-93 -6 1 - -2.93
1125 H SE MO St 68-84 -16 0 - -2.44
1204 A CS Fullerton 94-91 3 0 + 2.37
1206 H CA Riverside 84-88 -4 1 - -2.54
1216 H Montana St 80-83 -3 0 -1.75
1219 H UCLA 87-** -21 -3 0.00
1221 H Idaho 80-83 -3 0 -1.77
101 A UC San Diego 67-65 2 -1 + 2.86
103 H LB St 66-74 -8 1 - -2.53
108 H Northridge 90-95 -5 -1 -1.47
110 A UC Davis 84-78 6 -1 + 2.66
116 H Hawaii 66-86 -20 -1 -0.90
122 H Santa Barbara 67-** -40 0 -1.56
124 H CS Fullerton 78-93 -15 0 -1.65
129 A CS Baker **-79 25 1 0.97
131 A CA Riverside 94-87 7 1 1.48
205 H Northridge 96-97 -1 -1 -0.47
207 H UC Davis 58-67 -9 -1 -1.36
212 A UC Irvine 79-73 6 -1 + 2.88
214 A Santa Barbara 89-79 10 0 + 2.46
220 A Hawaii 86-75 11 -1 + 3.12
226 A LB St **-92 10 1 1.49
228 H UC San Diego 64-80 -16 -1 -1.16
305 H UC Irvine 85-** -22 -1 -1.14
307 A CS Baker **-76 32 1 0.97
311 H UC San Diego 69-72 -3 -1 -1.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 H No Arizona 87-93 -6 1 - -2.93 1125 H SE MO St 68-84 -16 0 - -2.44 1206 H CA Riverside 84-88 -4 1 - -2.54 103 H LB St 66-74 -8 1 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 A Seattle 73-71 2 -1 + 3.01 1120 A Utah 92-85 7 -1 + 2.93 1204 A CS Fullerton 94-91 3 0 + 2.37 101 A UC San Diego 67-65 2 -1 + 2.86 110 A UC Davis 84-78 6 -1 + 2.66 212 A UC Irvine 79-73 6 -1 + 2.88 214 A Santa Barbara 89-79 10 0 + 2.46 220 A Hawaii 86-75 11 -1 + 3.12 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H USC (18-14, 97.3) 64-94 -2.60 4.88 -0.01 1.06 -1.39
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 73-71 -3.65 3.82 0.01 1.06 8.16
3 H Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 79-93 -3.21 4.26 -0.01 1.06 -1.72
3 H Montana (18-16, 95.5) 82-90 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
3 A Utah (10-22, 96.2) 92-85 -3.73 3.74 0.01 1.06 8.00
3 H No Arizona (11-22, 94.3) 87-93 -5.58 1.90 -0.01 1.06 -2.98
3 H SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 68-84 -5.08 2.39 -0.01 1.06 -2.71
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 94-91 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.06 6.79
3 H CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 84-88 -5.19 2.29 -0.01 1.06 -2.77
3 H Montana St (18-14, 95.5) 80-83 -4.39 3.08 -0.01 1.06 -2.34
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 87-** -1.86 5.61 -0.01 1.06 -1.00
3 H Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 80-83 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.36
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 67-65 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.06 7.84
3 H LB St (11-22, 94.7) 66-74 -5.18 2.30 -0.01 1.06 -2.76
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 90-95 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.06 -2.20
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 84-78 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.06 7.42
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 66-86 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.06 -1.90
3 H Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 67-** -4.21 3.27 -0.01 1.06 -2.25
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 78-93 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.06 -2.29
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) **-79 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 94-87 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.06 4.90
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 96-97 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.06 -2.20
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 58-67 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.06 -2.14
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 79-73 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.06 7.89
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 89-79 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.06 6.98
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 86-75 -3.55 3.93 0.01 1.06 8.39
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) **-92 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.92
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 64-80 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.06 -2.03
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 85-** -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) **-76 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 69-72 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.06 -2.03
------
37.48
|
winning pts = 78.9202 losing points = -41.4413
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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