Lafayette
W-L: (11-22) PR = 93.7866Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 76-85 1105 A DCKNS 79-44 1108 H Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 60-97 1113 H Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 78-97 1117 H West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 59-81 1121 H Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 70-74 1128 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 63-76 1129 A Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 55-37 1130 H Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 74-88 1205 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 79-71 1208 H Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) 72-74 1218 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 67-81 1218 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 67-81 1220 H Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 81-95 1231 H Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 77-85 103 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 79-64 107 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 67-83 110 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 50-76 114 H Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 69-76 117 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 74-55 121 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 73-77 124 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 59-64 128 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 81-79 131 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 67-65 204 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 50-65 207 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 63-60 211 H Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 54-68 214 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 69-78 218 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 86-83 222 H American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 61-75 225 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 70-69 228 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 83-77 303 H Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 77-82
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H St Joseph's 76-85 -9 -3 0.00
1108 H Texas 60-97 -37 -4 0.00
1113 H Cornell 78-97 -19 -1 -0.68
1117 H West Va 59-81 -22 -4 0.00
1121 H Stonehill 70-74 -4 0 - -2.40
1128 H Le Moyne 63-76 -13 0 -1.73
1129 A Ball St 55-37 18 -1 + 2.55
1130 H Monmouth 74-88 -14 -2 -0.48
1205 A Mercyhurst 79-71 8 0 + 2.23
1208 H Pennsylvania 72-74 -2 -2 0.00
1218 H Charlotte 67-81 -14 -2 0.00
1218 H Charlotte 67-81 -14 -2 0.00
1220 H Georgia Tech 81-95 -14 -2 -0.03
1231 H Colgate 77-85 -8 -1 -1.09
103 A Loyola-MD 79-64 15 0 1.92
107 H Boston Univ 67-83 -16 0 -1.51
110 H Navy 50-76 -26 -2 -0.35
114 H Bucknell 69-76 -7 0 - -2.03
117 A Holy Cross 74-55 19 0 1.85
121 H Boston Univ 73-77 -4 0 -1.51
124 H Lehigh 59-64 -5 -1 -1.41
128 A Bucknell 81-79 2 0 1.99
131 A American 67-65 2 -1 + 2.70
204 H Navy 50-65 -15 -2 -0.35
207 A Army 63-60 3 0 1.77
211 H Loyola-MD 54-68 -14 0 - -2.10
214 H Lehigh 69-78 -9 -1 -1.41
218 A Holy Cross 86-83 3 0 1.85
222 H American 61-75 -14 -1 -1.32
225 A Colgate 70-69 1 -1 1.93
228 A Army 83-77 6 0 1.77
303 H Holy Cross 77-82 -5 0 - -2.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 H Stonehill 70-74 -4 0 - -2.40 114 H Bucknell 69-76 -7 0 - -2.03 211 H Loyola-MD 54-68 -14 0 - -2.10 303 H Holy Cross 77-82 -5 0 - -2.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 A Ball St 55-37 18 -1 + 2.55 1205 A Mercyhurst 79-71 8 0 + 2.23 131 A American 67-65 2 -1 + 2.70 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 76-85 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.76
3 H Texas (21-15, 97.8) 60-97 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.03 -1.10
3 H Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 78-97 -4.78 2.70 -0.01 1.03 -2.47
3 H West Va (22-13, 97.7) 59-81 -2.24 5.24 -0.01 1.03 -1.16
3 H Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 70-74 -6.50 1.00 -0.01 1.03 -3.36
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 63-76 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.03 -3.01
3 A Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 55-37 -5.57 1.90 0.01 1.03 3.95
3 H Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 74-88 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.03 -2.37
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 79-71 -5.89 1.59 0.01 1.03 3.29
3 H Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) 72-74 -4.10 3.37 -0.01 1.03 -2.12
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 67-81 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.03 -2.07
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 67-81 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.03 -2.07
3 H Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 81-95 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 1.03 -2.14
3 H Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 77-85 -5.20 2.28 -0.01 1.03 -2.69
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 79-64 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.03 2.65
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 67-83 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.03 -2.90
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 50-76 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.03 -2.30
3 H Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 69-76 -6.13 1.34 -0.01 1.03 -3.17
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 74-55 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.03 2.50
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 73-77 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.03 -2.90
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 59-64 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.03 -2.85
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 81-79 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.03 2.79
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) 67-65 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.03 4.26
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 50-65 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.03 -2.30
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 63-60 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.03 2.34
3 H Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 54-68 -6.20 1.28 -0.01 1.03 -3.20
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 69-78 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.03 -2.85
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 86-83 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.03 2.50
3 H American (16-17, 94.5) 61-75 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.03 -2.80
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 70-69 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.03 4.72
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 83-77 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.03 2.34
3 H Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 77-82 -6.28 1.20 -0.01 1.03 -3.24
------
-23.47
|
winning pts = 31.3570 losing points = -54.8291
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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