Furman 
W-L: (23-13) PR = 95.3691
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 71-97
1107 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 61-64
1110 A CLU 89-59
1114 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 54-70
1119 A OHICH 79-44
1123 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 90-79
1127 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 73-72
1128 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 65-72
1203 A Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 97-88
1206 A Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 79-69
1209 A BJU **-57
1218 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 75-68
1218 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 75-68
1221 A Charlotte So BSO (16-17, 94.4) 84-76
1231 A Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 74-72
103 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 77-80
107 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 78-67
110 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 69-48
114 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 77-73
117 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 70-74
121 H The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 75-77
123 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 89-66
129 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 78-73
201 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 75-70
204 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 71-75
208 H UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 64-67
211 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 64-69
214 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 90-72
218 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 69-78
221 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 76-67
225 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 72-51
228 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 67-86
307 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 86-81
308 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 81-75
309 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 76-61
320 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 71-82
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H High Point 71-97 -26 -1 -1.04
1107 H Troy 61-64 -3 -1 -1.37
1114 H No Iowa 54-70 -16 -1 -1.14
1123 A Queens Univ 90-79 11 0 + 2.06
1127 A Richmond 73-72 1 0 1.16
1128 H Illinois St 65-72 -7 -1 -1.05
1203 A Elon 97-88 9 0 1.53
1206 A Harvard 79-69 10 0 1.86
1218 A Manhattan 75-68 7 1 0.73
1218 A Manhattan 75-68 7 1 0.73
1221 A Charlotte So 84-76 8 1 1.03
1231 A Mercer 74-72 2 0 1.84
103 H We Carolina 77-80 -3 1 - -2.54
107 A Chattanooga 78-67 11 1 0.83
110 A VMI 69-48 21 2 0.00
114 A Samford 77-73 4 0 1.73
117 H Wofford 70-74 -4 0 - -2.37
121 H The Citadel 75-77 -2 1 - -3.45
123 A UNCG 89-66 23 1 1.16
129 A Samford 78-73 5 0 1.73
201 A Chattanooga 75-70 5 1 0.83
204 H Ea Tenn St 71-75 -4 0 -1.94
208 H UNCG 64-67 -3 1 - -2.86
211 H Mercer 64-69 -5 0 - -2.18
214 A VMI 90-72 18 2 0.00
218 H Ea Tenn St 69-78 -9 0 -1.94
221 A Wofford 76-67 9 0 1.65
225 A The Citadel 72-51 21 1 0.57
228 H We Carolina 67-86 -19 1 - -2.54
307 A Samford 86-81 5 0 1.73
308 A UNCG 81-75 6 1 1.16
309 A Ea Tenn St 76-61 15 0 + 2.08
320 H Connecticut 71-82 -11 -4 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
103 H We Carolina 77-80 -3 1 - -2.54
117 H Wofford 70-74 -4 0 - -2.37
121 H The Citadel 75-77 -2 1 - -3.45
208 H UNCG 64-67 -3 1 - -2.86
211 H Mercer 64-69 -5 0 - -2.18
228 H We Carolina 67-86 -19 1 - -2.54
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1123 A Queens Univ 90-79 11 0 + 2.06
309 A Ea Tenn St 76-61 15 0 + 2.08
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 71-97 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.00 -1.78
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 61-64 -3.89 3.59 -0.01 1.00 -1.95
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 54-70 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 1.00 -1.84
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 90-79 -4.48 3.00 0.01 1.00 6.01
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 73-72 -4.38 3.09 0.01 1.00 6.21
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 65-72 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 1.00 -1.79
3 A Elon (14-18, 94.9) 97-88 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.00 4.95
3 A Harvard (17-12, 95.2) 79-69 -4.68 2.79 0.01 1.00 5.61
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 75-68 -5.81 1.67 0.01 1.00 3.36
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 75-68 -5.81 1.67 0.01 1.00 3.36
3 A Charlotte So (16-17, 94.4) 84-76 -5.51 1.96 0.01 1.00 3.95
3 A Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 74-72 -4.70 2.77 0.01 1.00 5.57
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 77-80 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.00 -2.54
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 78-67 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.00 3.55
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 69-48 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 77-73 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.00 5.35
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 70-74 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.00 -2.45
3 H The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 75-77 -5.97 1.50 -0.01 1.00 -2.99
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 89-66 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.00 4.22
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 78-73 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.00 5.35
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 75-70 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.00 3.55
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 71-75 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.00 -2.23
3 H UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 64-67 -5.38 2.10 -0.01 1.00 -2.70
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 64-69 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.00 -2.36
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 90-72 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 69-78 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.00 -2.23
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 76-67 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.00 5.20
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 72-51 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.00 3.03
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 67-86 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.00 -2.54
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 86-81 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.00 5.35
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 81-75 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.00 4.22
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 76-61 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.00 6.06
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 71-82 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 1.00 -0.39
------
61.15
|
winning pts = 88.9386 losing points = -27.7929
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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