Northridge
W-L: (20-14) PR = 95.7801Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A NOBEL 99-58 1106 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 57-86 1109 A No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 93-85 1111 H No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 68-90 1116 A Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 94-85 1126 H Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 64-78 1128 H Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 50-82 1204 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 87-66 1206 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 71-85 1210 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 89-87 1213 A Delaware CUSA (10-21, 94.6) 88-66 1219 A LASIE 88-53 1222 A Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) **-88 1227 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 80-88 101 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 80-89 103 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 74-65 108 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 95-90 110 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 79-86 116 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 84-79 117 H LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 80-87 125 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 68-89 129 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 94-78 131 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 81-64 205 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 97-96 207 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 88-74 214 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 84-60 219 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 85-83 221 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 78-76 226 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 67-68 228 H CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 84-95 305 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 86-84 307 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 77-90 312 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 80-70 313 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 78-93
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H No Iowa 57-86 -29 0 -1.55
1109 A No Dakota 93-85 8 1 1.12
1111 H No Dakota St 68-90 -22 0 -1.71
1116 A Troy 94-85 9 0 + 2.24
1126 H Idaho 64-78 -14 0 - -2.31
1128 H Idaho St 50-82 -32 1 - -3.13
1204 A CS Baker 87-66 21 2 0.44
1206 H UC Irvine 71-85 -14 0 -1.67
1210 A Fresno St 89-87 2 0 1.97
1213 A Delaware 88-66 22 1 0.88
1222 A Sacra St **-88 12 1 0.72
1227 H Stanford 80-88 -8 -1 -0.60
101 H UC Davis 80-89 -9 0 -1.89
103 A Santa Barbara 74-65 9 0 1.92
108 A Cal Poly 95-90 5 1 1.47
110 H CS Fullerton 79-86 -7 0 - -2.19
116 A UC San Diego 84-79 5 0 + 2.32
117 H LB St 80-87 -7 1 - -3.07
125 H Hawaii 68-89 -21 -1 -1.44
129 A UC Davis 94-78 16 0 + 2.13
131 A UC San Diego 81-64 17 0 + 2.32
205 A Cal Poly 97-96 1 1 0.47
207 A CA Riverside 88-74 14 1 0.94
214 A Hawaii 84-60 24 -1 + 2.58
219 A Santa Barbara 85-83 2 0 1.92
221 A LB St 78-76 2 1 0.95
226 H UC Irvine 67-68 -1 0 -0.67
228 H CA Riverside 84-95 -11 1 - -3.08
305 A CS Baker 86-84 2 2 0.44
307 H CS Fullerton 77-90 -13 0 - -2.19
312 A UC San Diego 80-70 10 0 + 2.32
313 H UC Irvine 78-93 -15 0 -1.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 H Idaho 64-78 -14 0 - -2.31 1128 H Idaho St 50-82 -32 1 - -3.13 110 H CS Fullerton 79-86 -7 0 - -2.19 117 H LB St 80-87 -7 1 - -3.07 228 H CA Riverside 84-95 -11 1 - -3.08 307 H CS Fullerton 77-90 -13 0 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 A Troy 94-85 9 0 + 2.24 116 A UC San Diego 84-79 5 0 + 2.32 129 A UC Davis 94-78 16 0 + 2.13 131 A UC San Diego 81-64 17 0 + 2.32 214 A Hawaii 84-60 24 -1 + 2.58 312 A UC San Diego 80-70 10 0 + 2.32 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 57-86 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 1.03 -1.89
3 A No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 93-85 -5.01 2.47 0.01 1.03 5.11
3 H No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 68-90 -3.82 3.65 -0.01 1.03 -1.98
3 A Troy (23-11, 96.0) 94-85 -3.89 3.59 0.01 1.03 7.42
3 H Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 64-78 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
3 H Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 50-82 -5.24 2.24 -0.01 1.03 -2.71
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 87-66 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.03 3.70
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 71-85 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.03 -1.96
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 89-87 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.03 6.86
3 A Delaware (10-21, 94.6) 88-66 -5.25 2.22 0.01 1.03 4.61
3 A Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) **-88 -5.41 2.06 0.01 1.03 4.27
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 80-88 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 1.03 -1.41
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 80-89 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.03 -2.07
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 74-65 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.03 6.76
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 95-90 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 79-86 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.03 -2.22
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 84-79 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.03 7.60
3 H LB St (11-22, 94.7) 80-87 -5.18 2.30 -0.01 1.03 -2.67
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 68-89 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.03 -1.84
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 94-78 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.03 7.18
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 81-64 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.03 7.60
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 97-96 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 88-74 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.03 4.74
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 84-60 -3.55 3.93 0.01 1.03 8.12
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 85-83 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.03 6.76
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 78-76 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.77
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 67-68 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.03 -1.96
3 H CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 84-95 -5.19 2.29 -0.01 1.03 -2.68
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 86-84 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.03 3.70
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 77-90 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.03 -2.22
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 80-70 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.03 7.60
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 78-93 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.03 -1.96
------
78.66
|
winning pts = 108.5027 losing points = -29.8425
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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