CS Fullerton
W-L: (16-17) PR = 95.5998Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A CALTE 1108 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 82-92 1110 H California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 65-93 1115 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 73-85 1121 H Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 85-** 1122 A St Thomas MN SM (24-10, 95.8) 88-80 1123 H No Colorado BS (20-12, 95.6) 93-97 1129 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 83-69 1204 H Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 91-94 1207 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 59-69 1210 A BTHSD **-66 1213 A Denver SM (14-18, 94.9) **-86 1221 H Oklahoma St B12 (21-15, 97.4) 89-94 1228 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 63-** 101 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 95-84 103 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 64-86 108 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 88-71 110 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 86-79 116 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 69-74 117 H CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 72-81 122 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 71-61 124 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 93-78 131 H Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 69-83 205 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 78-72 207 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 82-66 212 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 86-82 214 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 65-86 219 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 93-92 221 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 88-80 228 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 85-87 305 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 75-71 307 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 90-77 313 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 63-78
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Wyoming 82-92 -10 -1 -1.34
1110 H California 65-93 -28 -2 -0.47
1115 H Pacific 73-85 -12 0 -1.56
1121 H Portland 85-** -18 0 - -2.06
1122 A St Thomas MN 88-80 8 0 + 2.20
1123 H No Colorado 93-97 -4 0 - -2.04
1129 A Pepperdine 83-69 14 1 0.99
1204 H Cal Poly 91-94 -3 0 - -2.37
1207 H Hawaii 59-69 -10 -1 -1.26
1213 A Denver **-86 19 1 1.30
1221 H Oklahoma St 89-94 -5 -2 -0.22
1228 H SMU 63-** -47 -2 -0.24
101 A Santa Barbara 95-84 11 0 + 2.10
103 H UC Irvine 64-86 -22 -1 -1.49
108 A UC San Diego 88-71 17 -1 + 2.51
110 A Northridge 86-79 7 0 + 2.19
116 H UC Davis 69-74 -5 0 -1.71
117 H CA Riverside 72-81 -9 1 - -2.90
122 A LB St 71-61 10 1 1.14
124 A Cal Poly 93-78 15 0 1.65
131 H Santa Barbara 69-83 -14 0 -1.92
205 A CA Riverside 78-72 6 1 1.12
207 A CS Baker 82-66 16 1 0.62
212 A LB St 86-82 4 1 1.14
214 H UC Irvine 65-86 -21 -1 -1.49
219 A UC Davis 93-92 1 0 1.31
221 A CS Baker 88-80 8 1 0.62
228 H Hawaii 85-87 -2 -1 -1.26
305 A UC San Diego 75-71 4 -1 + 2.51
307 A Northridge 90-77 13 0 + 2.19
313 H Hawaii 63-78 -15 -1 -1.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 H Portland 85-** -18 0 - -2.06 1123 H No Colorado 93-97 -4 0 - -2.04 1204 H Cal Poly 91-94 -3 0 - -2.37 117 H CA Riverside 72-81 -9 1 - -2.90 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 A St Thomas MN 88-80 8 0 + 2.20 101 A Santa Barbara 95-84 11 0 + 2.10 108 A UC San Diego 88-71 17 -1 + 2.51 110 A Northridge 86-79 7 0 + 2.19 305 A UC San Diego 75-71 4 -1 + 2.51 307 A Northridge 90-77 13 0 + 2.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 82-92 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 1.06 -1.94
3 H California (22-12, 97.1) 65-93 -2.76 4.72 -0.01 1.06 -1.47
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 73-85 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.06 -2.05
3 H Portland (15-19, 95.6) 85-** -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.06 -2.32
3 A St Thomas MN (24-10, 95.8) 88-80 -4.11 3.37 0.01 1.06 7.19
3 H No Colorado (20-12, 95.6) 93-97 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 1.06 -2.31
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 83-69 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.06 4.61
3 H Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 91-94 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.06 -2.48
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 59-69 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.06 -1.90
3 A Denver (14-18, 94.9) **-86 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.06 5.27
3 H Oklahoma St (21-15, 97.4) 89-94 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.06 -1.34
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 63-** -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.06 -1.35
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 95-84 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.06 6.98
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 64-86 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 88-71 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.06 7.84
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 86-79 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.06 7.17
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 69-74 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.06 -2.14
3 H CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 72-81 -5.19 2.29 -0.01 1.06 -2.77
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 71-61 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.92
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 93-78 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.06 6.03
3 H Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 69-83 -4.21 3.27 -0.01 1.06 -2.25
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 78-72 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.06 4.90
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 82-66 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 86-82 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.92
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 65-86 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 93-92 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.06 7.42
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 88-80 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 85-87 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.06 -1.90
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 75-71 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.06 7.84
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 90-77 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.06 7.17
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 63-78 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.06 -1.90
------
57.76
|
winning pts = 89.9066 losing points = -32.1453
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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