Illinois
W-L: (28- 9) PR = 98.6698Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) **-55 1107 A Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) **-70 1111 A Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 81-77 1114 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 84-65 1119 H Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 86-90 1122 A LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 98-58 1124 A UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 87-73 1128 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 61-74 1206 A Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 75-62 1209 A Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 88-80 1213 H Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 80-83 1222 A Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 91-48 1229 A Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 90-55 103 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 73-65 108 A Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 81-55 111 A Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 75-69 114 A Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 79-68 117 A Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 77-67 121 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 89-70 124 A Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 88-82 129 A Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 75-66 201 A Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 78-69 204 A Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 84-44 207 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 82-85 210 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 90-92 215 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 71-51 218 A USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) **-65 221 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 94-95 227 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 70-84 303 A Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 80-54 308 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 78-72 313 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 88-91 319 A Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) **-70 321 A VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 76-55 326 A Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 65-55 328 A Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 71-59 404 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 62-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Jackson St **-55 58 5 0.00
1107 A Fl Gulf Co **-70 43 4 0.00
1111 A Texas Tech 81-77 4 0 1.59
1114 A Colgate 84-65 19 4 0.00
1119 H Alabama 86-90 -4 0 - -2.14
1122 A LIU 98-58 40 3 0.00
1124 A UTRGV 87-73 14 3 0.00
1128 H Connecticut 61-74 -13 0 -1.55
1206 A Tennessee 75-62 13 0 1.65
1209 A Ohio St 88-80 8 1 1.12
1213 H Nebraska 80-83 -3 0 - -2.11
1222 A Missouri 91-48 43 1 0.76
1229 A Southern 90-55 35 4 0.00
103 A Penn St 73-65 8 2 0.00
108 A Rutgers 81-55 26 2 0.00
111 A Iowa 75-69 6 1 1.24
114 A Northwestern 79-68 11 2 0.22
117 A Minnesota 77-67 10 2 0.07
121 A Maryland 89-70 19 2 0.00
124 A Purdue 88-82 6 0 + 2.10
129 A Washington 75-66 9 2 0.28
201 A Nebraska 78-69 9 0 1.91
204 A Northwestern 84-44 40 2 0.22
207 H Michigan St 82-85 -3 0 -1.97
210 H Wisconsin 90-92 -2 0 - -2.49
215 A Indiana 71-51 20 1 0.66
218 A USC **-65 36 1 0.64
221 H UCLA 94-95 -1 1 -1.64
227 H Michigan 70-84 -14 -1 -0.92
303 A Oregon 80-54 26 2 0.00
308 A Maryland 78-72 6 2 0.00
313 H Wisconsin 88-91 -3 0 - -2.49
319 A Pennsylvania **-70 35 3 0.00
321 A VCU 76-55 21 1 0.92
326 A Houston 65-55 10 0 + 2.21
328 A Iowa 71-59 12 1 1.24
404 H Connecticut 62-71 -9 0 -1.55
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 H Alabama 86-90 -4 0 - -2.14 1213 H Nebraska 80-83 -3 0 - -2.11 210 H Wisconsin 90-92 -2 0 - -2.49 313 H Wisconsin 88-91 -3 0 - -2.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 A Purdue 88-82 6 0 + 2.10 326 A Houston 65-55 10 0 + 2.21 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) **-55 -5.93 1.55 0.01 0.89 2.78
3 A Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) **-70 -5.17 2.30 0.01 0.89 4.13
3 A Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 81-77 -1.65 5.83 0.01 0.89 10.41
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 84-65 -5.20 2.28 0.01 0.89 4.08
3 H Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 86-90 -1.36 6.12 -0.01 0.89 -0.61
3 A LIU (24-11, 95.2) 98-58 -4.70 2.78 0.01 0.89 4.98
3 A UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 87-73 -4.57 2.91 0.01 0.89 5.21
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 61-74 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 0.89 -0.35
3 A Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 75-62 -1.59 5.88 0.01 0.89 10.52
3 A Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 88-80 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.89 9.58
3 H Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 80-83 -1.33 6.15 -0.01 0.89 -0.60
3 A Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 91-48 -2.48 4.99 0.01 0.89 8.93
3 A Southern (16-18, 94.7) 90-55 -5.22 2.26 0.01 0.89 4.04
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 73-65 -3.68 3.80 0.01 0.89 6.80
3 A Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 81-55 -3.41 4.07 0.01 0.89 7.27
3 A Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 75-69 -2.00 5.48 0.01 0.89 9.79
3 A Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 79-68 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.89 7.97
3 A Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 77-67 -3.17 4.31 0.01 0.89 7.71
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 89-70 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.89 7.43
3 A Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 88-82 -1.14 6.34 0.01 0.89 11.33
3 A Washington (16-17, 96.9) 75-66 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.89 8.08
3 A Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 78-69 -1.33 6.15 0.01 0.89 10.99
3 A Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 84-44 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.89 7.97
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 82-85 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.89 -0.54
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 90-92 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.89 -0.77
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 71-51 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.89 8.75
3 A USC (18-14, 97.3) **-65 -2.60 4.88 0.01 0.89 8.72
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 94-95 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 0.89 -0.84
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 70-84 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.89 -0.07
3 A Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 80-54 -3.33 4.15 0.01 0.89 7.42
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 78-72 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.89 7.43
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 88-91 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.89 -0.77
3 A Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) **-70 -4.10 3.37 0.01 0.89 6.04
3 A VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 76-55 -2.32 5.16 0.01 0.89 9.22
3 A Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 65-55 -1.03 6.45 0.01 0.89 11.53
3 A Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 71-59 -2.00 5.48 0.01 0.89 9.79
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 62-71 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 0.89 -0.35
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214.02
|
winning pts = 218.8942 losing points = -4.8717
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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