Florida
W-L: (27- 8) PR = 98.8254Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 87-93 1106 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) **-64 1111 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 78-76 1116 A Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 82-68 1121 A Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 80-45 1127 H TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 80-84 1128 A Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 90-78 1202 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 66-67 1209 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 73-77 1213 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 80-70 1217 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) **-61 1221 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 90-60 1229 A Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 94-72 103 H Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 74-76 106 A Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 92-77 110 A Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 91-67 113 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 96-79 117 A Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 98-94 120 A LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 79-61 124 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 67-76 128 A So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 95-48 201 A Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) **-77 207 A Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 86-67 211 A Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 86-66 214 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 92-83 217 A So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 76-62 221 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 94-75 225 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 84-71 228 A Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) **-77 303 A Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) **-74 307 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 84-77 313 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 71-63 314 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 74-91 320 A Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) **-55 322 H Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 72-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Arizona 87-93 -6 -1 -0.94
1106 A No Florida **-64 40 5 0.00
1111 A Florida St 78-76 2 2 0.40
1116 A Miami (Fl) 82-68 14 1 1.15
1121 A Merrimack 80-45 35 3 0.00
1127 H TCU 80-84 -4 1 - -2.83
1128 A Providence 90-78 12 2 0.12
1202 H Duke 66-67 -1 -1 -0.11
1209 H Connecticut 73-77 -4 0 -1.71
1213 A George Wash 80-70 10 3 0.00
1217 A St Francis **-61 41 6 0.00
1221 A Colgate 90-60 30 4 0.00
1229 A Dartmouth 94-72 22 4 0.00
103 H Missouri 74-76 -2 1 - -3.42
106 A Georgia 92-77 15 1 0.96
110 A Tennessee 91-67 24 1 1.49
113 A Oklahoma 96-79 17 1 0.64
117 A Vanderbilt 98-94 4 0 1.71
120 A LSU 79-61 18 2 0.01
124 H Auburn 67-76 -9 1 - -3.12
128 A So Carolina 95-48 47 2 0.00
201 A Alabama **-77 23 0 1.73
207 A Texas A&M 86-67 19 1 0.95
211 A Georgia 86-66 20 1 0.96
214 A Kentucky 92-83 9 1 1.18
217 A So Carolina 76-62 14 2 0.00
221 A Ole Miss 94-75 19 2 0.05
225 A Texas 84-71 13 1 0.97
228 A Arkansas **-77 34 0 1.68
303 A Miss St **-74 34 2 0.00
307 A Kentucky 84-77 7 1 1.18
313 A Kentucky 71-63 8 1 1.18
314 H Vanderbilt 74-91 -17 0 - -2.31
320 A Prairie View **-55 59 4 0.00
322 H Iowa 72-73 -1 1 -1.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1127 H TCU 80-84 -4 1 - -2.83 103 H Missouri 74-76 -2 1 - -3.42 124 H Auburn 67-76 -9 1 - -3.12 314 H Vanderbilt 74-91 -17 0 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 87-93 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 0.94 -0.00
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) **-64 -6.36 1.12 0.01 0.94 2.13
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 78-76 -2.68 4.79 0.01 0.94 9.06
3 A Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 82-68 -1.93 5.54 0.01 0.94 10.47
3 A Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 80-45 -4.40 3.07 0.01 0.94 5.82
3 H TCU (24-12, 98.0) 80-84 -1.89 5.58 -0.01 0.94 -0.90
3 A Providence (15-18, 96.9) 90-78 -2.97 4.51 0.01 0.94 8.52
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 66-67 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.94 -0.09
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 73-77 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 0.94 -0.37
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 80-70 -3.86 3.61 0.01 0.94 6.83
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) **-61 -6.96 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 90-60 -5.20 2.28 0.01 0.94 4.32
3 A Dartmouth (11-16, 94.4) 94-72 -5.51 1.97 0.01 0.94 3.73
3 H Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 74-76 -2.48 4.99 -0.01 0.94 -1.18
3 A Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 92-77 -2.13 5.35 0.01 0.94 10.11
3 A Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 91-67 -1.59 5.88 0.01 0.94 11.12
3 A Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 96-79 -2.44 5.04 0.01 0.94 9.52
3 A Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 98-94 -1.37 6.11 0.01 0.94 11.54
3 A LSU (15-17, 96.8) 79-61 -3.07 4.41 0.01 0.94 8.33
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 67-76 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.94 -1.04
3 A So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 95-48 -3.52 3.95 0.01 0.94 7.47
3 A Alabama (25-10, 98.5) **-77 -1.36 6.12 0.01 0.94 11.56
3 A Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 86-67 -2.13 5.34 0.01 0.94 10.10
3 A Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 86-66 -2.13 5.35 0.01 0.94 10.11
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 92-83 -1.91 5.57 0.01 0.94 10.53
3 A So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 76-62 -3.52 3.95 0.01 0.94 7.47
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 94-75 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.94 8.40
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) 84-71 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.94 10.13
3 A Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) **-77 -1.40 6.07 0.01 0.94 11.48
3 A Miss St (13-19, 96.7) **-74 -3.20 4.28 0.01 0.94 8.09
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 84-77 -1.91 5.57 0.01 0.94 10.53
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 71-63 -1.91 5.57 0.01 0.94 10.53
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 74-91 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 0.94 -0.65
3 A Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) **-55 -5.31 2.17 0.01 0.94 4.11
3 H Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 72-73 -2.00 5.48 -0.01 0.94 -0.95
------
218.73
|
winning pts = 223.8972 losing points = -5.1680
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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