Gonzaga
W-L: (31- 4) PR = 98.5257Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 98-43 1108 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 83-68 1111 A Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 90-63 1114 A Arizona St B12 (17-16, 97.4) 77-65 1117 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) **-50 1124 A Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 95-85 1125 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) **-61 1126 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 61-** 1205 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 94-59 1207 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) **-58 1213 A UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 82-72 1217 A Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 98-70 1221 A Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 91-82 1228 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 96-56 1230 A San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 99-93 102 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 80-72 104 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 82-47 108 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 89-77 115 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 86-65 117 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 71-50 121 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 84-60 124 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 68-66 131 A Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 73-65 204 H Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 80-87 207 A Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 81-61 210 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 83-53 214 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 94-86 218 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 80-59 221 A Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 71-62 225 A Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 89-48 228 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 59-70 309 A Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 65-56 310 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 79-68 319 A Kennesaw St CUSA (20-14, 95.7) 73-64 321 H Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 68-74
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A TX Southern 98-43 55 4 0.00
1108 A Oklahoma 83-68 15 1 0.94
1111 A Creighton 90-63 27 2 0.49
1114 A Arizona St 77-65 12 1 0.85
1117 A So Utah **-50 72 4 0.00
1124 A Alabama 95-85 10 0 + 2.03
1125 A Maryland **-61 39 2 0.06
1126 H Michigan 61-** -40 -1 -0.78
1205 A Kentucky 94-59 35 1 1.48
1207 A No Florida **-58 51 5 0.00
1213 A UCLA 82-72 10 0 1.52
1217 A Campbell 98-70 28 3 0.00
1221 A Oregon 91-82 9 2 0.06
1228 A Pepperdine 96-56 40 4 0.00
1230 A San Diego 99-93 6 3 0.00
102 A Seattle 80-72 8 2 0.00
104 A Loyola Marym 82-47 35 3 0.00
108 A Santa Clara 89-77 12 1 0.98
115 A Wash St 86-65 21 3 0.00
117 A Seattle 71-50 21 2 0.00
121 A Pepperdine 84-60 24 4 0.00
124 A San Fran 68-66 2 2 0.00
131 A Saint Marys 73-65 8 1 1.26
204 H Portland 80-87 -7 3 -- -4.00
207 A Oregon State 81-61 20 2 0.00
210 A Wash St 83-53 30 3 0.00
214 A Santa Clara 94-86 8 1 0.98
218 A San Fran 80-59 21 2 0.00
221 A Pacific 71-62 9 2 0.00
225 A Portland 89-48 41 3 0.00
228 H Saint Marys 59-70 -11 1 - -2.76
309 A Oregon State 65-56 9 2 0.00
310 A Santa Clara 79-68 11 1 0.98
319 A Kennesaw St 73-64 9 3 0.00
321 H Texas 68-74 -6 1 - -2.75
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 H Portland 80-87 -7 3 -- -4.00 228 H Saint Marys 59-70 -11 1 - -2.76 321 H Texas 68-74 -6 1 - -2.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 A Alabama 95-85 10 0 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 98-43 -5.88 1.60 0.01 0.94 3.04
3 A Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 83-68 -2.44 5.04 0.01 0.94 9.52
3 A Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 90-63 -2.90 4.58 0.01 0.94 8.65
3 A Arizona St (17-16, 97.4) 77-65 -2.53 4.94 0.01 0.94 9.34
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) **-50 -5.34 2.14 0.01 0.94 4.05
3 A Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 95-85 -1.36 6.12 0.01 0.94 11.56
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) **-61 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.94 7.85
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 61-** -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.94 -0.07
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 94-59 -1.91 5.57 0.01 0.94 10.53
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) **-58 -6.36 1.12 0.01 0.94 2.13
3 A UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 82-72 -1.86 5.61 0.01 0.94 10.61
3 A Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 98-70 -4.56 2.92 0.01 0.94 5.53
3 A Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 91-82 -3.33 4.15 0.01 0.94 7.84
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 96-56 -5.32 2.16 0.01 0.94 4.09
3 A San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 99-93 -4.81 2.67 0.01 0.94 5.05
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 80-72 -3.65 3.82 0.01 0.94 7.23
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 82-47 -4.32 3.15 0.01 0.94 5.97
3 A Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 89-77 -2.40 5.07 0.01 0.94 9.59
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 86-65 -4.28 3.20 0.01 0.94 6.05
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 71-50 -3.65 3.82 0.01 0.94 7.23
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 84-60 -5.32 2.16 0.01 0.94 4.09
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 68-66 -3.74 3.74 0.01 0.94 7.08
3 A Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 73-65 -2.13 5.35 0.01 0.94 10.11
3 H Portland (15-19, 95.6) 80-87 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 0.94 -2.05
3 A Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 81-61 -3.85 3.63 0.01 0.94 6.87
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 83-53 -4.28 3.20 0.01 0.94 6.05
3 A Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 94-86 -2.40 5.07 0.01 0.94 9.59
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 80-59 -3.74 3.74 0.01 0.94 7.08
3 A Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 71-62 -3.85 3.63 0.01 0.94 6.87
3 A Portland (15-19, 95.6) 89-48 -4.35 3.13 0.01 0.94 5.93
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 59-70 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 0.94 -1.01
3 A Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 65-56 -3.85 3.63 0.01 0.94 6.87
3 A Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 79-68 -2.40 5.07 0.01 0.94 9.59
3 A Kennesaw St (20-14, 95.7) 73-64 -4.18 3.29 0.01 0.94 6.23
3 H Texas (21-15, 97.8) 68-74 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 0.94 -1.00
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218.06
|
winning pts = 222.1916 losing points = -4.1359
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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