Ea Michigan
W-L: (10-21) PR = 94.6854Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 71-49 1110 H Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 66-78 1114 H IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) 83-90 1118 A Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) 72-62 1121 A Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 97-91 1124 H Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 46-87 1126 A Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 64-56 1128 A NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 73-55 1202 H Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 68-84 1205 A CLEAR 86-48 1210 H PFW HL (16-16, 95.2) 65-80 1219 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 72-93 1222 H Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 64-70 1230 A Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 80-74 103 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 67-68 106 A Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 74-52 110 H We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 62-79 113 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 77-59 117 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 79-85 124 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) **-76 127 H Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 65-** 131 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 67-70 203 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 64-66 207 H App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 60-65 211 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 91-95 214 H We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 62-76 217 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 66-54 221 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 75-94 224 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 64-74 303 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 67-72 306 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 69-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Georgia St 71-49 22 0 1.51
1110 H Pittsburgh 66-78 -12 -2 -0.31
1114 H IUI 83-90 -7 1 - -3.16
1118 A Detroit 72-62 10 -1 + 2.52
1121 A Oakland 97-91 6 -1 + 2.69
1124 H Louisville 46-87 -41 -3 0.00
1126 A Cincinnati 64-56 8 -3 ++ 4.00
1128 A NJ Tech 73-55 18 0 1.53
1202 H Butler 68-84 -16 -2 0.00
1210 H PFW 65-80 -15 0 -1.53
1219 H Akron 72-93 -21 -2 0.00
1222 H Wright St 64-70 -6 -1 -0.86
1230 A Mass 80-74 6 -1 + 2.81
103 H Ohio 67-68 -1 -1 -0.45
106 A Ball St 74-52 22 0 1.65
110 H We Michigan 62-79 -17 0 - -2.09
113 A No Illinois 77-59 18 1 1.49
117 H Bowling Grn 79-85 -6 -1 -1.24
124 H Kent State **-76 -92 -2 -0.46
127 H Ce Michigan 65-** -35 0 - -2.21
131 H Mass 67-70 -3 -1 -1.21
203 H Akron 64-66 -2 -2 0.00
207 H App State 60-65 -5 -1 -1.23
211 H Kent State 91-95 -4 -2 -0.46
214 H We Michigan 62-76 -14 0 - -2.09
217 A Ce Michigan 66-54 12 0 1.81
221 H Toledo 75-94 -19 -1 -1.00
224 H Miami (OH) 64-74 -10 -3 0.00
303 H Buffalo 67-72 -5 -1 -1.34
306 H Bowling Grn 69-77 -8 -1 -1.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 H IUI 83-90 -7 1 - -3.16 110 H We Michigan 62-79 -17 0 - -2.09 127 H Ce Michigan 65-** -35 0 - -2.21 214 H We Michigan 62-76 -14 0 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A Cincinnati 64-56 8 -3 ++ 4.00 1118 A Detroit 72-62 10 -1 + 2.52 1121 A Oakland 97-91 6 -1 + 2.69 1230 A Mass 80-74 6 -1 + 2.81 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 71-49 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.10 3.90
3 H Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 66-78 -3.52 3.96 -0.01 1.10 -1.94
3 H IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) 83-90 -6.36 1.11 -0.01 1.10 -3.51
3 A Detroit (17-15, 95.2) 72-62 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.10 6.13
3 A Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 97-91 -4.53 2.94 0.01 1.10 6.50
3 H Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 46-87 -1.87 5.61 -0.01 1.10 -1.04
3 A Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 64-56 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.10 10.91
3 A NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 73-55 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.10 3.94
3 H Butler (16-16, 96.9) 68-84 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 1.10 -1.63
3 H PFW (16-16, 95.2) 65-80 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.10 -2.61
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 72-93 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.10 -1.67
3 H Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 64-70 -4.07 3.41 -0.01 1.10 -2.24
3 A Mass (17-16, 95.5) 80-74 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.10 6.76
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 67-68 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.57
3 A Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 74-52 -5.57 1.90 0.01 1.10 4.21
3 H We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 62-79 -5.29 2.19 -0.01 1.10 -2.92
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 77-59 -5.73 1.75 0.01 1.10 3.87
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 79-85 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) **-76 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 H Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 65-** -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.99
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 67-70 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.44
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 64-66 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.10 -1.67
3 H App State (19-14, 95.5) 60-65 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 91-95 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 H We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 62-76 -5.29 2.19 -0.01 1.10 -2.92
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 66-54 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.10 4.55
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 75-94 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.10 -2.32
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 64-74 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.10 -1.38
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 67-72 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 1.10 -2.51
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 69-77 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
------
3.03
|
winning pts = 50.7661 losing points = -47.7365
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------