Howard 
W-L: (24-11) PR = 94.9516
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 H Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 67-88
1106 A UDOFC **-71
1109 H Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 70-73
1113 A Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 72-64
1119 H Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 60-64
1122 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 80-70
1123 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 56-93
1126 A STMYM **-61
1129 H Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 75-79
1206 A BOWIE 85-69
1209 A NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 73-69
1213 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 61-57
1216 A Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 74-66
1220 A UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 67-66
1230 H Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 60-80
103 H SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 57-58
110 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 57-69
112 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 84-58
117 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 83-69
119 A Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 78-69
124 H Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 77-78
131 A Norfolk St MEAC N (14-19, 93.7) 88-60
202 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 72-53
207 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 85-57
209 H Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) 81-87
214 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 79-53
216 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 91-59
221 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) **-67
228 A Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 84-59
302 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 90-70
305 A Norfolk St MEAC N (14-19, 93.7) 84-76
313 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 78-61
314 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 70-63
317 A UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 86-83
319 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 80-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Missouri 67-88 -21 -2 0.00
1109 H Grambling St 70-73 -3 1 - -2.81
1113 A Alcorn St 72-64 8 1 0.88
1119 H Stetson 60-64 -4 1 - -2.74
1122 A Niagara 80-70 10 1 0.76
1123 H Duke 56-93 -37 -5 0.00
1129 H Mt St Marys 75-79 -4 0 - -2.42
1209 A NC A&T 73-69 4 1 1.40
1213 A Hampton 61-57 4 0 1.56
1216 A Drexel 74-66 8 0 + 2.13
1220 A UNC-Wilm 67-66 1 -1 + 2.34
1230 H Northwestern 60-80 -20 -2 -0.08
103 H SC St 57-58 -1 2 - -2.68
110 H MD-Ea Shore 57-69 -12 2 - -3.96
112 A Delaware St 84-58 26 2 0.00
117 A NC Center 83-69 14 1 0.62
119 A Morehead St 78-69 9 0 1.83
124 H Morgan State 77-78 -1 1 - -2.38
131 A Norfolk St 88-60 28 1 0.79
202 A Coppin St 72-53 19 2 0.02
207 A SC St 85-57 28 2 0.34
209 H Yale 81-87 -6 -1 -0.63
214 A MD-Ea Shore 79-53 26 2 0.06
216 A Delaware St 91-59 32 2 0.00
221 A NC Center **-67 33 1 0.62
228 A Morgan State 84-59 25 1 0.64
302 A Coppin St 90-70 20 2 0.02
305 A Norfolk St 84-76 8 1 0.79
313 A SC St 78-61 17 2 0.34
314 A NC Center 70-63 7 1 0.62
317 A UMBC 86-83 3 0 1.96
319 H Michigan 80-** -21 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1109 H Grambling St 70-73 -3 1 - -2.81
1119 H Stetson 60-64 -4 1 - -2.74
1129 H Mt St Marys 75-79 -4 0 - -2.42
103 H SC St 57-58 -1 2 - -2.68
110 H MD-Ea Shore 57-69 -12 2 - -3.96
124 H Morgan State 77-78 -1 1 - -2.38
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1216 A Drexel 74-66 8 0 + 2.13
1220 A UNC-Wilm 67-66 1 -1 + 2.34
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 67-88 -2.48 4.99 -0.01 1.03 -1.29
3 H Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 70-73 -5.75 1.72 -0.01 1.03 -2.97
3 A Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 72-64 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.03 2.90
3 H Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 60-64 -5.68 1.80 -0.01 1.03 -2.93
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 80-70 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.03 2.66
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 56-93 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 1.03 -0.09
3 H Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 75-79 -5.35 2.12 -0.01 1.03 -2.77
3 A NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 73-69 -5.56 1.92 0.01 1.03 3.98
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 61-57 -5.40 2.08 0.01 1.03 4.31
3 A Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 74-66 -4.83 2.64 0.01 1.03 5.47
3 A UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 67-66 -3.61 3.86 0.01 1.03 7.99
3 H Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 60-80 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.03 -1.56
3 H SC St (10-22, 93.3) 57-58 -6.62 1.00 -0.01 1.03 -3.42
3 H MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 57-69 -6.90 1.00 -0.01 1.03 -3.56
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 84-58 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 83-69 -6.34 1.14 0.01 1.03 2.37
3 A Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 78-69 -5.13 2.35 0.01 1.03 4.86
3 H Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 77-78 -6.32 1.16 -0.01 1.03 -3.26
3 A Norfolk St (14-19, 93.7) 88-60 -6.17 1.31 0.01 1.03 2.72
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 72-53 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) 85-57 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 H Yale (24- 7, 96.3) 81-87 -3.57 3.91 -0.01 1.03 -1.85
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 79-53 -6.90 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 91-59 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) **-67 -6.34 1.14 0.01 1.03 2.37
3 A Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 84-59 -6.32 1.16 0.01 1.03 2.42
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 90-70 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Norfolk St (14-19, 93.7) 84-76 -6.17 1.31 0.01 1.03 2.72
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) 78-61 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 70-63 -6.34 1.14 0.01 1.03 2.37
3 A UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 86-83 -5.00 2.47 0.01 1.03 5.12
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 80-** -0.14 7.34 -0.01 1.03 -0.08
------
43.04
|
winning pts = 66.8249 losing points = -23.7848
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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