George Mason
W-L: (23-10) PR = 96.5865Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 70-46 1107 A Winthrop BSO (23-12, 95.6) 96-90 1111 A CATAW 86-62 1115 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 61-44 1118 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 79-57 1124 A Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 92-69 1125 A Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 74-65 1129 A Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 82-66 1202 A Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 99-81 1206 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 62-73 1213 A Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 73-61 1221 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 86-79 1228 A Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) 83-79 1231 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 80-75 103 A Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 61-50 107 A Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 67-58 110 A VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 86-80 113 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 82-74 119 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 69-64 124 H Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 65-74 128 A Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 60-52 131 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 77-73 204 H Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 65-71 207 A St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 60-52 210 H Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 70-82 213 H George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 53-72 218 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 67-82 225 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 63-81 228 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 71-58 303 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 65-70 307 A St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 86-57 312 H St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 57-63 317 H Liberty CUSA (26- 8, 96.5) 71-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Wofford 70-46 24 2 0.44
1107 A Winthrop 96-90 6 1 0.98
1115 A New Hamp. 61-44 17 3 0.00
1118 A Jacksonville 79-57 22 2 0.00
1124 A Ohio 92-69 23 1 0.67
1125 A Florida Atl 74-65 9 0 1.51
1129 A Jam Madison 82-66 16 1 0.68
1202 A Cornell 99-81 18 1 0.54
1206 H Va Tech 62-73 -11 -1 -1.22
1213 A Old Dominion 73-61 12 2 0.10
1221 A Loyola-MD 86-79 7 3 0.00
1228 A Pennsylvania 83-79 4 1 1.22
1231 A La Salle 80-75 5 2 0.42
103 A Rhode Island 61-50 11 1 1.04
107 A Fordham 67-58 9 1 0.81
110 A VCU 86-80 6 -1 + 3.01
113 A Loyola Chic 82-74 8 2 0.35
119 A George Wash 69-64 5 1 1.46
124 H Rhode Island 65-74 -9 1 - -2.98
128 A Davidson 60-52 8 0 1.58
131 A St. Bonnies 77-73 4 1 1.20
204 H Duquesne 65-71 -6 1 - -2.65
207 A St Joseph's 60-52 8 0 1.92
210 H Richmond 70-82 -12 1 - -3.08
213 H George Wash 53-72 -19 1 - -2.56
218 H Dayton 67-82 -15 0 -1.65
225 H St Joseph's 63-81 -18 0 - -2.10
228 A St. Bonnies 71-58 13 1 1.20
303 H VCU 65-70 -5 -1 -1.01
307 A St Louis 86-57 29 -1 + 3.06
312 H St. Bonnies 57-63 -6 1 - -2.82
317 H Liberty 71-77 -6 0 - -2.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 H Rhode Island 65-74 -9 1 - -2.98 204 H Duquesne 65-71 -6 1 - -2.65 210 H Richmond 70-82 -12 1 - -3.08 213 H George Wash 53-72 -19 1 - -2.56 225 H St Joseph's 63-81 -18 0 - -2.10 312 H St. Bonnies 57-63 -6 1 - -2.82 317 H Liberty 71-77 -6 0 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 A VCU 86-80 6 -1 + 3.01 307 A St Louis 86-57 29 -1 + 3.06 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 70-46 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.03 5.36
3 A Winthrop (23-12, 95.6) 96-90 -4.35 3.13 0.01 1.03 6.48
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 61-44 -6.63 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 79-57 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.03 3.83
3 A Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 92-69 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 A Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 74-65 -3.82 3.66 0.01 1.03 7.57
3 A Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 82-66 -4.64 2.84 0.01 1.03 5.88
3 A Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 99-81 -4.78 2.70 0.01 1.03 5.58
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 62-73 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.03 -1.31
3 A Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 73-61 -5.22 2.25 0.01 1.03 4.67
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 86-79 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.03 2.65
3 A Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) 83-79 -4.10 3.37 0.01 1.03 6.98
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 80-75 -4.91 2.57 0.01 1.03 5.32
3 A Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 61-50 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.03 6.62
3 A Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 67-58 -4.51 2.97 0.01 1.03 6.14
3 A VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 86-80 -2.32 5.16 0.01 1.03 10.66
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 82-74 -4.97 2.50 0.01 1.03 5.19
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 69-64 -3.86 3.61 0.01 1.03 7.47
3 H Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 65-74 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 1.03 -2.21
3 A Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 60-52 -3.75 3.73 0.01 1.03 7.71
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 77-73 -4.13 3.35 0.01 1.03 6.93
3 H Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 65-71 -3.95 3.52 -0.01 1.03 -2.04
3 A St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 60-52 -3.41 4.07 0.01 1.03 8.41
3 H Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 70-82 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.03 -2.27
3 H George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 53-72 -3.86 3.61 -0.01 1.03 -2.00
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 67-82 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 63-81 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.76
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 71-58 -4.13 3.35 0.01 1.03 6.93
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 65-70 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.03 -1.20
3 A St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 86-57 -2.27 5.21 0.01 1.03 10.77
3 H St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 57-63 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 1.03 -2.13
3 H Liberty (26- 8, 96.5) 71-77 -3.38 4.09 -0.01 1.03 -1.75
------
120.88
|
winning pts = 139.0867 losing points = -18.2066
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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