Illinois St
W-L: (24-13) PR = 96.3242Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 68-72 1109 A Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 76-65 1114 H USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 67-87 1116 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 82-80 1120 A ROCKF 93-48 1123 A Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 94-42 1127 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 79-69 1128 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 72-65 1203 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 89-78 1206 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 95-53 1213 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 78-83 1218 A So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 75-68 1218 A So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 75-68 1221 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 85-65 1229 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 73-56 101 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 73-47 107 H Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 71-77 110 H Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 59-63 114 H Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 89-94 117 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 88-62 121 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 59-54 124 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 69-80 128 A Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 70-65 203 H So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 50-54 206 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 86-76 209 H Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 80-88 212 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 86-64 215 H Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 56-83 218 A Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 78-61 221 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 60-74 225 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 71-69 301 A Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 81-74 306 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 52-74 318 A Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 79-58 322 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 78-75 325 A Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 61-55 402 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 66-88
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H Ohio 68-72 -4 1 - -3.09
1109 A Cornell 76-65 11 1 0.81
1114 H USC 67-87 -20 -1 -1.03
1116 A LB St 82-80 2 2 0.41
1123 A Coastal Car 94-42 52 1 1.00
1127 A Charlotte 79-69 10 0 1.59
1128 A Furman 72-65 7 1 1.05
1203 A Ea Kentucky 89-78 11 2 0.00
1206 A Chicago St 95-53 42 3 0.00
1213 H Utah State 78-83 -5 -2 -0.44
1218 A So Illinois 75-68 7 1 1.17
1218 A So Illinois 75-68 7 1 1.17
1221 A Indiana St 85-65 20 2 0.41
1229 A Drake 73-56 17 1 0.83
101 A Evansville 73-47 26 2 0.19
107 H Valparaiso 71-77 -6 1 - -2.69
110 H Ill-Chicago 59-63 -4 1 - -2.76
114 H Indiana St 89-94 -5 2 - -3.61
117 A Bradley 88-62 26 0 1.80
121 A No Iowa 59-54 5 0 1.93
124 H Belmont 69-80 -11 0 -1.59
128 A Murray St 70-65 5 0 1.72
203 H So Illinois 50-54 -4 1 - -2.85
206 A Drake 86-76 10 1 0.83
209 H Evansville 80-88 -8 2 - -3.83
212 A Valparaiso 86-64 22 1 1.33
215 H Ill-Chicago 56-83 -27 1 - -2.76
218 A Murray St 78-61 17 0 1.72
221 H Bradley 60-74 -14 0 - -2.22
225 A No Iowa 71-69 2 0 1.93
301 A Belmont 81-74 7 0 + 2.43
306 H No Iowa 52-74 -22 0 - -2.09
318 A Kent State 79-58 21 0 1.92
322 A Wake Forest 78-75 3 -1 + 2.73
325 A Dayton 61-55 6 -1 + 2.63
402 H Auburn 66-88 -22 -1 -0.62
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1106 H Ohio 68-72 -4 1 - -3.09 107 H Valparaiso 71-77 -6 1 - -2.69 110 H Ill-Chicago 59-63 -4 1 - -2.76 114 H Indiana St 89-94 -5 2 - -3.61 203 H So Illinois 50-54 -4 1 - -2.85 209 H Evansville 80-88 -8 2 - -3.83 215 H Ill-Chicago 56-83 -27 1 - -2.76 221 H Bradley 60-74 -14 0 - -2.22 306 H No Iowa 52-74 -22 0 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Belmont 81-74 7 0 + 2.43 322 A Wake Forest 78-75 3 -1 + 2.73 325 A Dayton 61-55 6 -1 + 2.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 68-72 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 0.92 -2.14
3 A Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 76-65 -4.78 2.70 0.01 0.92 4.96
3 H USC (18-14, 97.3) 67-87 -2.60 4.88 -0.01 0.92 -1.20
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 82-80 -5.18 2.30 0.01 0.92 4.24
3 A Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 94-42 -4.59 2.89 0.01 0.92 5.31
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 79-69 -4.00 3.48 0.01 0.92 6.40
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 72-65 -4.53 2.95 0.01 0.92 5.42
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 89-78 -5.71 1.77 0.01 0.92 3.26
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 95-53 -6.68 1.00 0.01 0.92 1.85
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 78-83 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 0.92 -0.92
3 A So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 75-68 -4.42 3.06 0.01 0.92 5.63
3 A So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 75-68 -4.42 3.06 0.01 0.92 5.63
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 85-65 -5.18 2.30 0.01 0.92 4.23
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 73-56 -4.76 2.72 0.01 0.92 5.00
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 73-47 -5.39 2.09 0.01 0.92 3.84
3 H Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 71-77 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 0.92 -1.96
3 H Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 59-63 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 0.92 -1.99
3 H Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 89-94 -5.18 2.30 -0.01 0.92 -2.38
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 88-62 -3.79 3.69 0.01 0.92 6.79
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 59-54 -3.66 3.82 0.01 0.92 7.02
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 69-80 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 0.92 -1.45
3 A Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 70-65 -3.87 3.61 0.01 0.92 6.63
3 H So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 50-54 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 0.92 -2.03
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 86-76 -4.76 2.72 0.01 0.92 5.00
3 H Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 80-88 -5.39 2.09 -0.01 0.92 -2.48
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 86-64 -4.26 3.22 0.01 0.92 5.92
3 H Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 56-83 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 0.92 -1.99
3 A Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 78-61 -3.87 3.61 0.01 0.92 6.63
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 60-74 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 0.92 -1.74
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 71-69 -3.66 3.82 0.01 0.92 7.02
3 A Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 81-74 -3.15 4.32 0.01 0.92 7.95
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 52-74 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 0.92 -1.68
3 A Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 79-58 -3.66 3.81 0.01 0.92 7.01
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 78-75 -2.85 4.63 0.01 0.92 8.50
3 A Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 61-55 -2.95 4.52 0.01 0.92 8.32
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 66-88 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.92 -1.01
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109.62
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winning pts = 132.5837 losing points = -22.9598
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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