Florida Atl
W-L: (18-14) PR = 96.0846Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 83-78 1108 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 94-77 1109 H Liberty CUSA (26- 8, 96.5) 68-88 1117 A CSTGE 92-63 1120 A Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 82-59 1124 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 76-65 1125 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 65-74 1130 H St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 65-70 1207 A Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 81-76 1210 A STLEO **-55 1213 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) **-79 1219 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 75-88 1223 H UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 80-85 1231 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) **-70 104 H Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 66-69 107 A UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 76-71 111 A Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 89-78 116 A Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 85-67 118 A Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 79-73 121 A Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 79-74 125 H So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 75-89 129 H Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 65-92 201 H Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 75-76 204 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 76-78 211 H Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 73-81 215 H So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 81-83 218 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 60-52 226 A Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 77-73 301 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 77-76 307 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 70-88 311 A Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 63-59 312 H No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 70-74
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Boston Col 83-78 5 0 1.63
1108 A Charlotte 94-77 17 0 1.83
1109 H Liberty 68-88 -20 0 -1.58
1120 A Pacific 82-59 23 0 1.98
1124 A Loyola Marym 76-65 11 0 1.50
1125 H George Mason 65-74 -9 0 -1.51
1130 H St. Bonnies 65-70 -5 0 - -2.32
1207 A Fl Gulf Co 81-76 5 1 0.65
1213 A UAlbany **-79 26 3 0.00
1219 H Saint Marys 75-88 -13 -2 -0.32
1223 H UCF 80-85 -5 -2 -0.30
1231 A Texas-SA **-70 40 2 0.09
104 H Tulane 66-69 -3 0 - -2.14
107 A UAB 76-71 5 0 + 2.16
111 A Memphis 89-78 11 0 1.85
116 A Wichita St 85-67 18 -1 + 2.57
118 A Temple 79-73 6 0 1.58
121 A Tulane 79-74 5 0 1.88
125 H So Florida 75-89 -14 -1 -1.00
129 H Memphis 65-92 -27 0 - -2.17
201 H Ea Carolina 75-76 -1 1 - -2.04
204 H Tulsa 76-78 -2 -1 -1.04
211 H Rice 73-81 -8 1 - -2.87
215 H So Florida 81-83 -2 -1 -1.00
218 A Texas-SA 60-52 8 2 0.09
226 A Temple 77-73 4 0 1.58
301 A Charlotte 77-76 1 0 0.83
307 H Wichita St 70-88 -18 -1 -1.45
311 A Temple 63-59 4 0 1.58
312 H No Texas 70-74 -4 0 - -2.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 H St. Bonnies 65-70 -5 0 - -2.32 104 H Tulane 66-69 -3 0 - -2.14 129 H Memphis 65-92 -27 0 - -2.17 201 H Ea Carolina 75-76 -1 1 - -2.04 211 H Rice 73-81 -8 1 - -2.87 312 H No Texas 70-74 -4 0 - -2.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 107 A UAB 76-71 5 0 + 2.16 116 A Wichita St 85-67 18 -1 + 2.57 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 83-78 -4.19 3.29 0.01 1.10 7.25
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 94-77 -4.00 3.48 0.01 1.10 7.68
3 H Liberty (26- 8, 96.5) 68-88 -3.38 4.09 -0.01 1.10 -1.87
3 A Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 82-59 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.10 8.01
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 76-65 -4.32 3.15 0.01 1.10 6.96
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 65-74 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 1.10 -1.83
3 H St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 65-70 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 1.10 -2.28
3 A Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 81-76 -5.17 2.30 0.01 1.10 5.09
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) **-79 -6.38 1.10 0.01 1.10 2.43
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 75-88 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.10 -1.18
3 H UCF (21-12, 97.8) 80-85 -2.10 5.37 -0.01 1.10 -1.16
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) **-70 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.10 3.86
3 H Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 66-69 -3.94 3.53 -0.01 1.10 -2.17
3 A UAB (20-12, 96.2) 76-71 -3.66 3.81 0.01 1.10 8.41
3 A Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 89-78 -3.98 3.50 0.01 1.10 7.73
3 A Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 85-67 -3.25 4.22 0.01 1.10 9.32
3 A Temple (17-16, 95.7) 79-73 -4.24 3.24 0.01 1.10 7.14
3 A Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 79-74 -3.94 3.53 0.01 1.10 7.80
3 H So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 75-89 -2.80 4.67 -0.01 1.10 -1.55
3 H Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 65-92 -3.98 3.50 -0.01 1.10 -2.19
3 H Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 75-76 -4.84 2.63 -0.01 1.10 -2.67
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 76-78 -2.84 4.63 -0.01 1.10 -1.57
3 H Rice (13-18, 95.2) 73-81 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.10 -2.58
3 H So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 81-83 -2.80 4.67 -0.01 1.10 -1.55
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 60-52 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.10 3.86
3 A Temple (17-16, 95.7) 77-73 -4.24 3.24 0.01 1.10 7.14
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 77-76 -4.00 3.48 0.01 1.10 7.68
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 70-88 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.10 -1.80
3 A Temple (17-16, 95.7) 63-59 -4.24 3.24 0.01 1.10 7.14
3 H No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 70-74 -3.90 3.57 -0.01 1.10 -2.15
------
80.96
|
winning pts = 107.5079 losing points = -26.5431
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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