Ea Tenn St
W-L: (23-11) PR = 95.4420Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A CONVE **-50 1108 H Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 64-68 1112 A No Kentucky HL (20-14, 95.3) 75-63 1115 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 78-74 1121 A Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 77-62 1123 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 97-55 1129 A Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 80-57 1202 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 71-88 1205 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 91-65 1207 A TUSCU 78-62 1212 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 75-76 1216 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 58-77 1220 H Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 75-81 1230 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 74-49 103 A Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 77-71 107 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 81-67 110 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 86-60 114 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 68-72 117 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 76-75 121 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 67-66 123 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 84-55 129 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 88-90 201 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 86-72 204 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 75-71 207 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 87-70 211 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 73-61 214 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 72-82 218 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 78-69 221 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 87-75 225 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 69-72 228 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 76-82 307 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 83-76 308 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 69-67 309 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 61-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Presbyterian 64-68 -4 1 - -3.08
1112 A No Kentucky 75-63 12 0 1.84
1115 A No Alabama 78-74 4 2 0.41
1121 A Morehead St 77-62 15 1 1.34
1123 A LA-Monroe 97-55 42 2 0.00
1129 A Ce Arkansas 80-57 23 0 + 2.05
1202 H Dayton 71-88 -17 -1 -0.50
1205 A So Alabama 91-65 26 0 + 2.23
1212 H Austin Peay 75-76 -1 0 -0.93
1216 H No Carolina 58-77 -19 -3 0.00
1220 H Jacksonv St 75-81 -6 0 - -2.44
1230 A The Citadel 74-49 25 2 0.49
103 A Mercer 77-71 6 0 1.77
107 A VMI 81-67 14 2 0.00
110 A UNCG 86-60 26 1 1.09
114 H We Carolina 68-72 -4 1 - -2.62
117 A Samford 76-75 1 0 0.66
121 A Chattanooga 67-66 1 1 -0.24
123 A The Citadel 84-55 29 2 0.49
129 H We Carolina 88-90 -2 1 - -2.62
201 A Wofford 86-72 14 0 1.58
204 A Furman 75-71 4 0 1.94
207 A VMI 87-70 17 2 0.00
211 A Chattanooga 73-61 12 1 0.76
214 H Samford 72-82 -10 0 - -2.36
218 A Furman 78-69 9 0 1.94
221 A UNCG 87-75 12 1 1.09
225 H Wofford 69-72 -3 0 - -2.44
228 H Mercer 76-82 -6 0 - -2.25
307 A The Citadel 83-76 7 2 0.49
308 A We Carolina 69-67 2 1 1.40
309 H Furman 61-76 -15 0 - -2.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Presbyterian 64-68 -4 1 - -3.08 1220 H Jacksonv St 75-81 -6 0 - -2.44 114 H We Carolina 68-72 -4 1 - -2.62 129 H We Carolina 88-90 -2 1 - -2.62 214 H Samford 72-82 -10 0 - -2.36 225 H Wofford 69-72 -3 0 - -2.44 228 H Mercer 76-82 -6 0 - -2.25 309 H Furman 61-76 -15 0 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 A Ce Arkansas 80-57 23 0 + 2.05 1205 A So Alabama 91-65 26 0 + 2.23 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 64-68 -5.53 1.95 -0.01 1.03 -2.86
3 A No Kentucky (20-14, 95.3) 75-63 -4.63 2.85 0.01 1.03 5.90
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 78-74 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.03 2.95
3 A Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 77-62 -5.13 2.35 0.01 1.03 4.86
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 97-55 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 80-57 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.03 6.33
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 71-88 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 91-65 -4.24 3.23 0.01 1.03 6.69
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 75-76 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.03 -2.27
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 58-77 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.03 -0.89
3 H Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 75-81 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.03 -2.53
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 74-49 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.03 3.12
3 A Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 77-71 -4.70 2.77 0.01 1.03 5.75
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 81-67 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 86-60 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.03 4.35
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 68-72 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.03 -2.62
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 76-75 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.03 5.52
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 67-66 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.66
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 84-55 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.03 3.12
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 88-90 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.03 -2.62
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 86-72 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.03 5.36
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 75-71 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.03 6.10
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 87-70 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 73-61 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.66
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 72-82 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.03 -2.49
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 78-69 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.03 6.10
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 87-75 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.03 4.35
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 69-72 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.03 -2.53
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 76-82 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.03 -2.43
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 83-76 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.03 3.12
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 69-67 -5.06 2.41 0.01 1.03 5.00
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 61-76 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.03 -2.34
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67.11
|
winning pts = 92.1944 losing points = -25.0795
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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