Duke
W-L: (35- 3) PR = 99.7273Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 75-60 1108 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 95-54 1111 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) **-59 1114 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) **-62 1118 A Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 78-66 1121 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) **-42 1123 A Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 93-56 1127 A Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 80-71 1202 A Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 67-66 1206 A Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 66-60 1216 A Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 97-73 1220 H Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 81-82 1231 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 85-79 103 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 91-87 106 A Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 84-73 110 A SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 82-75 114 A California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 71-56 117 A Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 80-50 124 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 90-69 126 A Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 83-52 131 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 72-58 203 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 67-49 207 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 68-71 210 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 70-54 214 A Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 67-54 216 A Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) **-64 221 A Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 68-63 224 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) **-56 228 A Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 77-51 302 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 93-64 307 A No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 76-61 312 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 80-79 313 A Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 73-61 314 A Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 74-70 319 A Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 71-65 321 A TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 81-58 327 A St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 80-75 329 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 72-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Texas 75-60 15 2 0.07
1108 A We Carolina 95-54 41 5 0.00
1111 A Army **-59 55 6 0.00
1114 A Indiana St **-62 38 5 0.00
1118 A Kansas 78-66 12 1 0.72
1121 A Niagara **-42 58 6 0.00
1123 A Howard 93-56 37 5 0.00
1127 A Arkansas 80-71 9 1 0.78
1202 A Florida 67-66 1 1 0.11
1206 A Michigan St 66-60 6 1 0.99
1216 A Lipscomb 97-73 24 5 0.00
1220 H Texas Tech 81-82 -1 1 - -2.49
1231 A Georgia Tech 85-79 6 4 0.00
103 A Florida St 91-87 4 2 0.00
106 A Louisville 84-73 11 2 0.31
110 A SMU 82-75 7 2 0.00
114 A California 71-56 15 3 0.00
117 A Stanford 80-50 30 3 0.00
124 A Wake Forest 90-69 21 3 0.00
126 A Louisville 83-52 31 2 0.31
131 A Va Tech 72-58 14 2 0.00
203 A Boston Col 67-49 18 4 0.00
207 H No Carolina 68-71 -3 2 - -3.54
210 A Pittsburgh 70-54 16 3 0.00
214 A Clemson 67-54 13 2 0.12
216 A Syracuse **-64 37 3 0.00
221 A Michigan 68-63 5 0 + 2.04
224 A Notre D **-56 44 3 0.00
228 A Virginia 77-51 26 1 0.92
302 A NC State 93-64 29 2 0.00
307 A No Carolina 76-61 15 2 0.48
312 A Florida St 80-79 1 2 -1.00
313 A Clemson 73-61 12 2 0.12
314 A Virginia 74-70 4 1 0.92
319 A Siena 71-65 6 4 0.00
321 A TCU 81-58 23 2 0.29
327 A St. John's 80-75 5 1 0.98
329 H Connecticut 72-73 -1 1 -1.61
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 H Texas Tech 81-82 -1 1 - -2.49 207 H No Carolina 68-71 -3 2 - -3.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Michigan 68-63 5 0 + 2.04 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) 75-60 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.87 9.33
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 95-54 -5.06 2.41 0.01 0.87 4.21
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) **-59 -6.35 1.12 0.01 0.87 1.97
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) **-62 -5.18 2.30 0.01 0.87 4.01
3 A Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 78-66 -1.47 6.01 0.01 0.87 10.46
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) **-42 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.87 2.24
3 A Howard (24-11, 95.0) 93-56 -4.95 2.53 0.01 0.87 4.41
3 A Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 80-71 -1.40 6.07 0.01 0.87 10.57
3 A Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 67-66 -1.07 6.40 0.01 0.87 11.14
3 A Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 66-60 -1.19 6.29 0.01 0.87 10.94
3 A Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 97-73 -4.70 2.78 0.01 0.87 4.85
3 H Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 81-82 -1.65 5.83 -0.01 0.87 -0.72
3 A Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 85-79 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.87 5.83
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 91-87 -2.68 4.79 0.01 0.87 8.35
3 A Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 84-73 -1.87 5.61 0.01 0.87 9.76
3 A SMU (20-14, 97.4) 82-75 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.87 8.61
3 A California (22-12, 97.1) 71-56 -2.76 4.72 0.01 0.87 8.22
3 A Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 80-50 -2.71 4.76 0.01 0.87 8.29
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 90-69 -2.85 4.63 0.01 0.87 8.05
3 A Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 83-52 -1.87 5.61 0.01 0.87 9.76
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 72-58 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.87 8.61
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 67-49 -4.19 3.29 0.01 0.87 5.73
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 68-71 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.87 -0.75
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 70-54 -3.52 3.96 0.01 0.87 6.90
3 A Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 67-54 -2.07 5.41 0.01 0.87 9.42
3 A Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) **-64 -3.13 4.34 0.01 0.87 7.57
3 A Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 68-63 -0.14 7.34 0.01 0.87 12.76
3 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) **-56 -3.32 4.16 0.01 0.87 7.24
3 A Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 77-51 -1.26 6.21 0.01 0.87 10.81
3 A NC State (20-14, 97.6) 93-64 -2.30 5.17 0.01 0.87 9.01
3 A No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 76-61 -1.71 5.77 0.01 0.87 10.04
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 80-79 -2.68 4.79 0.01 0.87 8.35
3 A Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 73-61 -2.07 5.41 0.01 0.87 9.42
3 A Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 74-70 -1.26 6.21 0.01 0.87 10.81
3 A Siena (23-12, 95.3) 71-65 -4.60 2.88 0.01 0.87 5.02
3 A TCU (24-12, 98.0) 81-58 -1.89 5.58 0.01 0.87 9.72
3 A St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 80-75 -1.20 6.27 0.01 0.87 10.92
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 72-73 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 0.87 -0.34
------
281.49
|
winning pts = 283.2996 losing points = -1.8059
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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