Fairfield
W-L: (22-13) PR = 95.0522Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 68-76 1108 A NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 74-53 1110 H Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 59-82 1114 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 73-71 1116 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 85-82 1122 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 97-83 1126 H Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 77-** 1130 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 72-68 1205 H Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 66-70 1207 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 63-74 1214 A Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 73-65 1218 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 84-70 1218 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 84-70 1222 A CCONY **-58 1229 H St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 66-70 102 H Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 81-85 104 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 83-75 109 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 68-62 114 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 98-62 117 H Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 67-82 119 H Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 77-85 122 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 62-61 124 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 61-55 130 A Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 71-70 201 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 65-72 205 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 92-87 207 A Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 63-60 215 H St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 74-83 220 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 78-68 222 A Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 85-79 227 A Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 72-58 301 H Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 47-69 305 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 71-60 306 A St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 74-55 308 H Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 61-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Penn St 68-76 -8 -1 -0.84
1108 A NJ Tech 74-53 21 1 1.16
1110 H Seton Hall 59-82 -23 -2 0.00
1114 A Stonehill 73-71 2 2 0.36
1116 A Loyola-MD 85-82 3 1 0.66
1122 A Le Moyne 97-83 14 1 1.03
1126 H Columbia 77-** -29 0 -1.92
1130 A New Hamp. 72-68 4 2 0.22
1205 H Manhattan 66-70 -4 1 - -2.97
1207 H Merrimack 63-74 -11 0 -1.57
1214 A Monmouth 73-65 8 0 + 2.27
1218 A Ce Connecticut 84-70 14 1 1.31
1218 A Ce Connecticut 84-70 14 1 1.31
1229 H St Peters 66-70 -4 0 -1.93
102 H Canisius 81-85 -4 1 - -3.11
104 A Niagara 83-75 8 1 0.66
109 A Rider 68-62 6 2 0.13
114 A Manhattan 98-62 36 1 1.05
117 H Marist 67-82 -15 0 -1.89
119 H Siena 77-85 -8 0 -1.76
122 A Niagara 62-61 1 1 -0.34
124 A Canisius 61-55 6 1 0.91
130 A Iona 71-70 1 0 1.09
201 H Quinnipiac 65-72 -7 0 -1.90
205 A Sacred Heart 92-87 5 1 1.32
207 A Marist 63-60 3 0 + 2.13
215 H St Peters 74-83 -9 0 -1.93
220 A Sacred Heart 78-68 10 1 1.32
222 A Quinnipiac 85-79 6 0 + 2.12
227 A Siena 72-58 14 0 + 2.26
301 H Mt St Marys 47-69 -22 1 - -2.52
305 A Manhattan 71-60 11 1 1.05
306 A St Peters 74-55 19 0 + 2.09
308 H Siena 61-76 -15 0 -1.76
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1205 H Manhattan 66-70 -4 1 - -2.97 102 H Canisius 81-85 -4 1 - -3.11 301 H Mt St Marys 47-69 -22 1 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1214 A Monmouth 73-65 8 0 + 2.27 207 A Marist 63-60 3 0 + 2.13 222 A Quinnipiac 85-79 6 0 + 2.12 227 A Siena 72-58 14 0 + 2.26 306 A St Peters 74-55 19 0 + 2.09 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 68-76 -3.68 3.80 -0.01 0.97 -1.79
3 A NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 74-53 -5.69 1.78 0.01 0.97 3.48
3 H Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 59-82 -2.35 5.13 -0.01 0.97 -1.14
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 73-71 -6.50 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 85-82 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.97 2.50
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 97-83 -5.83 1.64 0.01 0.97 3.21
3 H Columbia (16-12, 95.1) 77-** -4.75 2.72 -0.01 0.97 -2.31
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 72-68 -6.63 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 H Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 66-70 -5.81 1.67 -0.01 0.97 -2.82
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 63-74 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 0.97 -2.14
3 A Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 73-65 -4.59 2.89 0.01 0.97 5.63
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 84-70 -5.55 1.92 0.01 0.97 3.76
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 84-70 -5.55 1.92 0.01 0.97 3.76
3 H St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 66-70 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 0.97 -2.32
3 H Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 81-85 -5.95 1.53 -0.01 0.97 -2.89
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 83-75 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.97 2.50
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 68-62 -6.73 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 98-62 -5.81 1.67 0.01 0.97 3.26
3 H Marist (19-12, 95.2) 67-82 -4.73 2.75 -0.01 0.97 -2.30
3 H Siena (23-12, 95.3) 77-85 -4.60 2.88 -0.01 0.97 -2.24
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 62-61 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.97 2.50
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 61-55 -5.95 1.53 0.01 0.97 2.98
3 A Iona (19-13, 95.1) 71-70 -4.77 2.71 0.01 0.97 5.28
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 65-72 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 0.97 -2.31
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 92-87 -5.54 1.94 0.01 0.97 3.79
3 A Marist (19-12, 95.2) 63-60 -4.73 2.75 0.01 0.97 5.36
3 H St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 74-83 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 0.97 -2.32
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 78-68 -5.54 1.94 0.01 0.97 3.79
3 A Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 85-79 -4.74 2.74 0.01 0.97 5.34
3 A Siena (23-12, 95.3) 72-58 -4.60 2.88 0.01 0.97 5.61
3 H Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 47-69 -5.35 2.12 -0.01 0.97 -2.60
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 71-60 -5.81 1.67 0.01 0.97 3.26
3 A St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 74-55 -4.77 2.71 0.01 0.97 5.27
3 H Siena (23-12, 95.3) 61-76 -4.60 2.88 -0.01 0.97 -2.24
------
47.71
|
winning pts = 77.1449 losing points = -29.4310
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------