Jacksonville
W-L: (11-21) PR = 94.2695Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 69-86 1106 A TRINF 1111 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 64-85 1115 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 69-67 1118 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 57-79 1124 A Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 69-64 1125 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 53-68 1202 A Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 85-82 1206 H Florida Int CUSA (15-17, 95.2) 65-88 1211 A TRNBP **-49 1214 H Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 75-** 1217 H Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 65-72 1222 H Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 63-87 101 H Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 57-76 103 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 68-71 108 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 51-77 110 A We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 75-43 115 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 60-62 117 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 90-68 122 H Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 70-77 124 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 81-76 129 A Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 70-65 131 H Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 49-68 205 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 84-93 207 H We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 73-87 211 H Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 62-67 214 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 63-56 218 H Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 84-86 221 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 61-65 226 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 89-85 228 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 85-61 304 H Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 79-82
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Miami (Fl) 69-86 -17 -4 0.00
1111 H High Point 64-85 -21 -2 0.00
1115 A VMI 69-67 2 1 0.82
1118 H George Mason 57-79 -22 -2 0.00
1124 A Beth-Cook 69-64 5 -1 + 2.74
1125 H Pacific 53-68 -15 -2 -0.23
1202 A Florida A&M 85-82 3 0 + 2.22
1206 H Florida Int 65-88 -23 -1 -1.06
1214 H Texas A&M 75-** -37 -3 0.00
1217 H Florida A&M 65-72 -7 0 -1.80
1222 H Florida St 63-87 -24 -3 0.00
101 H Lipscomb 57-76 -19 -1 -1.08
103 H Austin Peay 68-71 -3 -1 -0.76
108 H Queens Univ 51-77 -26 -1 -0.86
110 A We Georgia 75-43 32 0 + 2.16
115 H Ce Arkansas 60-62 -2 -1 -0.80
117 A No Alabama 90-68 22 0 1.58
122 H Bellarmine 70-77 -7 0 -1.85
124 A Ea Kentucky 81-76 5 0 1.93
129 A Lipscomb 70-65 5 -1 + 2.94
131 H Fl Gulf Co 49-68 -19 0 -1.55
205 H Queens Univ 84-93 -9 -1 -0.86
207 H We Georgia 73-87 -14 0 -1.86
211 H Stetson 62-67 -5 0 - -2.06
214 A No Florida 63-56 7 1 1.28
218 H Fl Gulf Co 84-86 -2 0 -1.55
221 H Austin Peay 61-65 -4 -1 -0.76
226 A Stetson 89-85 4 0 1.96
228 A No Florida 85-61 24 1 1.28
304 H Bellarmine 79-82 -3 0 -1.85
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Stetson 62-67 -5 0 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 A Beth-Cook 69-64 5 -1 + 2.74 1202 A Florida A&M 85-82 3 0 + 2.22 110 A We Georgia 75-43 32 0 + 2.16 129 A Lipscomb 70-65 5 -1 + 2.94 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 69-86 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 1.10 -1.07
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 64-85 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.10 -1.96
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 69-67 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 57-79 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 1.10 -1.83
3 A Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 69-64 -4.90 2.58 0.01 1.10 5.70
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 53-68 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.10 -2.12
3 A Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 85-82 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.10 4.55
3 H Florida Int (15-17, 95.2) 65-88 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.10 -2.58
3 H Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 75-** -2.13 5.34 -0.01 1.10 -1.18
3 H Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 65-72 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.99
3 H Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 63-87 -2.68 4.79 -0.01 1.10 -1.48
3 H Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 57-76 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 68-71 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.10 -2.42
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 51-77 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.10 -2.47
3 A We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 75-43 -5.49 1.99 0.01 1.10 4.40
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 60-62 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.44
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 90-68 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.10 3.14
3 H Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 70-77 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.10 -3.01
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 81-76 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.10 3.91
3 A Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 70-65 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.10 6.14
3 H Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 49-68 -5.17 2.30 -0.01 1.10 -2.85
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 84-93 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.10 -2.47
3 H We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 73-87 -5.49 1.99 -0.01 1.10 -3.02
3 H Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 62-67 -5.68 1.80 -0.01 1.10 -3.13
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 63-56 -6.36 1.12 0.01 1.10 2.49
3 H Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 84-86 -5.17 2.30 -0.01 1.10 -2.85
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 61-65 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.10 -2.42
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 89-85 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.10 3.98
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 85-61 -6.36 1.12 0.01 1.10 2.49
3 H Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 79-82 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.10 -3.01
------
-8.88
|
winning pts = 39.0148 losing points = -47.8958
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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