Fresno St
W-L: (13-19) PR = 95.7407Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A FREPA 88-51 1105 H SC Upstate BSO (13-19, 94.1) 66-67 1108 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 82-62 1112 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 73-78 1115 A Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 75-74 1118 A SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 80-78 1121 A New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 85-76 1126 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 76-53 1130 H CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 71-76 1206 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 58-82 1210 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 87-89 1220 H UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 72-84 1230 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 63-72 103 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 65-66 106 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 70-55 110 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 52-71 113 A Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 79-69 117 A Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 63-60 121 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 74-83 124 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 57-68 131 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 79-62 203 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 98-96 207 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 59-69 210 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 78-91 214 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 93-63 217 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 82-92 221 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 78-80 224 H Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 70-74 228 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 53-69 303 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 82-68 307 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 60-85 311 H Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 63-67
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 H SC Upstate 66-67 -1 2 - -2.65
1108 A LB St 82-62 20 1 0.99
1112 H UC San Diego 73-78 -5 0 -1.66
1115 A Utah Valley 75-74 1 -1 1.83
1118 A SF Austin 80-78 2 -1 + 2.59
1121 A New Orleans 85-76 9 1 1.40
1126 A Pepperdine 76-53 23 1 0.85
1130 H CS Baker 71-76 -5 2 - -3.54
1206 H Arkansas 58-82 -24 -3 0.00
1210 H Northridge 87-89 -2 0 -1.97
1220 H UNLV 72-84 -12 -1 -1.35
1230 H Utah State 63-72 -9 -2 0.00
103 H Nevada 65-66 -1 -1 0.19
106 A San Jose St 70-55 15 0 1.58
110 H San Diego St 52-71 -19 -2 -0.36
113 A Colorado St 79-69 10 -1 + 2.96
117 A Wyoming 63-60 3 -1 + 2.54
121 H New Mexico 74-83 -9 -1 -0.52
124 H Grand Canyon 57-68 -11 -1 -1.04
131 A Air Force 79-62 17 2 0.30
203 A UNLV 98-96 2 -1 + 2.67
207 H Nevada 59-69 -10 -1 -0.81
210 H Utah State 78-91 -13 -2 0.00
214 A Air Force 93-63 30 2 0.30
217 H Wyoming 82-92 -10 -1 -1.48
221 H New Mexico 78-80 -2 -1 -0.52
224 H Colorado St 70-74 -4 -1 -1.06
228 H Boise St 53-69 -16 -1 -0.70
303 A San Jose St 82-68 14 0 1.58
307 H Grand Canyon 60-85 -25 -1 -1.04
311 H Colorado St 63-67 -4 -1 -1.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1105 H SC Upstate 66-67 -1 2 - -2.65 1130 H CS Baker 71-76 -5 2 - -3.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1118 A SF Austin 80-78 2 -1 + 2.59 113 A Colorado St 79-69 10 -1 + 2.96 117 A Wyoming 63-60 3 -1 + 2.54 203 A UNLV 98-96 2 -1 + 2.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H SC Upstate (13-19, 94.1) 66-67 -5.80 1.67 -0.01 1.06 -3.09
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 82-62 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.92
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 73-78 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.06 -2.03
3 A Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 75-74 -3.34 4.14 0.01 1.06 8.84
3 A SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 80-78 -3.58 3.89 0.01 1.06 8.31
3 A New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 85-76 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.06 5.79
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 76-53 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.06 4.61
3 H CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 71-76 -5.69 1.78 -0.01 1.06 -3.04
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 58-82 -1.40 6.07 -0.01 1.06 -0.75
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 87-89 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.06 -2.20
3 H UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 72-84 -3.50 3.97 -0.01 1.06 -1.87
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 63-72 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 1.06 -1.07
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 65-66 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 70-55 -4.59 2.88 0.01 1.06 6.16
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 52-71 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.06 -1.34
3 A Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 79-69 -3.21 4.26 0.01 1.06 9.10
3 A Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 63-60 -3.63 3.85 0.01 1.06 8.22
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 74-83 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.06 -1.43
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 57-68 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.06 -1.70
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 79-62 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.06 3.45
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 98-96 -3.50 3.97 0.01 1.06 8.48
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 59-69 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 78-91 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 1.06 -1.07
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 93-63 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.06 3.45
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 82-92 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 1.06 -1.94
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 78-80 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.06 -1.43
3 H Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 70-74 -3.21 4.26 -0.01 1.06 -1.72
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 53-69 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.06 -1.52
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 82-68 -4.59 2.88 0.01 1.06 6.16
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 60-85 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.06 -1.70
3 H Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 63-67 -3.21 4.26 -0.01 1.06 -1.72
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44.72
|
winning pts = 77.5031 losing points = -32.7874
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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