Florida St
W-L: (18-15) PR = 97.2177Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) **-76 1107 A Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) **-64 1111 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 76-78 1118 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 87-73 1121 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 98-72 1125 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 89-59 1128 H Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 59-95 1202 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 73-** 1206 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 67-82 1213 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 95-** 1216 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 69-97 1219 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 96-49 1222 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 87-63 1230 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 66-79 103 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 87-91 110 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 69-** 113 H Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 86-94 117 H Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 68-69 120 A Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 65-63 124 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 80-83 128 A California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 63-61 131 A Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 88-80 207 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 82-79 210 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 58-61 214 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 92-69 217 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 80-72 221 A Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 70-65 224 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 73-83 228 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 80-71 304 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 75-74 307 A SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 91-78 311 A California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 95-89 312 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 79-80
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Alcorn St **-76 32 3 0.00
1107 A Alabama St **-64 37 3 0.00
1111 H Florida 76-78 -2 -2 -0.40
1118 A UT Martin 87-73 14 2 0.00
1121 A Georgia So 98-72 26 2 0.03
1125 A CS Baker 89-59 30 3 0.00
1128 H Texas A&M 59-95 -36 -1 -1.46
1202 H Georgia 73-** -34 -1 -1.46
1206 H Houston 67-82 -15 -2 -0.35
1213 H Mass 95-** -8 2 - -3.74
1216 H Dayton 69-97 -28 0 - -2.28
1219 A Miss Val St 96-49 47 5 0.00
1222 A Jacksonville 87-63 24 3 0.00
1230 H No Carolina 66-79 -13 -1 -1.03
103 H Duke 87-91 -4 -2 0.00
110 H NC State 69-** -44 0 -1.63
113 H Syracuse 86-94 -8 0 - -2.46
117 H Wake Forest 68-69 -1 0 -1.18
120 A Miami (Fl) 65-63 2 -1 + 2.76
124 H SMU 80-83 -3 0 -1.86
128 A California 63-61 2 0 1.94
131 A Stanford 88-80 8 0 1.98
207 A Notre D 82-79 3 1 1.37
210 H Virginia 58-61 -3 -1 -0.59
214 A Va Tech 92-69 23 0 + 2.16
217 A Boston Col 80-72 8 1 0.50
221 A Clemson 70-65 5 -1 + 2.62
224 H Miami (Fl) 73-83 -10 -1 -1.26
228 A Georgia Tech 80-71 9 1 0.56
304 A Pittsburgh 75-74 1 1 0.18
307 A SMU 91-78 13 0 + 2.16
311 A California 95-89 6 0 1.94
312 H Duke 79-80 -1 -2 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 H Mass 95-** -8 2 - -3.74 1216 H Dayton 69-97 -28 0 - -2.28 113 H Syracuse 86-94 -8 0 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 120 A Miami (Fl) 65-63 2 -1 + 2.76 214 A Va Tech 92-69 23 0 + 2.16 221 A Clemson 70-65 5 -1 + 2.62 307 A SMU 91-78 13 0 + 2.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) **-76 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.00 2.81
3 A Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) **-64 -6.13 1.35 0.01 1.00 2.71
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 76-78 -1.07 6.40 -0.01 1.00 -0.54
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 87-73 -4.84 2.64 0.01 1.00 5.30
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 98-72 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.00 5.66
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 89-59 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.00 3.59
3 H Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 59-95 -2.13 5.34 -0.01 1.00 -1.07
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 73-** -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.00 -1.07
3 H Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 67-82 -1.03 6.45 -0.01 1.00 -0.52
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 95-** -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.00 -2.21
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 69-97 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 1.00 -1.48
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 96-49 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 87-63 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.00 3.71
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 66-79 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.00 -0.86
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 87-91 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 1.00 -0.09
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 69-** -2.30 5.17 -0.01 1.00 -1.16
3 H Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 86-94 -3.13 4.34 -0.01 1.00 -1.57
3 H Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 68-69 -2.85 4.63 -0.01 1.00 -1.43
3 A Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 65-63 -1.93 5.54 0.01 1.00 11.11
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 80-83 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.00 -1.27
3 A California (22-12, 97.1) 63-61 -2.76 4.72 0.01 1.00 9.46
3 A Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 88-80 -2.71 4.76 0.01 1.00 9.55
3 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 82-79 -3.32 4.16 0.01 1.00 8.34
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 58-61 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 1.00 -0.64
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 92-69 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.00 9.92
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 80-72 -4.19 3.29 0.01 1.00 6.59
3 A Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 70-65 -2.07 5.41 0.01 1.00 10.84
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 73-83 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 1.00 -0.97
3 A Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 80-71 -4.13 3.35 0.01 1.00 6.71
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 75-74 -3.52 3.96 0.01 1.00 7.94
3 A SMU (20-14, 97.4) 91-78 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.00 9.92
3 A California (22-12, 97.1) 95-89 -2.76 4.72 0.01 1.00 9.46
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 79-80 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 1.00 -0.09
------
110.69
|
winning pts = 125.6644 losing points = -14.9788
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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