Dayton
W-L: (24-12) PR = 96.9485Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 88-48 1108 A UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 77-71 1111 H Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 62-74 1115 A Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 91-82 1119 A Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 77-71 1122 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 74-55 1127 A Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 84-79 1128 H BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 79-83 1202 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 88-71 1206 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 73-86 1213 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 84-61 1216 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 97-69 1220 H Liberty CUSA (26- 8, 96.5) 61-64 1231 A Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 63-56 103 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 70-68 106 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 79-72 113 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 71-65 121 H La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 64-67 124 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 74-81 127 H Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 76-81 130 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 71-** 203 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 72-70 206 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 73-99 215 A Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 70-59 218 A George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 82-67 221 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 78-66 224 A St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 77-62 227 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 68-66 303 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 65-60 306 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 62-68 313 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 68-63 314 A St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 70-69 315 A VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 62-70 318 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 80-66 321 A UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 80-61 325 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 55-61
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Canisius 88-48 40 3 0.00
1108 A UMBC 77-71 6 2 0.00
1111 H Cincinnati 62-74 -12 0 -1.59
1115 A Beth-Cook 91-82 9 2 0.06
1119 A Marquette 77-71 6 0 1.53
1122 A NC Center 74-55 19 3 0.00
1127 A Georgetown 84-79 5 0 1.94
1128 H BYU 79-83 -4 -1 -0.79
1202 A Ea Tenn St 88-71 17 1 0.50
1206 H Virginia 73-86 -13 -2 -0.32
1213 A No Florida 84-61 23 3 0.00
1216 A Florida St 97-69 28 0 + 2.28
1220 H Liberty 61-64 -3 0 - -2.44
1231 A Fordham 63-56 7 2 0.45
103 A Loyola Chic 70-68 2 2 0.00
106 A George Wash 79-72 7 1 1.10
113 A Duquesne 71-65 6 1 1.01
121 H La Salle 64-67 -3 2 - -3.97
124 H St Joseph's 74-81 -7 0 - -2.47
127 H Rhode Island 76-81 -5 1 - -3.34
130 H St Louis 71-** -31 -1 -1.33
203 A St. Bonnies 72-70 2 1 0.83
206 H VCU 73-99 -26 -1 -1.38
215 A Davidson 70-59 11 1 1.21
218 A George Mason 82-67 15 0 1.65
221 A Duquesne 78-66 12 1 1.01
224 A St Louis 77-62 15 -1 + 2.69
227 A George Wash 68-66 2 1 1.10
303 A Richmond 65-60 5 1 0.58
306 H VCU 62-68 -6 -1 -1.38
313 A St. Bonnies 68-63 5 1 0.83
314 A St Louis 70-69 1 -1 1.69
315 A VCU 62-70 -8 -1 -1.36
318 A Bradley 80-66 14 1 1.18
321 A UNC-Wilm 80-61 19 1 1.35
325 H Illinois St 55-61 -6 1 - -2.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 H Liberty 61-64 -3 0 - -2.44 121 H La Salle 64-67 -3 2 - -3.97 124 H St Joseph's 74-81 -7 0 - -2.47 127 H Rhode Island 76-81 -5 1 - -3.34 325 H Illinois St 55-61 -6 1 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1216 A Florida St 97-69 28 0 + 2.28 224 A St Louis 77-62 15 -1 + 2.69 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 88-48 -5.95 1.53 0.01 0.92 2.82
3 A UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 77-71 -5.00 2.47 0.01 0.92 4.55
3 H Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 62-74 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 0.92 -1.16
3 A Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 91-82 -4.90 2.58 0.01 0.92 4.75
3 A Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 77-71 -3.43 4.05 0.01 0.92 7.44
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 74-55 -6.34 1.14 0.01 0.92 2.10
3 A Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 84-79 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.92 8.19
3 H BYU (23-12, 98.2) 79-83 -1.73 5.74 -0.01 0.92 -0.80
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 88-71 -4.46 3.02 0.01 0.92 5.55
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 73-86 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.92 -0.58
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 84-61 -6.36 1.12 0.01 0.92 2.07
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 97-69 -2.68 4.79 0.01 0.92 8.81
3 H Liberty (26- 8, 96.5) 61-64 -3.38 4.09 -0.01 0.92 -1.56
3 A Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 63-56 -4.51 2.97 0.01 0.92 5.46
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 70-68 -4.97 2.50 0.01 0.92 4.61
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 79-72 -3.86 3.61 0.01 0.92 6.64
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 71-65 -3.95 3.52 0.01 0.92 6.48
3 H La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 64-67 -4.91 2.57 -0.01 0.92 -2.25
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 74-81 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 0.92 -1.57
3 H Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 76-81 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 0.92 -1.97
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 71-** -2.27 5.21 -0.01 0.92 -1.04
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 72-70 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.92 6.16
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 73-99 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 0.92 -1.07
3 A Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 70-59 -3.75 3.73 0.01 0.92 6.86
3 A George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 82-67 -3.31 4.16 0.01 0.92 7.65
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 78-66 -3.95 3.52 0.01 0.92 6.48
3 A St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 77-62 -2.27 5.21 0.01 0.92 9.57
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 68-66 -3.86 3.61 0.01 0.92 6.64
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 65-60 -4.38 3.09 0.01 0.92 5.69
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 62-68 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 0.92 -1.07
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 68-63 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.92 6.16
3 A St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 70-69 -2.27 5.21 0.01 0.92 9.57
3 A VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 62-70 -2.32 5.16 0.01 0.92 -1.06
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 80-66 -3.79 3.69 0.01 0.92 6.79
3 A UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 80-61 -3.61 3.86 0.01 0.92 7.10
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 55-61 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 0.92 -1.64
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132.38
|
winning pts = 148.1571 losing points = -15.7738
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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