Hawaii
W-L: (24- 9) PR = 96.3507Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 59-60 1110 A Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) **-74 1113 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 88-56 1115 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 86-56 1116 A Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 68-62 1121 H Arizona St B12 (17-16, 97.4) 76-83 1125 A HIPAC 88-76 1129 A No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 92-55 1205 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 75-69 1207 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 69-59 1211 A HIHIL 98-46 1214 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 66-61 101 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 88-45 103 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 73-83 111 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 67-66 116 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 86-66 117 H Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 62-77 123 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 98-71 125 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 89-68 129 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 76-87 131 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 89-82 208 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 72-67 212 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 89-74 214 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 60-84 220 H Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 75-86 221 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 78-75 226 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 77-73 228 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 87-85 306 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 93-74 308 H LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 75-84 313 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 78-63 314 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 71-64 319 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 78-97
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Oregon 59-60 -1 0 -0.79
1110 A Ea Texas A&M **-74 26 2 0.00
1113 A Miss Val St 88-56 32 4 0.00
1115 A Manhattan 86-56 30 2 0.00
1116 A Utah Tech 68-62 6 1 1.36
1121 H Arizona St 76-83 -7 -1 -0.99
1129 A No Dakota 92-55 37 1 0.55
1205 A UC Davis 75-69 6 0 1.55
1207 A CS Fullerton 69-59 10 1 1.26
1214 A TX-El Paso 66-61 5 2 0.36
101 A CA Riverside 88-45 43 2 0.37
103 H UC San Diego 73-83 -10 0 - -2.27
111 A UC Irvine 67-66 1 0 0.78
116 A Cal Poly 86-66 20 1 0.90
117 H Santa Barbara 62-77 -15 1 - -2.67
123 A CS Baker 98-71 27 2 0.00
125 A Northridge 89-68 21 1 1.44
129 H UC Irvine 76-87 -11 0 - -2.24
131 A LB St 89-82 7 2 0.38
208 A UC San Diego 72-67 5 0 1.75
212 A CS Baker 89-74 15 2 0.00
214 H Northridge 60-84 -24 1 - -2.58
220 H Cal Poly 75-86 -11 1 - -3.12
221 A Santa Barbara 78-75 3 1 1.35
226 A UC Davis 77-73 4 0 1.55
228 A CS Fullerton 87-85 2 1 1.26
306 A CA Riverside 93-74 19 2 0.37
308 H LB St 75-84 -9 2 - -3.64
313 A CS Fullerton 78-63 15 1 1.26
314 A UC Irvine 71-64 7 0 1.78
319 H Arkansas 78-97 -19 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H UC San Diego 73-83 -10 0 - -2.27 117 H Santa Barbara 62-77 -15 1 - -2.67 129 H UC Irvine 76-87 -11 0 - -2.24 214 H Northridge 60-84 -24 1 - -2.58 220 H Cal Poly 75-86 -11 1 - -3.12 308 H LB St 75-84 -9 2 - -3.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 59-60 -3.33 4.15 -0.01 1.06 -1.78
3 A Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) **-74 -5.67 1.81 0.01 1.06 3.87
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 88-56 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 86-56 -5.81 1.67 0.01 1.06 3.57
3 A Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 68-62 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.06 7.00
3 H Arizona St (17-16, 97.4) 76-83 -2.53 4.94 -0.01 1.06 -1.35
3 A No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 92-55 -5.01 2.47 0.01 1.06 5.28
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 75-69 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.06 7.42
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 69-59 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.06 6.79
3 A TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 66-61 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.06 4.87
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 88-45 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.06 4.90
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 73-83 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.06 -2.03
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 67-66 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.06 7.89
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 86-66 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.06 6.03
3 H Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 62-77 -4.21 3.27 -0.01 1.06 -2.25
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 98-71 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 89-68 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.06 7.17
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 76-87 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 89-82 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.92
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 72-67 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.06 7.84
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 89-74 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 60-84 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.06 -2.20
3 H Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 75-86 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.06 -2.48
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 78-75 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.06 6.98
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 77-73 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.06 7.42
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 87-85 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.06 6.79
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 93-74 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.06 4.90
3 H LB St (11-22, 94.7) 75-84 -5.18 2.30 -0.01 1.06 -2.76
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 78-63 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.06 6.79
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 71-64 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.06 7.89
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 78-97 -1.40 6.07 -0.01 1.06 -0.75
------
110.47
|
winning pts = 128.0896 losing points = -17.6241
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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